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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Patients⋆</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Jose Ibeas</string-name>
          <email>jibeas@tauli.cat</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Taulí (I</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>PT-CERCA)</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Spain</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="editor">
          <string-name>Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Nephrology, Dialysis, Kidney Disease, Big Data</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Nephrology Department. Parc Taulí Hospital Universitari. Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona.</institution>
          <addr-line>Sabadell</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="ES">Spain</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <fpage>189</fpage>
      <lpage>198</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>Artificial intelligence has reached the health sector as one of those included in the Industry 4.0 revolution. Its capacity to generate a huge amount of data continuously and its possibility of being analyzed in real-time generates an ideal environment to be able to apply all the technologies related to Big Data analysis. This scenario has generated the beginning of a paradigm shift both in research and in the generation of evidence since it means going from talking about Evidence-Based Medicine to Data-Driven Medicine. This is inevitably associated with a series of new challenges: Data management, its new methods of analysis, the required training of professionals, the project roadmap, and some new scenarios in the area of ethics and regulation. The exponential proliferation of research publications in this area in recent years, however, does not go hand in hand with the number of tools approved by regulatory entities, which reflects that although this new environment is very promising, there is still a long way to go to standardize their use in clinical practice. In this context, the world of nephrology, that is, the environment of kidney diseases, which is characterized by a high complexity in the data generated by having diferent sources of origin, associated with significant complexity in decision-making, is one of the fields where it is precisely possible to observe the full potential of artificial intelligence as well as the associated challenges.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>Like the previous industrial revolutions, the fourth, which is based on the arrival of artificial
intelligence, Big Data and robotics, has brought a substantial change in all activities related to
industrial processes. The health environment, although in a later way, has not been an exception.
And it is in this field that this technology is probably going to have one of its most important
repercussions in the immediate future. Multiple technological characteristics define this 4.0
revolution, but the main ones on which its usefulness in the health environment is based are the
use of massive data, its potential use from a cloud environment and, above all, its implementation
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under the infrastructure of the Internet of things, in this case medical things (IoMT). It is
precisely in healthcare environments where the greatest volume of data is being generated
today. The enormous generation of information at the expense of analytical data, images, text,
etc. of millions of patients makes it one of the environments that has seen the progression of
terminology related to the definition of data volume grow more closely. In a context in which
Industry 4.0 is based on the generation of algorithms that extract information from data in
search of patterns and that are capable of learning on their own, in the health environment it
can translate into enormous potential in all the spheres that go from the diagnostic processes to
the evaluation of the response to the treatments.</p>
      <p>The objective of this review is to explain what the arrival of artificial intelligence means in the
health environment and specifically in one of its most complex models such as kidney disease. It
will go through 4 main points. The first is from evidence-based medicine to data-based medicine;
the second is the challenges of artificial intelligence in health; and the third place, talks about
the use of algorithm modelling and knowledge extraction for predictive models, finally, after
having reviewed these 3 main points, put nephrology as an example of how artificial intelligence
can contribute to complex patient management.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. From Evidence-Based Medicine to Data-Driven Medicine</title>
      <p>Evidence-based medicine consists of 3 fundamental aspects. The first is clinical experience, the
second is having the best evidence, and the third, and no less important, are the patient’s values.
From the methodological point of view, the architecture of evidence-based medicine (EBM) is
based on the scaling of diferent types of studies, from the least robust to the one that has the
most translation into the recommendation in clinical care practice from the clinical point of view.
The most basic would be based on the opinion of experts, to then progress through the case
series, studies, control cases, and cohort studies and then to reach those with the most robust
generation of evidence, such as clinical trials or especially systematic reviews or meta-analyses
[1].</p>
      <p>Thus, the EBM is based on the systematic review of published evidence based on structured
clinical questions. These questions, called PICO (problem, intervention, comparator, outcome),
generate the systematic search for evidence in the literature in a methodologically standardized
way that allows, step by step, to search for what the research has generated and that can be
translated into clinical recommendations. The problem that this system has is that even though
methodologically many studies may appear to have a very adequate and even very robust
level, the methodology they have used may be biased and this means that the real quality of
this evidence may not be good enough to translate into reliable clinical recommendations. In
other words, as important as the research methodology is the quality with which it has been
done, which translates into the level of confidence. The second important aspect is that, once
the evidence is generated, it is with this that recommendations must be generated and this
inevitably depends on the experts. This would be the second aspect that could generate another
source of bias. That is the subjectivity of the recommendations derived from the interpretation
of the evidence by the expert. An example of this is the fact that there are clinical guidelines on
the same subject made with the same literature and by experts who may participate in several
of these guides and which in the end generate diferent recommendations. The conclusion of
all this is that EBM, in short, depends on the evidence itself reflected in the literature in the
ifrst place, on clinical experience in the second place, which is subject to knowledge that can be
derived from diferent specialities, geographical or even economic environments. and, finally,
the values and circumstances of the patient. And that’s how EBM works. It is the best that the
clinic has today to make decisions, but, as can be seen, it is a situation not free of biases.</p>
      <p>In a context in which we are talking at EBM about a pyramid in which the lowest quality
scientific studies appear from the bottom and end at the top of the pyramid with the most robust
ones, in a parallel reality the pyramid based on DDM begins to be drawn. A pyramid in which the
base has all the data sources and as it scales can be found data preparation, data transformation,
data mining, knowledge extraction, and finally decision making. We are therefore talking about
a paradigm shift. In other words, we find that while on the one hand, we are working in the
usual environment of EBM, on the other, the architecture of data-based evidence is beginning
to take shape.</p>
      <p>
        If we compare the aspects that support EBM with DDM, the aspects that we would have to
highlight would be concerning the first one: it represents the basis of the usual clinical practice
of medicine that today we still understand as modern, it is based on observations that come from
studies population clinical studies, the gold standard is the double-blind controlled prospective
study, the studies are based on a hypothesis that is generated by a group of experts and from
here the experiment is tested, a sample of patients is selected, subjected to the test, the evolution
is observed, and finally an expert or a group of experts postulates a hypothesis or a conclusion.
Quite obviously, each of these steps may be associated with a cognitive bias. On the other hand,
if we are talking about the DDM and analysing with artificial intelligence, the points through
which it would go through in a basic way would be the use of already existing data and not
arbitrarily selected to generate algorithms with machine learning and that the accuracy and
usefulness generated of these algorithms would be fundamentally based on the data that have
motivated the learning. There is therefore no particular bias. Patterns can be discovered in this
data that can lead to diagnoses or predictions. All this can be done in real-time, and in the end,
precise and personalized recommendations are generated, which do not come from population
studies derived from arbitrary selections of a determined population. In summary, the potential
biases of EBM can be overcome by DDM, since all available data can be analyzed to generate
knowledge in an observer-independent way [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">2</xref>
        ].
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. The Challenges of Artificial Intelligence in Health</title>
      <p>The challenges of artificial intelligence in health come first of all from the possibility of
incorporating massive data from diferent sources simultaneously to generate knowledge. This data
can be structured data such as analytics and numeric variables or unstructured data such as
image-based and free text. All of this data comes from multiple patients in diferent conditions.
These conditions can be contextualized from diferent perspectives associated with diferent
types of professionals. These patients can be population grouped associated with hospital
centres, health networks, regions or even countries. All this data may be hosted on specific
servers in health centres or, on the other hand, in the cloud. And in turn, all these data networks
can be connected. What does this mean? The translation of all this is that we are talking about
massive data that can be analyzed with Big Data analytics technology [3].</p>
      <p>The fundamental aspects of Big Data analytics are, on the one hand, the characteristics of
Big Data and, on the other, its analysis. Big Data is traditionally defined by its ”Vs”, which
can reach up to 9. But we will talk about the 5 fundamental ”Vs”. These are volume, variety,
velocity, variability, and value [4]. These characteristics are what define Big Data and, as we
can see, health data sources meet these characteristics. On the other hand, when we talk about
Big Data analytics, we can talk about analytics 1.0, 2.0 or 3.0 [5] [6]. Analytics 1.0, also called
Business Intelligence, was the classic work method in the 90s. It was characterized by low speed,
static data, structured data, and results formulated in reports. Analytics 2.0, also called Big
Data Analytics, was born in the 2000s and already incorporated large datasets, was capable of
working in real-time, incorporating unstructured data, and was capable of generating predictive
models. But it is with the analytics 3.0 that we currently have, with which the possibility of
combining conventional Business Intelligence, with big data and above all with the internet of
things has arrived. This allows working with artificial intelligence models in real-time at the
exact point where we will have to make the decision and even with distributed computing, that
is, in the cloud.</p>
      <p>All of this has generated the infrastructure of what we call the Process of Knowledge
Discovering. This is defined by some fundamental points: the integration of the data from the
sources that can be very diverse and that generate a dataset for later, once the data is selected
after established criteria, perform the preprocessing, transformation, and data mining to be able
to generate the algorithms that will allow the generation of knowledge once have interpreted,
evaluated and validated these algorithms.</p>
      <p>But how does machine learning work? To explain it in a way that is easy to understand, if
we start from the basis that traditional research systems based on classical statistics depend on
software that incorporates data to generate a result, unlike this, what machine learning does is
incorporate data of which the output is known to generate a program based on an algorithm.
This program is capable of learning from the data continuously in such a way that the following
data that comes from a patient will allow the algorithm to generate the outcome of this patient.
What we have just defined is what we call supervised systems because the data we enter is
“labelled” so the algorithm is capable of generating a learning system aimed at recognizing
these outcomes. But on the other hand, machine learning is also capable of working without
labelled data. That is, we can incorporate data without any type of label, in such a way that the
algorithms look for patterns among the data that are capable of generating knowledge. This is
what we call unsupervised systems. In between these systems, there are other systems with
characteristics of both that we call reinforcement [7] [8].</p>
      <p>What we are talking about when we want to put it into practice, therefore, requires an
organizational system in diferent phases that allow its applicability. It is noteworthy here
that, unlike traditional research systems, what we are talking about now is innovation. And
innovation intrinsically has characteristics associated with a value chain that begins with the
research itself but ends with the generation of a sanitary product, in this case, a decision
support system, which, in addition to being implemented in clinical practice, generates value.
And the channeling of this value uses the usual language of innovation, and this is the one
associated with entrepreneurship or business models. Therefore, these phases would first
comprise the strategic roadmap, the business model, the necessary resources, the definition of
the roles and responsibilities of those involved, the data architecture, the choice of appropriate
tools and technologies, governance of data and standards, regulation, executive support, the
organizational system, the analytical process and generation of reports, to finally generate an
interpretation that allows decision-making [9].</p>
      <p>In this context, a fundamental point that should not be forgotten is the ethical aspects. What
do we mean when we talk about ethics in data science? This is a branch of ethics that deals with
how to handle data in a private environment associated with decision-making. There are 3 types
of ethics: data ethics, that is, those related to its generation, collection, use, ownership, security
and transfer. The ethics of intelligence, that is, the product or results of the model generated by
the data that will be used for decision-making. And lastly, the ethics of the practice, that is the
morality of the innovation systems can generate concerns about how to handle these new tools
[5].</p>
      <p>
        There is a key aspect, which is privacy and security. It is probably one of the fundamental
points of data management when we talk about artificial intelligence. If this aspect is already
important with the usual research activity, let’s imagine when we talk about big data. They
are the same aspects but multiplied concerning the volume of data and therefore its associated
risks when management is not adequate. This requires taking into account with special care
everything related to Data Protection laws, security systems, encryption techniques, data access
control systems and finally security systems associated with Big Data technology [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">10</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>All of this gives rise to the generation of open questions from which concerns arise which,
depending on how they are interpreted, may be challenges to overcome or risks to not forget
to consider. These would be those associated with access to data, its security, its storage, or
its transfer. We could summarize these challenges in four fundamental aspects: those related
to the data and its processing, those related to the professionals who are going to work with
this data, those related to the domain we are talking about, in this case, health and finally those
related to the organizational system.</p>
      <p>The first of the challenges, that is to say, the one related to the data and its processing, is
associated with a series of points linked between them in which each one supposes an aspect
that in itself is of great importance to take into account. These would include data acquisition,
storage, interoperability, quality assessment, complexity, and security and privacy. The second
challenge, associated with professionals, is a basic aspect that is often underestimated and this
is so because it must be noted that today it is dificult to find talent in this area, and when talent
is found it is dificult to retain it, and when we have it it is not easy to coordinate as it requires
doing so in multidisciplinary teams that handle diferent types of experience and knowledge.
The third aspect associated with the domain of health is highly relevant because health data
is very complex. This complexity is derived from the origin of the data from very diferent
sources. They are associated with diferent time windows because they require interpretation
associated with contexts that interrelate areas of medicine that can be very diferent and, lastly,
because their interpretation that requires a high level of experience. Finally, the organizational
challenges would be derived from a series of circumstances that are intrinsic to the needs of the
organization’s management: the objectives to be defined in the artificial intelligence context
require specific knowledge, the possible technological disparity, one must know how to choose
the appropriate tools to generate the algorithms, that is, therefore have previous knowledge
from a practical point of view, one must know how to deal with resistance in organizational
systems to new technologies, one must assume costs that are usually not budgeted and finally
when you have large sources of data, you must not forget that you must know how to share
them to help generate knowledge in the scientific community [6] [11].</p>
      <p>The summary of all this is that the profile of the professional approach and the management
of health data is changing. This is explained because we are used to understanding that there
are 3 groups of professionals who depend on 3 large areas of expertise: Computer Science,
Mathematics and Statistics and finally being an expert in a specific subject. It is easy to
understand that the combination between computer science and a subject matter expert leads
to the generation of specific software, it is easy to understand that the relationship between
traditional statistics and a subject matter expert gives rise to traditional research, and finally,
we can understand that there is a new environment derived from computer Science related
to mathematics and statistics, which is machine learning. But if we wanted to look for an
expert with knowledge in computer science, mathematics and statistics, and experience in any
subject, this is what is usually called a “unicorn”. And if it is called a unicorn because it does
not exist.. In other words, if we want to find an adequate relationship between the 3 diferent
ifelds, there is no other option than to work in a multidisciplinary way. And this is possibly the
most important challenge when facing the management of Big Data, artificial intelligence, and
knowledge extraction in the health area [12].</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. Modelling algorithm optimization and Knowledge extraction from predictive models</title>
      <p>When talking about the generation and optimization of algorithms to be able to extract
knowledge and thus take it to clinical practice, what we are talking about is organizing all the
previously mentioned steps from a structured point of view to implement them. This is
therefore specifying the problem, preparing the data, choosing the appropriate learning method,
applying it, evaluating the method and the results, optimizing it, and finally generating a report
to draw conclusions and put them into practice.</p>
      <p>There are four types of learning systems. These are derived from diferent ways of converting
data into information. These would be the descriptive, diagnostic, predictive, and finally
prescriptive methods. The latter are the ones that would make it possible to assess the response
to a given intervention. From a technical point of view, any learning system must go through
a series of steps in which both the data expert and the subject matter from which the data is
generated must know its details. These would be the preparation of the dataset, its cleaning,
the feature engineering, the model training and its validation. The diferent types of machine
learning must be known because depending on the type of variables, objectives, or type of study,
the project must be adapted accordingly. And finally, it must be clear to both the technical
expert and the subject matter expert that the combination of knowledge of both in a specific
subject is what will help to guarantee success in achieving the objectives [6].</p>
      <p>
        When systematic searches are carried out in the bibliographic sources to seek experience
in the generation of algorithms in health, it can be easily discovered that the increase in the
projects published today is not linear but exponential, which translates that the revolution 4.0
has arrived in the health environment. Two more objective proofs of this are that investment
in the artificial intelligence sector in health is increasing year after year by percentages that
show that this environment is one of the most interesting for investors and that approvals by
regulatory entities such as the FDA begin to increase progressively when a few years ago there
was practically no authorized model [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21">13</xref>
        ].
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>5. Nephrology as an example of what AI can contribute to the complex patient</title>
      <p>
        If you want to give an example in the health area of how we can go through each of the previously
exposed steps and above all exemplify how artificial intelligence can benefit a complex health
environment, this is the area of nephrology. Nephrology is the area that treats kidney diseases.
Kidney diseases are characterized by requiring the analysis of data from very diverse sources
to make decisions: analysis of laboratory data, images, data from dialysis machines, biopsies,
special diagnostic or treatment techniques, complex treatments, the relationship with other
specialties, etc. This creates a very favorable field to demonstrate the speed with which artificial
intelligence can benefit areas of high complexity and dificult analysis. Only 5 years ago the
ifrst robust results began to be published, demonstrating how promising the use of artificial
intelligence could be in prevalent pathologies for which a large number of data were available.
An example of this was pathologies derived from cardiovascular risk or imaging such as diabetic
retinopathy [14] [15]. The progressive proliferation of this type of work even led to the
generation of systematic reviews that began to show that artificial intelligence was at least as
powerful as medical analysis [16]. In parallel, databases began to appear in nephrology that
allowed any user in the area to train models [17]. And so progressively until the last 2 years,
papers on specific pathologies published by ”traditional” experts began to appear, showing
more than promising results [18]. And it is in these last 3 years that the proliferation of works
both with analytical data, as well as with biopsies or even with genetics or variables from
minority diseases began to generate the impression that any type of nephrological pathology
could be susceptible to being implemented with this new technology [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">19</xref>
        ]. A curious fact, for
example, is research into arterial hypertension where the last 30 years have been characterized
by the proliferation of clinical trials to generate new drugs. However, in the last 3 years, all
the investment has been channeled into the study of new drugs to be replaced by genomic
sequencing research in this area [20]. Point something unimaginable a few years before.
      </p>
      <p>Renal disease is characterized because it can be either acute onset or chronic. In the latter, the
possibility of associated complications of diferent kinds is very high. These can be associated
with the appearance of anemia, or alteration of mineral metabolism, cardiovascular pathology,
and especially mortality. Mortality is possibly one of the major problems in this disease since it
can reach 15</p>
      <p>If it is observed in this context that, on the one hand, traditional statistical methods, when they
seek to generate predictive models of renal failure progression, the appearance of complications,
or mortality, are very limited, and that, on the other hand, renal pathology is characterized by
having massive data from diferent forts in diferent conditions, we are faced with a scenario
in which, precisely because of its complexity, this pathology can facilitate the generation of
knowledge with the application of algorithms based on artificial intelligence.</p>
      <p>Aware of the complexity of kidney disease on the one hand and the challenge posed by the
application of these new tools on the other, our group has spent the last few years generating
various lines of research in this context. The two main areas to highlight would be predictive
models of mortality on the one hand and progression of renal failure on the other. Using
both hospital data and massive data from the Catalan health system, it has been possible to
demonstrate very robust results that allow generating a high degree of confidence in this
technology as a tool for short-term clinical use [21] [22]. Although, indeed, we must never
forget that any type of generated algorithm always requires a validation process before being
put into clinical practice. This is why there is a great disparity between the thousands of
research-oriented articles published during the use of artificial people as opposed to the few
projects that have obtained authorization from regulatory agencies to be implemented in clinical
practice.</p>
      <p>The translation of this scientific activity in recent years in the area of medicine to generate
innovation at the expense of artificial intelligence must be recognized that although it is very
promising, on the other hand, it has to face the reality of the health system. In other words,
one must be aware that although industry 4.0 technology has arrived in medicine, and some
groups are beginning to demonstrate its usefulness, it is necessary to adapt the health system
and overcome organizational resistance, train health professionals, inform the end user who is
the patient of this change process, and finally adapting all the fundamental points associated
with the security and privacy, regulatory, and ethical part in a context that the system is still
not used to.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>6. Conclusions</title>
      <p>We are facing a promising future at the expense of the paradigm shift from evidence-based
medicine to data-based medicine that lies in the possibility of making personalized medicine
on the one hand and avoiding the associated biases on the other. But great challenges have to
be overcome. The first of these is knowing how to work in a multidisciplinary way between
engineers and clinicians to be able to make these new dynamics eficient in a new ecosystem
that requires knowing how to manage new resources with specific technical knowledge and
the ability to handle this type of project. On the other hand, just as important as the potential
usefulness of these tools is the need for their validation to be implemented in clinical practice.
And finally, the responsibility for the success of any health product based on artificial
intelligence will depend on the evaluation of its applicability and this lies in the arena of the health
professional, so the health ecosystem has no other option but to enter the match and play for
many resistances that exist.
[1] Je Andrews, Gordon Guyatt, Andrew D Oxman, Phil Alderson, Philipp Dahm, Yngve
Falck-Ytter, Mona Nasser, Joerg Meerpohl, Piet N Post, Regina Kunz, et al. Grade
guidelines: 14. going from evidence to recommendations: the significance and presentation of</p>
    </sec>
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