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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>The analysis of the optimum equilibrium to a game and theory model of hierarchic game under conditions of a mixed joint project management ⋆</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Liubava Chernova</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Sergiy Titov</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Serhii Chernov</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Lyudmila Chernova</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Nataliia Kunanets</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Admiral Makarov National University of Shipbuilding, Heroes of Stalingrad</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>9, Mykolaiv, 54025</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Lviv National University named after I.Franko Universitetska</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>1, 79000, Lviv</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Lviv Polytechnic National University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Bandery, 12, Lviv, 79013</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>The article provides an analysis of the optimum equilibrium to a game and theory model of hierarchic game under conditions of a mixed joint project management. The authors considered a situation providing for a project being managed both by the head organization and by several contractor companies. They proposed a mathematic model enabling determination of the optimum strategies of each party and finding the Nash equilibrium in the game. The analysis results can be useful for efficient management of joint projects under conditions of competition and cooperation between contractors and the head organization. The paper shows an approach to analysis and synthesis of management in matrix structures of the project management based on the game and theory modeling in hierarchic game systems.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>IT project</kwd>
        <kwd>Agile management methodology</kwd>
        <kwd>management of organizational processes</kwd>
        <kwd>evolutionary modeling</kwd>
        <kwd>management efficiency</kwd>
        <kwd>theory model</kwd>
        <kwd>hierarchic game1</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <sec id="sec-1-1">
        <title>Modern projects become more and more complicated and have many components</title>
        <p>depending on several participants. Under such conditions, it is important to have efficient
models of management taking account of the hierarchic structure and interaction between
different participants. The project management under modern conditions includes
elements of competition between various contractors or partners. The use of the method of
optimum equilibrium of a game and theory model of hierarchic game under conditions of a</p>
        <p>0000- 0001-7846-9034 (L. Chernova); 0000-0001-8772-9889 (S. Titov); 0000-0002-9069-0409 (S.
Chernov); 0000-0002-0666-0742 (L. Chernova); 0000-0003-3007-2462 (N. Kunanets)</p>
        <p>© 2023 Copyright for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
mixed joint project management enables successful implementation of complicated
projects based on joint initiatives.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. State of the research problem</title>
      <p>
        Creation of a team became the basic method of combining resources and experience for
attaining a particular purpose with distribution of risks and win at the same time. The team
management is important for a proper and efficient settlement and management of
conflicts. The advantages and success in conflicts settlement enables enlarging the project
scale [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]. Failure of a joint project has a negative impact both upon the parties involved and
upon its implementation success [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ]. The article [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] describes an approach to solving a
planning optimization problem subject to resources coordination and with account taken
of integration and cooperation difficulties [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ]. In the opinion of researchers [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ], the hybrid
project management is an approach combining conventional and flexible project
management methods to utilize the merits of each approach and to avoid demerits at the
same time. The authors also analyzed the strong and weak sides of the hybrid approach in
general. The paper [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ] confirms the reasonability of using the project, program and portfolio
management methodology for solving the problem of developing the integrated
organization management strategy. It proposes a model of managing a system of equipment
based on information technologies with account taken of application of the project and
portfolio management methodology. The work [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ] presents approaches to evaluating
success of a project based on a multi-criterial analysis and integrated approach to fuzzy
situational management with production rules [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ]. The research proposed approaches to
evaluating the energy potential of the organization in which the project is implemented, the
authors provided a conceptual approach to assessing the organization condition [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9, 10</xref>
        ] The
scientists presented a game and theory tree of useful programs for taking decisions in
competitive scenarios [11], they showed an example of a real-time strategic game [12]. The
article proves that hierarchic game modeling contributes to using the most modern
approach to joint decision taking and information forecasting among the agents [13-19].
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>The understanding of the optimum strategies and the equilibrium between the project</title>
        <p>participants helps to efficiently implement them and ensures competitive advantages. Using
the method of game and theory model analysis enables determining the optimum solutions
for project managers and companies participating in joint projects. This facilitates avoiding
conflicts and safeguards the optimum usage of project resources.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Mixed joint project management</title>
      <p>The mixed joint project management is an approach including combined elements of
various methodologies and approaches to project management aimed at optimization of
results and assurance of a successful project result. This approach is distinguished with its
flexibility and adaptiveness to enable using various methods and approaches depending on
certain project needs and conditions. Particularly, it enables the project teams to be more
flexible and adaptive to changes that may happen throughout the project period. Mixed
management allows using the best practices from various methodologies, such as Agile,</p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>Waterfall, Lean, etc., for attaining the optimum results. A mixed management enables</title>
        <p>balancing the requirements to the product development period and its quality, budget and
risks, which assures successful project implementation with minimum expenses and risks.
Using various methods and approaches can contribute to increase of the project efficiency
providing more exact reflection of the client needs and better utilization of resources. It also
facilitates development of the cooperation and communication culture in the team. The
teams learn to interact and to share their knowledge and experience, which helps increasing
the efficiency of work. The main objective of the mixed management consists in achieving
successful project results by means of combining various methods and approaches
corresponding to the project conditions and needs in the best way. Taken in general, mixed
management of a joint project permits the teams to be more flexible, adaptive and efficient
in project management ensuring the attainment of results desired.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-2">
        <title>The analysis of the optimum equilibrium of a game and theory model to hierarchic game</title>
        <p>can take the key part in a mixed management of joint project, to ensure the following:</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-3">
        <title>Determination of strategies. The analysis of the game model enables identifying the optimum strategies for each project participant under conditions of competition or cooperation. This can be useful for development of action plans and decision taking aimed at achieving the planned results.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-4">
        <title>Assessment of risks. The game equilibrium analysis helps assessing possible risks and</title>
        <p>consequences of various strategies for all project participants. This allows avoiding
unexpected problems and solving conflicts before their escalation.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-5">
        <title>Optimization of resources. The game model analysis helps determining the optimum distribution of resources among the project participants with account taken of their own objectives and restrictions. This helps utilizing the resources efficiently and maximizing the total profit from the project.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-6">
        <title>Planning and decision taking. Based on the optimum game equilibrium analysis, it is possible to develop planning and decision-taking strategies facilitating the attainment of the harmony and joint purposes of the project.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-7">
        <title>Management of conflicts. The game model analysis allows identifying possible sources of</title>
        <p>conflicts and developing strategies of their management. This can include a search for
compromise solutions or development of conflicts solving mechanisms. Therefore, the
analysis of the optimum equilibrium to a hierarchic game theory and game model is an
important tool for efficient management of a joint project, which enables avoiding conflicts,
optimizing utilization of resources and attaining the joint objectives.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-8">
        <title>For analyzing the optimum equilibrium to a game and theory model of a hierarchic game under conditions of a mixed management of a joint project, the following algorithm is to be carried out:</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-9">
        <title>Step 1. Determining the participants. First, all the project participants having effect upon its results are to be identified. These can be various contractors, partners, clients and other parties.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-10">
        <title>Step 2. Determining the strategies. Possible project management strategies are to be determined for each participant. These can be such solutions as assumption of risk, fulfilment of tasks within a prescribed period, negotiations with other participants, etc.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-11">
        <title>Step 3. Construction of a game and theory model. Based on determined participants and their possible strategies, a game and theory model is developed to reflect interaction between the participants and their possible action variants.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-12">
        <title>Step 4. Equilibrium analysis. Various methods are used for analyzing the game theory for</title>
        <p>determining the optimum equilibrium between the participants. These can be Nash
analysis, a decision based on dominating strategies or other methods.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-13">
        <title>Step 5. Assessment of results. As soon as the equilibrium is found, its effect on the project</title>
        <p>results is to be assessed. Such factors are to be taken into account as the resources
utilization efficiency, risks minimization and participants’ needs satisfaction.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-14">
        <title>Step 6. Solution of the optimum strategy: Based on the analysis results, the optimum project management strategy is to be chosen for each participant with the aim at attaining the best results for all parties.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-15">
        <title>It is reasonable to use this algorithm for analyzing the optimum equilibrium to a game and theory model of hierarchic game under conditions of a mixed joint project management and selection of strategies to the best satisfaction of the needs of all participants.</title>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. The problem of mixed management of centers above the game participants</title>
      <p>Let us consider a problem of mixed management by project managers of the actions of team
members presented from the game and theory side. We might have a two-level system U ,
which consists on the top hierarchic level of n project managers C , C2 , …, Cn , whose
1
actions are aimed at the controlled objects, team members having different functions, A ,
j
j = 1,</p>
      <p>, m . A hierarchic game contains two types of participants to this game, project
managers</p>
      <p>Ci
and
executing
team
members</p>
      <p>A ,
j
U = G =  C1,C2 , ,Cn , A1, A2 , , Am . (Fig. 1)</p>
      <p>In multilevel systems, one and the same player can be the project manager and an
executive at the same time, i.e. it can fulfil instructions of the game participants occupying
higher hierarchic levels. Depending on their behavior strategies selected, game participants
can be characterized by the level of activity having effect on the position and behavior
strategy selection of all hierarchic system participants. Participants’ behavior strategies are
represented on the set of their positions by target functions putting their wins in
correspondence with strategy vectors.</p>
      <p>At the same time, the system participants’ behavior strategies are subordinated to the
behavior reasonability, in other terms – to their target function maximization. This
approach separates the subset of priority actions from the set of all possible actions. In the
system equilibrium concept selected, the game participants, while acting without
cooperation, i.e. selecting their optimum behavior strategies without cooperation with
other players, have to move to the Nash equilibrium point.</p>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>Project managers</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-2">
        <title>Executing players</title>
        <p>C1
A1</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-3">
        <title>Hierarchic game</title>
        <p>C
2
A2</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-4">
        <title>Second-move players</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-5">
        <title>Follows: ascertained: Figure 1: A game and theory model of hierarchic game</title>
        <p>X A1 ==  x A11 , x A21 , , x Am1  .</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-6">
        <title>Let the total set of selected strategies be equal to:</title>
        <p>X C ==  x C11 , x C21 , , xC1l  ,
1
x ==  x C1l , x A1  =  x1, x2  .
m</p>
        <sec id="sec-4-6-1">
          <title>For each of the participants of base system G1 , the following target functions are</title>
          <p>WC1 == WC1 ( x C1l , x Am1 ) - target function of project manager C1 ,</p>
          <p>WA1 == WA1 ( x C1l , x Am1 ) - target function of player A1 .
It consists of one project manager C1 as a managing body on the top hierarchic level, and
one executive A1 - on the bottom level. We interpret our first base game and theory model
G1 as a normal game U =  C1, A1  G1 , in which two players C1 and A1 are
participating. For each participant of game G1 , sets of all possible behavior strategies are
determined as</p>
          <p>A certain real number being the player’s win is put by target functions in correspondence
with each solution vector  x1, x2  .</p>
          <p>The full normal form of hierarchic game G1 , which models this simplest linear system,
contains the following set: players, strategies and target functions</p>
          <p>G1 == C1, A1, X C1 , X A1 , WC1 , WA1  .</p>
          <p>In hierarchic game G1 , strategy x C1l is chosen by project manager C1 first, and only
after that, subject to the project manager selected already known, the second player –
member of team A1 selects its strategy x Am1 .</p>
          <p>The target function of center WC1 == WC1 ( x C1l , x Am1 ) depends on both the selected
own strategy x C1i X C1 ==  x C11 , x C21 , , xC1l  and the strategy of player A1
x A1j X A1 ==  x A11 , x A21 , , x Am1  . The value of the win of executive A1 is defined by its
target function WA == WA ( x C1l , x Am1 ) , which depends on the same variables in the same
1 1
way. In view of this, we have a hierarchic game of two players in normal form. Should there
be no additional conditions of selecting the strategies, the game is to be solved by selecting
a Nash equilibrium.</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-7">
        <title>If it is supposed that the project manager selected a management strategy and let it know</title>
        <p>to executive A1 , the respective hierarchic game is called game G1 . Let us consider possible
behavior of the second player subject to the first player’s strategy being known.</p>
        <p>The set of actions, on which the executive’s target function maximum is acquired with
the fixed selection of center, is defined under the formula:</p>
        <p>WA1 == arg max WA1 ( x A1jx C1l , x Am1) .</p>
        <p>The set of solutions to game G1 depends on strategy X C ==  x C11 , x C21 , , xC1l  of
1
the center’s behavior. If center C1 and executive A1 are aware of the supposed sets and
target functions, the center can forecast the reaction of player A1 upon its action. Having
the possibility to use its own target function WC == WC ( x C1l , x Am1 ) , the center can
1 1
confidently forecast the behavior of player A1 from the supposed set of its strategies
X A ==  x A11 , x A21 , , x Am1  . In the vast majority of cases, there are several variants of
1
such behavior strategies of the second player. Therefore, canonical assumptions of the
decision-taking theory are to be introduced into consideration. These assumptions consist
in optimistic and pessimistic criteria.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-8">
        <title>Let us consider the optimistic criterion in the beginning. In this case, the second player</title>
        <p>A1 will have a positive attitude to managing center C1 in game G1 . Accordingly, the second
player A1 will select such actions within the set of supposed actions that maximize the
target function of the project manager. At the same time, the project manager will also
maximize the target function as a reasonable player. Therefore, the optimum management
in game G1 will consist in such a project manager strategy that implements the maximum
on the set of supposed actions of such a function, which the values of maximums on the set
of supposed actions of the second player (the managed object) have been applied to. For the
optimistic criterion, we’ll have the following solution:</p>
        <p>x C1i arg mxXaCx1 mxXaAx1 WC1 ( x A1jx C1l , x Am1) .</p>
        <p>Taking the pessimistic criterion into consideration, it’s not difficult to obtain the
maximin concept with respective solution as given below:</p>
        <p>x C1i arg mxXaCx1 mxXinA1 WC1 ( x A1jx C1l , x Am1)</p>
        <p>The base hierarchic game G1 can be considered under decision-taking criteria with two
solutions. The first is optimistic: arg mxXaCx1 mxXaAx1 WC1
arg max min W ( x A1x C1l , x A1) is the maximum guaranteed win of the project
xXC1 xX A1 C1 j m
manager.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-9">
        <title>The game and theory modeling, subject to the project manager having selected its own</title>
        <p>strategy depending on the strategy selected by A1 team member, will be provided by the
( x A1x C1l , x A1) , and the second:
j m
second base game G2 . (Fig. 3)</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-10">
        <title>Base system</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-11">
        <title>First-move player</title>
        <p>G
2
Project
manager
x C1 ( x A1 )
m
l
C</p>
        <p>1
A
1
x A1
m</p>
        <p>Team
member</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-12">
        <title>Second-move player</title>
        <p>The set of project manager’s strategies will already be a function of the second player’s
strategies
solutions:</p>
        <sec id="sec-4-12-1">
          <title>Analyzing game G2 by complete analogy with game G1 , we obtain two possible</title>
          <p>x ==  x 1 ( x Am1 ), x A1  =  x1 ( x2 ), x2  .</p>
          <p>C</p>
          <p>l m
x C1 arg max max W
i
xXC1 xX A1</p>
          <p>C1
( x == x 1 ( x Am1 ), x Am1) та</p>
          <p>C
l
x C1i arg mxXaCx1 mxXinA1 WC1 ( x == x 1l ( x Am1 ), x Am1) де
C
x A1j arg max WA
1
(x 1 ( x Am1 ), x Am1) .</p>
          <p>C
l</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-13">
        <title>The solution of this game and theory problem contains such a team member management function that consists of two modes: reward mode and punishment mode. A reward is effected if player executes what is necessary for the project manager. A punishment is applied failing this.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-14">
        <title>Let our game and theory problem have player C as the project manager and player A as</title>
        <p>a team member. Let the project manager’s strategies set already be a function of the second
player’s strategies. During the game analysis by complete analogy, we obtained two possible
solutions: G1 and G2, where G1 represents the reward mode and G2 - the punishment mode.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-15">
        <title>Now the solution of this game and theory problem includes such a team member</title>
        <p>management function that consists of two modes: the reward mode and the punishment
mode. This mode is applied depending on whether the team member completes the tasks
required for successful project implementation or fails to complete them.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-16">
        <title>For instance, the reward mode may provide for giving bonuses or remuneration to team members for completing their tasks in good time and quality. The punishment mode may provide for imposing fines or dismissal in case of failing to complete or incorrect completion of the tasks.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-17">
        <title>Therefore, this instance shows how the game and theory model optimum equilibrium analysis can be applied for developing an efficient management strategy by team members under conditions of a mixed joint project management.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-18">
        <title>Should the analysis of the optimum equilibrium of the game and theory model to</title>
        <p>hierarchic game be applied for solving this problem, it can be expected that each player
would maximize its win with account taken of the other player’s actions and its own
possibilities.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-19">
        <title>For example, if the function of the project manager (player C) consists in ensuring efficient work of the team and fulfilling the project in good time, its strategies can include tasks distribution, works completion control and setting-up reward or punishment mechanisms.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-20">
        <title>Let us try to consider an example of solution aided by analysis of the optimum equilibrium to the hierarchic game theory and game model:</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-21">
        <title>Let player C (the project manager) in our game have the following strategies: G1 (reward</title>
        <p>mode) and G2 (punishment mode). Player A (a team member) also has its own strategies
relative to the project manager’s actions.</p>
        <p>Analyzing possible combinations of players’ strategies, we can find the optimum
equilibrium that maximizes the total win of both the parties. This equilibrium can be
achieved by means of agreement upon both players’ actions in such a way that nobody can
get a bigger win by changing its own strategy.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-22">
        <title>Therefore, the analysis of the optimum equilibrium to a game and theory model can help</title>
        <p>finding the optimum strategies of the project management and team’s participation, which
will ensure successful project implementation under mixed management conditions.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>5. Conclusions</title>
      <sec id="sec-5-1">
        <title>The obtained results show that the analysis of the optimum equilibrium to a hierarchic</title>
        <p>game theory and game model can be an efficient tool for solving problems of joint projects
management. Using the game theory in the context of a mixed joint project management
enables taking account of the differing interests of various project participants and finding
the optimum strategies of cooperation between them.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-5-2">
        <title>The considered problem solution examples show that the optimum equilibrium can be</title>
        <p>achieved by means of agreement upon all project participants’ actions, which facilitates
successful implementation of the project tasks. The research results can be useful for
project managers and team members while taking strategic decisions and setting up
efficient management mechanisms under conditions of difficult project environments.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-5-3">
        <title>Therefore, the analysis of the optimum equilibrium to a hierarchic game theory and game model under conditions of mixed joint project management can assist in solving complicated tasks of management and contribute to successful projects implementation.</title>
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