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    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Future of Smart Cities Security Challenges - Proactive Modelling &amp; Identification</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Zlatogor Minchev</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Luben Boyanov</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Institute of ICT, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Acad. Georgi Bonchev Str., Bl. 25A, 1113 Sofia</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="BG">Bulgaria</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Institute of Mathematics &amp; Informatics, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Acad. Georgi Bonchev Str., Bl. 8, 1113 Sofia</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="BG">Bulgaria</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>University of National &amp; World Economy</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>8-mi Dekemvri Str. 19, 1700 Sofia</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="BG">Bulgaria</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>Joining technologies &amp; people in future smart cities infrastructure by merging sensors, efectors and intelligence is going to create a rather challenging mixed reality transformation. In this sense, the competition between natural and artificial intelligence is inevitably establishing quite new and interesting society overlaying of humans and technologies with federated domination areas. The results are presently addressing the digital society transformation towards Society 5.0, whilst outreaching the next Society 6.0 expectations. The paper is going to outline a comprehensive analytical intelligence framework (i-framework) for studying the problem, adding a scenario-based proactive analysis, combined with system modelling and results hybrid multicriteria validation. The intelligent part comes from diferent AI models that are implemented in the process, giving supportive and generative added values. Finally, a concluding discussion on the outlined findings is presented.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>eol&gt;Future smart cities</kwd>
        <kwd>digital society transformation</kwd>
        <kwd>security challenges</kwd>
        <kwd>scenario-based analysis</kwd>
        <kwd>system modelling</kwd>
        <kwd>hybrid multicriteria validation</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        divide between citizens in the smart urban reality and the
rest of the populated areas. They are going to be
considDigital transformation is expected to afect in practice all ered as a new digital class with advanced capabilities but
ifelds of future society reality, including people and their will be also challenged via joint human-machine threats
residence area, adding also biotope dynamics (to note: cli- in the smart habitat [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ]. This definitely will afect future
mate changes, species migration, natural disasters, etc.) jobs and culture transformation, together with deeper
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]. As for the new urban environment of future smart smart machines, sensors and algorithms integration in
cities, the process is certainly expected to combine new the transformed people’s lifestyle and environment smart
IoTs &amp; AI, providing innovative commodities, services (to reshaping. In this context, the security, privacy and
ethmark: transportation, deliveries, education, governance, ical issues require an adequate and smart exploration
media, energy supplies, assistance, medicine, economics) approach that is proactively organized as to be earlier
and jobs for the citizens, aiming the horizon towards prepared as a civilization for this change.
the year 2050 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ]. New smart gadgets’ autonomous in- Further, an exploration methodological approach in
tegration (multifunctional robots, vehicles, etc.) with this context is going to be outlined, combining both
natthe vastly interconnected reality (due to broadband wire- ural and artificial intelligence with expert analytical
supless meshes &amp; optical network technologies enhanced port.
usage) will additionally advance the new habitual digital
landscape [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Thus, the digital change towards the post-information 2. Analytical "i-Framework"
age is expected to have both - positive and negative
transformational efects on the new Society 5.0 idea [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ]. The
situation is getting even more complicated with Society
6.0 transcends exploration [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ], where AI and machine
singularity are expected to appear in practice.
      </p>
      <p>So, new technologies are going to establish a digital
the current "i-framework" implementation is addressing
the future smart cities in particular. Being a broad
landscape example for security dynamics studying with
people &amp; technologies digital transformation, the outlined
ifndings could be further used with the broader digital
society evolution deeper exploration.</p>
      <p>Further in the paper a detailed illustration of the
trilateral "i-framework", concerning (2.1) Proactive Analytical
Modelling, (2.2) Hybrid Multicriteria Validation &amp; (2.3)
Mixed Reality Assessment will be given for the future
smart cities’ comprehensive security challenges context
exploration.</p>
      <sec id="sec-1-1">
        <title>2.1. Proactive Analytical Modelling</title>
        <p>
          Achieving proactive analytical modelling is combining
both morphological and system analysis approaches. A
starting implementation of the scenario method, with
expert and reference data, towards the establishment
of plausible and implausible scenario combinations is
accomplished. The result is a cross-consistency matrix
 , containing three types of scenarios, in accordance
with their Relative Common Weight –  : Active
(tangible), Passive (intangible) &amp; Neutral (probably most
uncertain) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
          ]. With the present study on future smart
cities, the particular matrix context towards year 2037
and post-information society of 136080 scenarios [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
          ] has
been zoomed for smart cities security topic, with a total
scenario number  * = 2880( * = 5× 3× 4× 3× 4× 4;
plausible –  1* = 86 &amp; implausible ones –  2* =
2794; from  1* are additionally selected: Active, i.e. –
"tangible" (76,  &gt; 0) &amp; Passive, i.e. – "intangible"
(10,  &lt; 0).
        </p>
        <p>As this landscape shows quite an uncertain future with
mostly implausible scenarios, a deeper analytical
causality exploration has been performed toward smart city
system sensitivity analysis.</p>
        <p>
          A "system-of-systems" modelling paradigm over an
i-fuzzy weighted graph-based "Entity – Relationship"
representation in I–SCIP-SA environment [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
          ] has been
performed.
        </p>
        <p>Taking an aggregated analytical representation into a
"3D Sensitivity Diagram" – "3D SD" with Influence – x,
Dependence – y &amp; Sensitivity – z, due to relations i-fuzzy
weights, concerning future smart cities security towards
year 2037 (simulated in 10 steps) is finally achieved with
16 entities (addressing social – yellow, technical – blue
&amp; mixed – white aspects) &amp; 41 bi-directional relations
model (see Figures 3 and 4).</p>
        <p>The resulting classification gives four classes for the
model entities distribution (with two subclasses for each:
Active – white &amp; Passive – grey) in the 3D SD diagram
as follows:</p>
        <p>Bufering (in green): "Social Credits Score" – 16, being
at the same time Passive.</p>
        <p>Active (in red): "Smart Infrastructure" – 5,
"Transformed Life" – 8, "Mixed Intelligence" – 11, all being
Active.</p>
        <p>Critical (in yellow): "Super Humans" – 3, "Human
Preservation" – 15, both being Passive &amp; "Autonomous
AI" – 2, "Data Leakages" – 6, "New Jobs" – 7, "Smart
Communication" – 9, "Criminal Activities" – 13 all being
Active.</p>
        <p>Passive (in blue): "Privacy Concerns" – 1, "World
iDomination" – 4, "AI Regulations" – 10, "Hardware
Compromising" – 12, "Law Enforcement" – 14 all being
Passive.</p>
        <p>Further, the presented quantitative classification
results could be aggregated in more detail, around several
key findings:</p>
        <p>(i) That future smart cities will create numerous threats
and challenges from their critical infrastructure
perspective [10], that could be attacked with diferent vectors:
communicational, data &amp; hardware ones. Apart of this,
the future superhumans will have a somewhat ambiguous
role with new technologically extended capabilities. So,
insider security threats are neither to be completely
excluded or added by default due to potential technological
scenarios with machine-controlled social credits and
behaviour that normally are a question of culture and social
system respect, whilst trying to keep a non-authoritarian
but secured future urban reality.</p>
        <p>As the presented expert findings are mostly based on
expert analytical beliefs, further AI-assisted validation
and assessment will also be given, trying to achieve a
comprehensive urban security landscape exploration.</p>
        <p>An overall evaluation of the exercise has been
performed by the participants (with Positive either Indefinite
judgment marks) via a q-based survey, giving feedback
for: reality, scenario &amp; interawaring complexity, AI &amp;
human factor roles, training satisfaction (see Figure 6).</p>
        <p>
          Being somewhat subjective the obtained results could
be also enriched with biometric &amp; simulation assessments
(see [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref9">1, 9</xref>
          ]) and finally combined within the system model.
        </p>
        <p>More details on these ideas will be given further.
influence. 2.2. Mixed Reality Assessment
(ii) New jobs and ambitions for intelligent world
domination will certainly appear and progress both from pos- The mixed reality assessment of the accomplished
anaitive and negative (criminal, manipulative) perspectives, lytical findings (see Section 2.1) was further conducted,
adding AI &amp; IoT with new capabilities and challenges; using a transformed reality interactive simulation,
orga(iii) Mixing artificial and natural intelligence for future nized in the framework of CYREX 2023 [11]. Assuming
smart cities’ security could be quite beneficial except a fictitious scenario events script (generated with human
if a superintelligence with negative objectives manages intellect guiding &amp; tailoring Open AI ChatGPT results),
to compromise the system due to emergency external interactively played (for about 180 minutes) from the
influences (natural or man-made disasters). trainees in several multirole teams, an exploration of
(iv) Keeping privacy and humanity present understand- future smart cities security transendents was performed.
ings will be quite diferent for the future as the role of AI The main objective of CYREX 2023 exercise was to test
&amp; IoT transformation will also demand new ethical and the human-machine inter-awareness in an imaginary
social boundaries. context, concerning the future smart cities mixed
realAll these findings will hopefully omit the dystopian ity from diferent aspects (both utopian and dystopian
people (Y- &amp; Z- generations), joining both human and
machine intelligence in the process of decision-making
and scenario development, while using a role-based
organization, multiple smart gadgets (smartphones, laptops,
advanced PCs, smart TVs &amp; interactive screens) and
platforms (Windows, Android, iOS). The training was
illustrated, combining results of artificially generated images,
videos, sounds and popular multimedia clips (assisted
with Gencraft, beatovenAI &amp; invideoAI). The approach
allows studying of complex security transcendents
dynamics in a futuristic mixed reality smart ecosystem,
giving excellent training feedback results, especially at
organizational and operational levels.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-1-2">
        <title>2.3. Hybrid Multicriteria Validation</title>
        <p>"Other" additional relations and entities. This additional
extension could be produced from both human and
generative AI hints and supplementary human discussions.
With the presented illustrative examples an added
human opinions value has been taken from SRS’2023 young
international participants in the context of Society 6.0
[13]. The machine-generated added value was produced
by taking Open AI ChatGPT feedback with the human
responses’ extension, towards machine domination,
concerning smart cities’ security near future evolution.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>3. Conclusion</title>
      <p>Proactively identifying the future smart cities’ security
challenges is a quite complex task that could benefit from
both human and machine intelligence joint eforts.
Going deeper in the problem normally requires a suitable
framework as has been already shown in the present
study. Whilst human intelligence is always subjective
by nature responsive biometric feedback could be quite
helpful with the analytical models’ more detailed
assessments. As for the role of AI, it is still at an early stage
of development and the dream for a “General AI” is still
quite limited. However, it should be honestly marked
that the generative AI on the other hand, is quite
supportive in the analytical assessment and experimental
issues. Thus, providing both a neutral opinion advisor
and a rapid prototyping tool that facilitates the
exploration eforts’ proactive nature a lot. This clearly shows
a positive technological trend for the not so far digital
future new social evolution.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Acknowledgment</title>
      <p>The results presented in this study are due to the
technological, industrial and expert support obtained in the
framework of the international forum initiative “Securing
Digital Future 21” with more than sixty countries now,
spread around the world, https://securedfuture21.org/
ciety and National Security in the Era of Cyber</p>
      <p>Warfare, IGI global, 2016, pp. 377–402.
[10] Z. Minchev, Security challenges to critical
infrastructure of future smart cities, in: Proceedings of
the 9th BISEC Conference, 2019.
[11] CYREX 2023 Multimedia Clip, https://youtu.be/</p>
      <p>m7mTfvtmtFc, 2023.
[12] Z. Minchev, Malicious Future of AI: Transcendents
in the Digital Age, in: Proceedings of the 12th</p>
      <p>BISEC Conference, 2019, pp. 18–22.
[13] International Research Summer School on
Mathematics &amp; Informatics - SRS’23, Multimedia
Report, https://www.globaldiplomatic.eu/post/
international-research-summer-school-on-mathematics-informatics-srs-23,
2023.</p>
    </sec>
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