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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Linear Random Process Model-Based EEG Classification Using Machine Learning Techniques</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Mykhailo Fryz</string-name>
          <email>mykh.fryz@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Leonid Scherbak</string-name>
          <email>prof_scherbak@ukr.net</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Bogdana Mlynko</string-name>
          <email>mlynko@ukr.net</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Taras Mykhailovych</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>General Energy Institute of NAS of Ukraine</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Antonovycha st. 172, Kyiv, 03150</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Ternopil Ivan Puluj National Technical University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Ruska st. 56, Ternopil, 46001</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>The electroencephalogram (EEG) modelling and classification methods are very important in medical diagnostics and in creating complex information systems using brain-computer interface-based solutions for Industry 4.0. The mathematical model of the EEG signal has been presented in the paper in the form of a linear random process. The corresponding estimation procedure using the autoregressive model has been considered. The new informative features have been justified as the downsampled kernel of linear random process model representation. The comparative analysis of binary classification machine learning techniques has been performed based on autoregressive coefficients and new extracted informative features. The improvement of classification metrics has been shown.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>1 Information system</kwd>
        <kwd>electroencephalogram</kwd>
        <kwd>signal</kwd>
        <kwd>mathematical model</kwd>
        <kwd>linear random process</kwd>
        <kwd>autoregressive model</kwd>
        <kwd>kernel</kwd>
        <kwd>features extraction</kwd>
        <kwd>estimation</kwd>
        <kwd>binary classification</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>Electroencephalography (EEG) signals are recordings that capture the electrical potentials of the
brain's activity [1, 2]. These measurements are generally non-invasive, using electrodes placed on the
scalp, although intracranial electrodes may also be used. Examining the EEG data can yield important
information about various brain disorders that affect a wide area of the brain.</p>
      <p>Another great area of EEG analysis is related to the creation of complex information systems
based on the brain-computer interface (BCI) concept [3, 4], including utilizing the classification of
steady-state visual evoked potentials [5]. Several studies, related to EEG-based BCI applications for
Industry 4.0 have been presented recently, including e.g. [6, 7]. The authors [6] categorized the
possible industrial applications of safety at work, adaptive training, and device control.</p>
      <p>Usually, EEG analysis for both medical applications and BCI applications includes mathematical
modelling, features extraction, and classification methods. Linear models and techniques are
significant in the field of EEG signal processing [1]. Discrete-time univariate and multivariate linear
random sequences in the form of autoregressive moving average models are especially important and
widely used [8, 9, 10]. Moreover, the continuous-time linear random process [11, 12] is the
biophysically reasonable mathematical model of EEG representing the signal as the sum of many
stochastically independent excitatory and inhibitory postsynaptic potentials which are generated by
the pyramidal neurons in the cerebral cortex in response to the spike train [2] that can be considered
as the Poisson arrival process. Another useful EEG signal model is a conditional linear random
process considering the stochastic dependence between the postsynaptic potentials forming the EEG
[2, 12]. All the above linear models can be analyzed using the characteristic function methods.</p>
      <p>Staying within the linear paradigm it is important to extract the new diagnostic features and find
modern machine-learning classification techniques to improve the classification performance.
Because of main elements of a linear random process is the kernel of its representation and generative
white noise, the idea is to consider the first one as the source of informative characteristics for EEG
analysis. We consider only binary classification problems in our paper.</p>
      <p>The primary objective of the paper is to justify the informative features of EEG signals based on
the kernel of its representation as a linear random process and to investigate the machine learning
classification techniques based on the extracted features.
2. Methodology of modelling, features extraction and estimation</p>
      <p>Continuous-time linear random process ξ(ω,t), t ∈ (−∞, ∞), given on some probability space
{Ω, F, P} is defined using the following integral representation [12]:</p>
      <p>
        ∞
ξ(ω,t) = ∫ ϕ(τ,t)dη(ω, τ), ω∈ Ω, t ∈ (−∞, ∞) , (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )
      </p>
      <p>
        −∞
where η(ω, τ), τ ∈ (−∞, ∞) , P(η(ω, 0) = 0) = 1 is a stochastically continuous random process with
independent increments;
ϕ(τ,t), τ,t ∈ (−∞, ∞) is a nonrandom function (kernel of representation (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )) such that the following
conditions hold (the integral (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ) is convergent in the mean-square sense under that conditions):
∞
∫ ϕ(τ,t) p d κ p (τ) &lt; ∞, ∀t, p =1, 2 , where κ p (τ) is a cumulant function of the p th order of given
−∞
process with independent increments η(ω, τ) .
      </p>
      <p>
        The linear random process (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ) is the mathematical model of continuous-time EEG signal,
representing it as a sum of large number of excitatory and inhibitory postsynaptic potentials,
occurring at Poisson time moments. In the context of the model the process η(ω, τ) is compound
Poisson process, and ϕ(τ,t) represents the time-dependent properties of postsynaptic potentials.
      </p>
      <p>
        The discrete-time counterpart of linear random process (LRP) (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ) is denoted by ξt (ω), ω∈ Ω, t ∈ Z
which is defined as a random sequence in the following form:
      </p>
      <p>
        ∞
ξt (ω) = ∑ ϕτ,tζτ (ω) , (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        )
      </p>
      <p>
        τ=−∞
where ζτ (ω), τ ∈ Z is a sequence of independent infinitely divisible random variables (infinitely
divisible strict-sense white noise) with finite expectation and variance Eζτ (ω) =aτ , Var [ζτ (ω)] =στ2 ;
ϕτ,t , τ,t ∈ Z is a nonrandom function (kernel) satisfying the following conditions:
∞ ∞
∑ ϕτ,t aτ &lt; ∞ , ∑ ϕτ,t 2 στ2 &lt; ∞ , ∀t ∈ Z
τ=−∞ τ=−∞
(the conditions are important to guarantee the mean-square convergence of the stochastic series (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        )).
      </p>
      <p>
        The expectation Eξt (ω) and covariance function Rt1,t2 , t1,t2 ∈ Z of linear random process (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ) are
represented by the following expressions:
∞
Eξt (ω) = ∑ ϕτ,t aτ ,
      </p>
      <p>τ=−∞
∞
Rt1,t2 = ∑ ϕτ,t1ϕτ,t2 στ .</p>
      <p>2
τ=−∞</p>
      <p>
        If ζτ (ω) , τ ∈ Z is strict-sense stationary white noise, and the kernel ϕτ,t depends only from the
difference of its arguments, that is ϕτ,t =ϕt−τ , then LRP (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ) is strict-sense stationary and can be
represented in the following form:
      </p>
      <p>∞ ∞ ∞
ξt (ω) = ∑ ϕt−τζτ (ω) = ∑ ϕτζt−τ (ω), ∑ ϕτ2 &lt; ∞ .</p>
      <p>τ=−∞ τ=−∞ τ=−∞
The expectation and covariance function of the stationary LRP are represented as:</p>
      <p>∞ ∞
Eξt (ω) = a ∑ ϕτ , Rs = σ2 ∑ ϕτϕτ+s , s ∈ Z ,</p>
      <p>τ= −∞ τ= −∞
where Eζτ (ω) =a , Var [ζτ (ω)] =σ2 .</p>
      <p>Among linear random processes the autoregressive models are the most important for applied
problems of signal processing, especially when it is necessary to identify, predict, simulate, or classify
the stochastic signals [13, 14].</p>
      <p>In most important for practical application cases, a stationary discrete-time linear random process
can be represented as a linear stochastic difference equation which is known as autoregressive moving
average model of the order ( p, q) :
where ak , k =p; 1, bk , k =qare 0, the real coefficients.</p>
      <p>If q = 0 and b0 = 1 we obtain the autoregressive (AR) model of the order p , which is represented
in the following form:</p>
      <p>p
ξt (ω) = −∑ ak ξt−k (ω) + ζt (ω), t ∈ Z ,</p>
      <p>
        k =1
p q
ξt (ω) =−∑ ak ξt−k (ω) + ∑ bk ζt−k (ω), t ∈ Z ,
k =1 k =0
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        )
Autoregressive
model is stationary if the complex roots
zk , k = 1, p
of the equation
1 + a1z−1 + a2 z−2 + ... + ap z− p =0 (where z is complex variable) satisfy the conditions zk &lt; 1, k =1,p .
      </p>
      <p>It is well known [13, 14] that covariance function of the stationary autoregressive model satisfies
the following recurrent relation:
 p
−∑ ak R−k + σ2 , τ =0,
 k =1
Rτ = −∑p ak Rτ−k , τ &gt; 0.</p>
      <p> k =1
 R0

 R1
 R
 2
 
 Rp</p>
      <p>R0
R1

Rp−1</p>
      <p>R−1
R0

Rp−2



</p>
      <p>R− p   1   σ2 </p>
      <p>    
R− p+1   a1   0 
R− p+2   a2  =  0  .</p>
      <p> 
       
R0   ap   0 </p>
      <p>Representing the above equation for τ =0, p the system of linear equations is obtained, the matrix
expression of the system is called Yule-Walker equations for AR model:</p>
      <p>R−1 R−2 </p>
      <p>
        The Yule-Walker equations system (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ) is the base for the EEG features extraction and estimation
using the model of a linear random process. And autoregressive model coefficients are used
successfully in the problems of EEG classification.
      </p>
      <p>Our idea is to use the samples of the kernel of stationary discrete-time LRP representation of EEG,
because, as it follows from the biophysical reasoning, the kernel represents the integral properties of
the postsynaptic potentials forming EEG signal.</p>
      <p>
        The general methodology of EEG analysis then consists of the following steps:
• EEG signal acquisition and preprocessing,
• order estimation of AR model [15],
• covariance function Rτ , τ =0, p estimation,
• solving the linear equations (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ) to find the AR coefficients,
• estimating the samples of the kernel of LRP representation of EEG signal as an impulse
response of corresponding linear stationary recursive filter with parameters equal to coefficients of
autoregressive model.
      </p>
      <p>The extracted and estimated parameters can be used then in the algorithms of statistical hypotheses
testing or machine learning classification [16]. The last approach is considered in the next section of
the paper. We evaluate and compare the performance of binary classification algorithms for the case
of using AR parameters as informative features versus set of samples of the kernel of LRP
representation while keeping the same dimensionality of the features space.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>3. Results</title>
      <p>Several binary classification techniques have been compared using the dataset which is described
in [17]. The length of each EEG realization is 23.6 sec, and it consists of 4097 samples. The
realizations have passed the wide sense stationary test, and the eye movement and muscle activity
artefacts have been removed. The binary classification tests have been analyzed based on healthy
persons with open eyes (Class A) and closed eyes (Class B). The dataset consists of 100 elements in
each of the classes. The representatives of Class A and Class B have been shown in Figure 1.</p>
      <p>The covariance function estimations of open eyes EEG and closed eyes EEG have been
represented in Figure 2. The above realizations have been utilized to calculate the estimations.</p>
      <p>The kernel of EEG representation in the form of discrete-time linear random process has been
estimated as the impulse response of corresponding recursive filter related to autoregressive model of
the order 4. The coefficients of autoregressive model have been estimated using Yule-Walker
approach. The estimations (based on realizations which have been shown in the Figure 1) of the
kernel for open eyes EEG and closed eyes EEG have been represented in Figure 3.</p>
      <p>The performance measures of different binary classification algorithms [18, 19, 20] based on AR
parameters as informative features have been calculated using a 10-fold cross-validation approach and
represented in Table 1. The best results are highlighted.</p>
      <p>Comparing the above results, we can conclude that Extra Trees Classifier based on the second
features set outperforms the other considered algorithms based on the first features set.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>4. Discussion</title>
      <p>The analysis of the above results shows that the kernel of linear random process representation of
EEG signal can be used as an informative feature in the problems of its binary classification using
machine learning techniques. We used the number of kernel samples equal to the order of the</p>
      <p>The performance measures of the same classifiers based on the set of kernel samples
{ϕ1, ϕ5 , ϕ9 , ϕ13} as informative features have been calculated using a 10-fold cross-validation
approach and represented in Table 2. The best results are highlighted.
corresponding autoregressive model to compare the classification performance of different feature
sets of the same dimensionality. The study of the dependence of classification accuracy on the number
of informative features is a goal of future research. Still, we suppose that the dimensionality of the
feature space should be equal to the order of the autoregressive model, but the kernel samples
included in this space should be justified.</p>
      <p>The main result of our research is the justification of new information features and corresponding
binary classifier (the extra trees classifier) that can be used in medical diagnostics and in the problems
of brain-computer interface based on EEG analysis. The results can be further extended to the
alternative case of the autoregressive process with random coefficients [2], taking into account the
nonlinear dynamics of EEG.</p>
      <p>Being an ensemble method, the extra trees classifier combines predictions from multiple decision
trees to make the final classification. This ensemble approach improves generalization and reduces the
risk of overfitting, leading to better performance and more reliable results. There are also other
advantages, such as fast training speed, efficient parallelization, and robustness to noisy data. It is
important in the context of this paper that the extra trees classifier provides a measure of feature
importance, gaining insights into the relevance and contribution of each feature to the classification
task. This information can be useful for future research for feature selection, identifying the most
influential kernel samples.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>5. Conclusion</title>
      <p>Methodology of features extraction and their estimation for EEG analysis based on the
mathematical model in the form of linear random process has been considered. The set of informative
characteristics has been identified consisting of the samples of the kernel of linear random process.</p>
      <p>The new set of informative features has been compared with the traditional classification
characteristics which are the autoregressive coefficients. Several binary classification machine
learning algorithms have been analyzed for the task of classification of open eyes EEG and closed
eyes EEG. Extra Trees Classifier has appeared to perform the best with the set of new informative
features.</p>
      <p>The prospective research should be related to the formal justification of the task of certain samples
selection of the kernel which should be used as the classification features.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>6. References</title>
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