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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Explaining the Influence of Learning Design Motivational Beliefs Using Learning Analytics on Students´</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Jelena N. Larsen</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Centre for Teaching, Learning and Technology, UIT - The Arctic University of Norway</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Tromso, 9037</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="NO">Norway</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2023</year>
      </pub-date>
      <abstract>
        <p>There is an increased interest in pedagogically informed learning design as it is an essential driver for learning. Exploration and understanding of how online learning environments and learning design influence students´ ability to drive their own learning process, i.e., selfregulated learning, is important as it can contribute to the improvement of online programs with a focus on student learning. While a lot of research that examines self-regulated learning behaviour focuses on assessing students´ final learning outcomes and achievement, the proposed research will examine self-regulated learning behaviour, more specifically its subprocesses, related to motivational beliefs which students employ in their online learning. In addition to the survey used to measure trait motivational beliefs, the study will leverage learning analytics to gain a fuller picture of students´ state of motivational beliefs when interacting with learning design online.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>1 learning analytics</kwd>
        <kwd>learning design</kwd>
        <kwd>self-regulated learning</kwd>
        <kwd>motivational belief</kwd>
        <kwd>online learning</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        With the growth of online education
offerings, there is an increased interest in
pedagogically informed learning design. Since
learning design is considered an essential driver
for learning, exploration and understanding of
how online learning environments and learning
design influence students´ ability to drive their
own learning process is important [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19, 26</xref>
        ]. This
ability is referred to as self-regulated learning
(SRL). In extension, what “drives students to
drive their own learning process”, i.e., how
does motivation feature in this?
      </p>
      <p>
        Some obvious advantages of online learning
are its availability and flexibility in time and
space. However, online learning puts a higher
demand on students' SRL ability. Poor ability to
self-regulate often results in a high rate of
dropouts [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>To study SRL we can use self-report
instruments, such as surveys. There are,
however, some known weaknesses associated
with self-report data, such as response bias. In
other words, what students say they do may not
correspond to what they actually do [25].</p>
      <p>
        In order to get more objective measures of
SRL behaviour, we can make use of additional
data sources, such as capturing the digital
footprints (traces) of student behaviour in a
virtual learning environment (VLE) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16 ref8 ref9">8,9,16</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Since learning design plays an important
role in structuring the pedagogical context
where learning occurs (e.g., how courses are
designed and delivered, available resources,
learning tasks, and assessment) it also plays an
important role in providing a framework for
analysing and interpreting data about learners’
SRL behaviour [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12 ref16 ref21 ref8 ref9">8, 9, 12, 16, 21</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>The present project draws on several study
fields, with learning analytics being one of the
main data sources in this research area. To
understand and to be able to examine how
students self-regulate their learning online, how
learning design influences this, and how to
analyse changes in students’ online SRL
behaviour over time, two main issues must be
addressed: (1) What is meant by learning
design? And (2) What aspects of SRL should
we focus on in this context?</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Background</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>2.1. Learning design</title>
      <p>
        Current literature shows that researchers and
practitioners are approaching learning design
from a multitude of perspectives. There is some
confusion over terms, concepts and tools within
the field, and thus a lack of conceptual clarity,
which makes the development of shared
understanding difficult. An illustrative example
is the many names used for the field itself.
Some of the common ones being: “learning
design”, “instructional design”, “curriculum
design”, “educational design”, “design for
learning” and “design-based learning” [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14 ref5">5, 14</xref>
        ].
Definitions also vary; for example, Conole [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ]
refers to learning design as a “methodology for
enabling teachers/designers to make more
informed decisions in how they go about
designing learning activities and interventions,
which is pedagogically informed and makes
effective use of appropriate resources and
technologies” (p. 121). She emphasises the
importance of making the learning design
process more explicit and sharable between
practitioners/educators. While Matcha et al.
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ] use the terms “instructional design” and
“course design” to refer to the structure of
learning topics and the corresponding learning
activities or tasks. In this context, instructional
design is understood as and is driven by the
pedagogical approaches and the nature of the
discipline. The design of a course is also
influenced by the delivery modalities, i.e.,
when, and how teaching activities are
facilitated (e.g., online, face-to-face, flipped
classroom, etc.).
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>2.1.1. Classification</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Design of</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Learning</title>
      <p>
        Building on this ontological and conceptual
diversity, Dobozy [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ] suggests classifying
learning design into three types: (1) learning
design as a concept, that is a standardised
representation of learning sequences and
design-based procedures underpinned by
learning theories, e.g., cognitive
constructivism, social constructivism and social
learning, etc.; (2) learning design as a process
which illustrates the learning intent, planning
and enacting of a particular learning sequence
in a context, i.e., subject-specific content; and
(3) learning design as a product of the methods,
tools and resources, referring to artefacts such
as models, templates, and lesson plans with a
description of roles and resources needed for a
particular learning activity. The second and
third approaches to learning design are
typically used in learning analytics literature.
For example, Mangaroska and Giannakos [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
        ]
refer to learning design as a process of
designing effective learning experiences with
the use of technological innovations and
resources. While Bakharia et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ] chose to see
learning design both as a process “of creating
and adapting pedagogical ideas” and as a
product “of a formalised description of a
sequence of learning tasks, resources and
support that a teacher constructs for students
for an entire, or part of, an academic semester"
(p. 330).
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>2.1.2. Representation of Learning</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>Design</title>
      <p>
        There is also a niche within the literature
that seeks to develop a descriptive framework
to capture teaching and learning activities to
enable educators to share and reuse ideas and
resources [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ]. Most of the learning design
models and frameworks developed in the last
two decades have focused on tools and
representations to support this approach, as well
as on mechanisms for sharing its outputs to
assist educators in designing learning activities.
For example, Conole [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ], and Mor et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
        ]
give a detailed description of learning design
representation formats and patterns, which can
be effectively adopted by
educators/practitioners in planning and
facilitating educational activities. Persico and
Pozzi [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22">22</xref>
        ] suggest a multidimensional
framework for positioning different learning
design representations. Maina et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
        ] review
some contemporary trends in the practices and
methods of learning design with several tools
and resources to support educational practice.
      </p>
      <p>
        Back in 2012, The Larnaca Declaration on
Learning Design made an attempt to provide an
overarching theoretical foundation for the field
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ]. It is based on a mix of different approaches,
i.e., concepts and shapes, of both research and
practice and uses the analogy of music notation
metaphor to describe learning design. The idea
of such notation is that it should contain enough
information to convey “musical” ideas to share
between educators. Moreover, the core
concepts of learning design are captured and
summarised in the Learning Design Conceptual
Map (LD-CM) (Figure 1).
      </p>
      <p>It starts with the main objective of “creating
learning experiences aligned to particular
pedagogical approaches and learning
objectives”. How educators make decisions
about designing for learning is determined by
the Educational Philosophy, Theories and
Methodologies, and Characteristics &amp; Values
of the Learning Environment. For example,
Dobozy´s first type of learning design
classification, i.e., concept, might be described
in the first and second elements of LD – CM.</p>
      <p>How educators plan, engage, reflect and
evaluate teaching is determined by Teaching
Cycle. In this case, Dobozy’s classification of
learning design as a process (i.e., how educators
define objectives and plan what teaching
methods and strategies to apply to help students
to reach the objectives) might be described in
Design and Plan stage of the element. Further,
her approach of learning design as a product
where a set of resources for the students to
access might be described in Implementation,
while learning activities, i.e., tasks the learners
are expected to carry out, with the engagement
phase of Teaching cycle, including Level of
Granularity.</p>
      <p>
        Many other educational theories and
practices could be analysed using the Learning
Design Conceptual Map. For example,
Pedagogy profile learning design has been
developed as part of a Learning Design
taxonomy by The Open University Learning
Design Initiative (OULDI) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3, 26</xref>
        ]. The
systematic research at OU on the relationship
between Pedagogy profile, student behaviour
and outcomes, among other things, has led to
the impact of learning design on
decisionmaking and future course design. Such insights
could be described and documented in the
Reflection and Teaching Development phases
of Teaching Cycle and Core Concepts of
Learning Design of LD – CM.
      </p>
      <p>
        Another example is Laurillard’s
conversational framework which represents an
interaction cycle between teacher and student
where each operates at the level of learning
outcome and carrying out learning and teaching
activities [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ]. The framework has focus on
several elements of LD – CM. The framework
might be applied to any level of granularity –
from the whole course or curriculum to a
particular learning activity; interaction with
learners in both theory and practical areas of the
relevant discipline might be described by
engagement in Teaching Cycle, while reactions
to teaching and assessment might be described
both in Reflection of Teaching cycle and
Learner Responses elements. The latter may
suffer from at least two problems. First is bias
and subjective perception, as learners´
responses are often limited to insights
generated from assessments, course evaluations
and surveys. Second, as insights are generated
over time, it hinders educators/practitioners
from making in-time interventions and
providing personalised feedback to students. A
potential contribution of learning analytics to
learning design (captured with Learner
Responses) provides an opportunity for deeper
tracking of learner activity and more detailed
analysis of learners´ self-regulated behaviour at
all stages of teaching and learning processes.
Moreover, learning analytics could help
educators to reflect and compare their practices
at all levels of granularity, i.e., from
curriculum/ study program down to individual
learning activity. However, without a
representation of the detailed learning
objectives and the expectations in terms of the
learner's activities toward them, learning
analytics is reduced to monitoring generic
behaviours, such as persistence or social
interactions [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Regardless of the approach or concept one
chooses, learning design is considered to be an
essential driver in how courses are designed and
delivered, and what resources, learning tasks,
assessments, etc., are available. Thus, learning
design plays an important role as it provides a
framework for analysing and interpreting data
about learners´ behaviour and SRL [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12 ref16 ref21 ref8 ref9">8, 9, 12, 16,
21</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        SRL is commonly modelled as a cyclical,
recursive sequence of processes and
subprocesses in which learners proceed through
fluctuating phases [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
        ]. The labels given to
each phase vary between researchers. Still,
broadly, we are looking at three phases: i) the
preparatory or forethought phase, which
includes elements such as motivational beliefs,
task analysis, planning, and goal setting; ii) the
performance phase, which includes task work,
strategy use, and monitoring of own learning;
and iii) the appraisal phase, which includes
performance, feedback and reflection on
progress and strategies [24].
      </p>
      <p>
        The relationship between SRL and student
learning has been widely researched over the
past decades, and there are substantial amounts
of empirical evidence to suggest that an
increased ability to self-regulate one´s own
learning process is associated with a higher
likelihood of academic achievement and
performance [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23, 30, 31</xref>
        ]. This is particularly
evident in the context of online learning, where
how and with what content and activities to
engage, is acknowledged to be an essential skill
for the ability to succeed [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13 ref23">13, 23, 26</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>In an ongoing literature systematical review,
it appears however that the majority of this
research has focused on the behavioural and
cognitive aspects of SRL. Considerably less
attention has been given to the effective domain
of the construct, hereunder motivational beliefs.</p>
      <p>As such this is an area, which will be
addressed in the current research project.
2.2.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>Self-Regulated Learning</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-10">
      <title>2.2.1. Motivation in SRL</title>
      <p>
        Literature suggests that hybrid/ blended and
online courses require students to be more
selfdisciplined and self-regulated [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13 ref8 ref9">8, 9, 13</xref>
        ]. SRL as
a construct is built up by components belonging
to three areas related to the learning process:
cognitive, behavioural, and affective/emotional
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23</xref>
        ]. A widely agreed upon working definition
of self-regulated learning (SRL) is “an active,
constructive process whereby learners set goals
for their learning and then attempt to monitor,
regulate, and control their cognition,
motivation, and behaviour, guided and
constrained by their goals and the contextual
features in the environment” (p. 453) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23</xref>
        ]. In
other words, SRL such as learners monitoring
and adjusting their own behaviour and actions
in relation to their specific learning context.
      </p>
      <p>
        According to Zimmerman [30] motivation
in the field of education is one of the most
important pillars through which we can achieve
educational goals. Motivational and affective
processes are intrinsic parts of this complex
system of interdependently connected SRL
processes. They trigger and maintain
goaloriented behaviours, e.g., engagement,
perseverance and ultimately performance on
learning tasks by influencing the choice and
implementation of learning strategies [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Motivation is an extensive and complex
field of research. There are many motivational
theories and covering these is beyond the scope
of the present paper. However, in the context of
SRL, Pintrich [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23</xref>
        ] and Littlejohn et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ]
have chosen to interpret motivation as a set of
“motivational beliefs”. Motivational beliefs are
in turn sub-divided into task value, task interest,
and self-efficacy, or belief in one´s own ability
to succeed with a task.
      </p>
      <p>
        Students can find motivation from various
sources, be they internal such as values,
interests, and competence beliefs, or external
such as the context of the learning environment,
and learner-centered instruction, and levels of
motivation can fluctuate over the course of a
learning task [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ].
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-11">
      <title>2.2.2. Motivational</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-12">
      <title>Context</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-13">
      <title>Beliefs and</title>
      <p>
        Motivational beliefs do not appear in a
vacuum. There are many internal and external
conditions that have an impact on “each
learner’s choices about how and what to learn
… whether learning happens and what is
learned” (p.2) [30]. The ability to self-regulate
one's learning, including one's motivational
beliefs, is mediated by both personal factors
such as cognitive and affective and contextual
factors such as the learning environment where
learning design plays an important role [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Conceived as a set of learning tasks,
learning design as a product [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ] can be
considered an important contextual factor.
Consequently, how students respond to and
interact with a learning design will contribute to
shaping their SRL, more specifically their
motivational beliefs.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-14">
      <title>2.2.3. Operationalising and</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-15">
      <title>Measuring Motivational Beliefs</title>
      <p>How do students´ motivational beliefs
manifest within a learning design?</p>
      <p>
        Firstly, it is important to differentiate
between trait and state motivational beliefs.
“Trait” implies student motivation as an
intrinsic disposition, i.e., a general tendency.
“State” refers to motivational beliefs as a
dynamic construct that changes relative to
context and situation. Measures of SRL, which
includes motivational beliefs, are typically
based on combinations of indicators that may
be self-reported responses to items, on-task
indicators of responses to individual tasks, or
observations by others. However, the most used
form of motivation measure continues to be
trait-focused, using some form of self-report
survey instrument [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        With the growth of online learning over the
recent years, learning analytics has emerged as
a viable measure for SRL. Learning Analytics
is defined as “the measurement, collection,
analysis, and reporting of data about learners
and their contexts, for purposes of
understanding and optimizing learning and the
environments in which it occurs.” [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ]. Learning
analytics can be used to extract and analyse
patterns in log data in order to understand the
motivated student's behaviour [28].
      </p>
      <p>
        As mentioned earlier, motivation as a part
SRL process has received comparatively little
attention, and the same applies within the
learning analytics literature [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13, 28</xref>
        ].
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-16">
      <title>3. Goal and research questions</title>
      <p>The overarching goal of the PhD project is
to contribute to understanding how educational
context, i.e., learning design, is linked to
students' motivational beliefs.</p>
      <p>Knowledge about the association between
learning design and students' motivational
beliefs (as a part of SRL) can enable educators
to make more informed choices when deciding
on the structure and type of learning tasks in a
given learning design. This in turn can help
students choose appropriate and effective
learning strategies, ultimately increasing their
chance to succeed in their online studies.</p>
      <p>
        A lot of research that examines SRL
behaviour focuses on assessing students´ final
learning outcomes, performance, and
satisfaction. This makes sense if SRL is viewed
as a trait, i.e., a global and lasting disposition.
However, as mentioned earlier, SRL is a series
of dynamic processes that fluctuate over time
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
        ]. Therefore, when exploring students’ SRL
behaviour as it “occurs in the learning
situation”, the survey approach is less
appropriate. By using learning analytics, we
can collect data in a more dynamic manner in
the learning process. Moreover, extracting trace
data can provide us with contextual information
relevant to students´ motivational beliefs at a
task, or “state”, level.
      </p>
      <p>
        In order to examine the SRL sub-processes,
more specifically processes related to
motivational beliefs, students employ in their
online learning, the present PhD project seeks
to build on the research of Littlejohn and
colleagues [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ]. In addition to the survey used
to measure trait motivational beliefs, we will
leverage learning analytics to gain a more
holistic picture of students´ state of
motivational beliefs when interacting with
learning design online.
      </p>
      <p>The research questions for this project are as
follows:</p>
      <p>RQ1a: How does observed behaviour as
seen in trace data relate to motivational beliefs
as measured using a survey?</p>
      <p>RQ1b: Relative to survey data, are there
systematic variations at a task/state level?</p>
      <p>RQ2: Do different types of tasks, e.g.,
assessments, reflections, discussions, etc.,
within the learning design give rise to different
types of behavioural patterns linked to
motivational beliefs?</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-17">
      <title>4. Methods</title>
      <p>To answer the research questions of this
PhD project, the work is divided into three
parts.
1. The first part of the study will be a
systematic literature review in order to
understand how literature within the field
of learning analytics defines and
conceptualises learning design and SRL.
More specifically, how is learning design
defined and conceptualised, and how does
this fit with the LD – CP (Figure 1); which
aspects of SRL behaviour are observed and
operationalised, i.e., what SRL models,
domains and phases are used, and how is
motivation understood and related to SRL;
how does research connect learning design
and SRL and what role is motivation given
within this context.
2. For the second part, I will collect and
analyse Canvas VLE trace data from the
students enrolled in the 3 years online
bachelor program “Business Economics
and Management”. Thus, the second part
of this study will use learning analytics to
capture observable behaviour and patterns
for further investigating motivational
beliefs in light of the research questions
RQ1a and RQ1b.
3. Following the second part of the project,
the third part will use learning analytics to
examine whether learning design task types
influence motivational belief behaviour in
light of the research question RQ2.</p>
      <p>
        At the current time, I am in the process of
carrying out the systematic literature review
which will be conducted following the five-step
methodology [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ]. So far, the research questions
to be answered are formulated along with the
set of inclusion and exclusion criteria. The
search in databases ACM DL, IEEE, ERIC,
Elsevier and Web Of Sciences resulted in 25
articles. The completion of the final manuscript
for publishing is planned for December 2023.
      </p>
      <p>The doctoral dissertation is a part of the
ELEA (Encouraging Self-regulated Learning in
Higher Education) project. The project uses
multiple data sources, both qualitative and
quantitative, to study the dynamic and
contextual patterns of students’ self-regulated
learning as it develops over time in a study
programme. By triangulating behavioural data
with data based on self-report and in-depth
interviews the aim of the project is to provide a
more in-depth understanding of how
selfregulated learning occurs and changes over
time and relative to context.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-18">
      <title>6. References</title>
      <p>(Eds.), Handbook of Self-Regulation:
Theory, Research, and Applications (pp.
451-502). San Diego, CA: Academic
Press.
[24] Puustinen, M. and Pulkkinen, L. (2001).</p>
      <p>Models of self-regulated learning: a
review. Scandinavian Journal of
Educational Research, 45, 3, 269–86.
[25] Quick J., Motz B., Israel J., Kaetzel J.
(2020). What College Students Say, and
What They Do: Aligning Self-Regulated
Learning Theory with Behavioral Logs.
LAK '20: Proceedings of the Tenth
International Conference on Learning
Analytics &amp; Knowledge, March 2020,
Pages 534–543.
https://doi.org/10.1145/3375462.3375516
[26] Rienties, B., &amp; Toetenel, L. (2016). The
impact of learning design on student
behaviour, satisfaction and performance:
A cross institutional comparison across
151 modules. Computers in Human
Behavior, 60, 333–341.
[27] Renée S. Jansen, Anouschka van
Leeuwen, Jeroen Janssen, Rianne Conijn,
Liesbeth Kester. (2020). “Supporting
learners' self-regulated learning in
Massive Open Online Courses.”
Computers &amp; Education,Volume 146,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compedu.2019.1
03771.
[28] Talbi, O., Ouared, A. (2022).
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analytics: How can a requirements-driven
approach help?. Educ Inf Technol 27,
12083–12121.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10639-02211091-8
[29] Winne, P. H (2020). Construct and
consequential validity for learning
analytics based on trace data. In
Computers in Human Behaviour, vol. 112,
nov. 2020.
[30] Winne, P. H., &amp; Baker, R. S. (2013). The
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