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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Verifying the Economic Potential of Low-Carbon Energy Using Artificial Intelligence in Transport</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Olena Borysiak</string-name>
          <email>o.borysiak@wunu.edu.ua</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Volodymyr Manzhula</string-name>
          <email>volodymyrmanzhula@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Yuliya Bila</string-name>
          <email>yuliya.sudyn@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Nataliia Petryshyn</string-name>
          <email>nataliia.petryshynn@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Dmytro Vovchuk</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>West Ukrainian National University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>11 Lvivska Str., Ternopil, 46000</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>Integration of artificial intelligence in the transport networks plays a crucial role in the path towards green transport transition. Considering this, the article is devoted to developing methodology for verifying the economic potential of low-carbon energy using artificial intelligence in transport. To reach this goal, it was used the method of correlation-regression analysis, which allowed to identify key factors, characterize their influence on the resulting variable (gross value added), and established causal relationships between the factors and the resulting variable in an analytical form. It has been investigated that the use of natural energy sources by transport has an effect on the reduction of gross value added in transport. Conversely, the use of low-carbon energy sources (particularly biofuels) and electricity with the using artificial intelligence in transport is a factor that promotes an increase in gross value added, while also ensuring climate neutrality. It were base for the development of the substantive components of forming a digital communicative environment for providing eco-transport services. The obtained results are the basis for further research on the use of GIS technologies in the diversification of low-carbon energy sources in transport.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>eol&gt;Smart transport</kwd>
        <kwd>smart urban mobility</kwd>
        <kwd>green transport</kwd>
        <kwd>artificial intelligence</kwd>
        <kwd>low-carbon energy1</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <sec id="sec-1-1">
        <title>1.1. Problem statement</title>
        <p>Under the low-carbon energy and transport transition, the use of artificial intelligence is aimed
at enhancing the efficiency of renewable energy sources in transport, mitigating risks associated
with their integration into the energy grid, coordinating technological processes of energy
production and supply for transport, conducting monitoring and verification of ecological and
economic impacts of using low-carbon energy sources in transport. "Technologies (more
precisely, "technological changes") are considered to be the main drivers of structural
transformations of territorial economic development; the emergence and disappearance of new
products and production technologies occur within specific territories and largely depend on
their ability to generate specific innovations" [1].</p>
        <p>Furthermore, the Fourth Industrial Revolution was characterized as the synergy of the
physical, digital, and biological spheres in technologies. At this stage of innovation development,
it should be noted that there is a rapid transition from Industry 4.0 technologies to Industry 5.0
and beyond.</p>
        <p>To ensure the implementation of measures for prevention, mitigation, and adaptation to
climate change through the use of "green" digital technologies in the European Union, the
Declaration "Green and Digital Transformation of the EU" has been approved. This Declaration
includes the development of green digital technologies for the achieve climate neutrality in
priority sectors including transport. In turn, participants of the COP26, COP27, and COP28
Conferences in 2021-2023 also focused on climate change. This determines the need for verifying
the effectiveness of low-carbon energy sources using artificial intelligence tools in transport.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-1-2">
        <title>1.2. Related work</title>
        <p>
          In the context of developing a "smart" city and green urban mobility, "among the innovative
solutions, the application of piezoelectric sensors is highlighted for converting deformations and
vibrations on sidewalk layers into electrical energy" [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">2</xref>
          ]. Moreover, it is greatly valuable to
consider "European experience in forming "smart" cities and managing "smart" transport by
developing various programs based on the Internet of Things (for example, "smart" traffic lights
equipped based on artificial intelligence systems) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4">3, 4, 5</xref>
          ].
        </p>
        <p>
          The smart transition to managing urban transport infrastructure involves using artificial
intelligence in the city to increase interactivity and efficiency of the urban transport
infrastructure. At the same time, with the aim of saving the environment, ensuring economic
growth, and social justice, significant importance is attributed to forming a culture of responsible
consumption of available resources. Specifically, the formation of a smart city development
system entails three pillars (citizen engagement, infrastructure based on digital technologies, and
urban services) and six universally recognized dimensions (people, economy, governance,
mobility, environment, and the level and quality of population life). "Intelligent transport system
technologies include modern wireless, electronic, and automated technologies that can reduce
emissions through optimize traffic flows" [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">6</xref>
          ].
        </p>
        <p>
          In the context of researching the introduction of low-carbon technologies in transport based
on using green energy and the development of smart cities [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6 ref7 ref8">7, 8, 9</xref>
          ], the concept of the "energy
network of the future" includes digital technologies that utilize renewable energy sources. The
management of such a system is carried out using artificial intelligence tools" [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">10</xref>
          ]. In [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">11</xref>
          ] the
smart interaction between producers of "green" thermal energy and consumers is based on
solutions of the HEAT 4.0 project. The integration of digital technologies and artificial intelligence
into the energy grid necessitates determining the economic potential of low-carbon energy using
artificial intelligence. Under the "smart" sustainable mobility and municipal ecology, it is
important to diagnose the role of low-carbon energy using artificial intelligence in transport. The
functioning of web systems for environmental expertise is considered in the work [21]. Air
pollution from the influence of motor vehicles is also given in the work [22]
        </p>
        <p>The purpose of the article is to develop a methodology for verifying the economic
potential of low-carbon energy using artificial intelligence in transport.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Materials and Methods</title>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>2.1. Methodology</title>
        <p>
          Ensuring the transition of enterprises to a low-carbon energy management system using artificial
intelligence is based on the results of previous research conducted by the authors. Specifically, it
involves the algorithm of operation of "smart" energy networks based on omnichannel principles
[
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11 ref3">4, 12</xref>
          ], the interaction between consumers of "green" energy, companies producing "green"
energy, and energy service companies in a virtual environment [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12 ref3">4, 13</xref>
          ], using environmentally
friendly technologies by enterprises [14]. The conducted research serves as a basis for developing
an algorithm for verifying the economic efficiency of low-carbon energy sources using artificial
intelligence tools.
        </p>
        <p>The Figure 1 demonstrates the algorithm used for "smart" energy networks based on
omnichannel principles, which was used for research. In particular, this algorithm includes the
creation of virtual corporate platforms, and mobile applications for synchronizing the requests
of eco-transport users with information about operating electric filling stations. In our research,
the use of various types of energy with the application of artificial intelligence is considered as a
factorial space (factors of influence) for the formation of economic stability (gross value added)
of economic entities based on principles of resource efficiency and low-carbon development.</p>
        <p>To reach this goal, it was used the method of correlation-regression analysis, which allowed
to identify key factors, characterize their influence on the resulting variable (gross value added),
and established causal relationships between the factors and the resulting variable in an
analytical form. This will enable us to verify the effectiveness of low-carbon energy sources using
artificial intelligence tools. For the study, we will use statistical data on energy consumption
relative to oil equivalent, as well as data on output and gross value added by types of economic
activities [15, 16].</p>
        <p>For factorial analysis, we use the correlation-regression analysis, which allows to identify the
dependence of the economic potential of low-carbon energy sources using artificial intelligence
tools on the types of energy used in production processes, such as petroleum (oil) products,
natural gas, biofuels, and electricity. The procedure for searching for dependencies typically
includes stages of establishing the presence and significance of the relationship between them, as
well as the possibility of representing this dependency in the form of a nonlinear multiple
regression which is presented with a following formula:
 ( ⃗) =  1 +  2 ∙  1 3 +  4 ∙  2 5 +  6 ∙  3 7 +  8 ∙  4 9
(1)
 ( ⃗)is the indicator of the economic potential of low-carbon energy sources using artificial
intelligence tools in transport (added gross value);</p>
        <p>⃗is vector of values of impact factors corresponding to types of energy used in production
processes. In particular, the types are:
 1– petroleum products;
 2 – natural gas;
 3 – biofuels;
 4 – electricity;
 1, … ,  9 – parameters of nonlinear model.</p>
        <p>To build the correlation field and regression equation, we used the Microsoft Excel
spreadsheet software from the Microsoft Office 2019 suite of applications.</p>
        <p>The analytical representation of the stochastic connection of energy consumption factors and
the indicator of the economic potential of low-carbon energy sources using artificial intelligence
tools in transport has the form of non-linear polynomial functions of the second degree and the
third degree.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>2.2. Case study</title>
        <p>The first stage in the specified statistical analysis involves identifying the so-called correlation or
correlation dependence. To do this, we will construct a correlation plot, where the x-axis will
represent the value of the factor, and the y-axis will represent the value of the indicator of the
economic potential of low-carbon energy sources using artificial intelligence tools. The second
stage involves constructing the regression equation (1) for the investigated features. This is done
using the method of least squares, where the coefficient of determination R2 is used as a statistical
measure of the dependency of the variation of the dependent variable on the variation of the
independent variables.</p>
        <p>The analytical representation of the stochastic interconnection between energy consumption
factors and the indicator of the economic potential of low-carbon energy sources using artificial
intelligence tools in transport takes the form of nonlinear polynomial functions of the second and
third degree.</p>
        <p>Based on the formed factors (types of energy used in the production process: petroleum
products, natural gas, biofuels, electricity), we will construct an econometric model of the
economic potential of low-carbon energy sources using artificial intelligence tools in transport.
For this purpose, we will use the apparatus of regression analysis, specifically the method of least
squares (MLS).</p>
        <p>Taking into account the results obtained from the correlation-regression analysis of stochastic
relationships between factors and the indicator of economic potential of low-carbon energy
sources using artificial intelligence tools in transportation, we will build the econometric model
in the form of a nonlinear multiple regression.</p>
        <p>The model of the economic potential of low-carbon energy sources using artificial intelligence
tools in transport looks as follows:
 ̂( ⃗) = 25597+ 539,1  1−12.763 + 222,02 21.0605 + (2)</p>
        <p>+4,8476∙ 105 30.13014 + 2127,3 40.99234</p>
        <p>To project the model, the MatLab software suit has been used. Precisely, the fitnlm function of
NonLinearModel, which belongs to Statistics and Machine Learning Toolbox. This specific tool is
designated to analyze and model data using statistics and machine learning.</p>
        <p>The diagram in Figure 2 demonstrates that the factors of energy consumption, such as natural
gas, biofuels, and electricity, have the greatest influence on the economic potential of low-carbon
energy sources using artificial intelligence tools in transport.</p>
        <p>It has been investigated that the use of natural energy sources by transport has an effect on
the reduction of gross value added in transport. Conversely, the use of low-carbon energy sources
(particularly biofuels) and electricity with the using artificial intelligence in transport is a factor
that promotes an increase in gross value added, while also ensuring climate neutrality. It were
base for the development of the substantive components of forming a digital communicative
environment for providing eco-transport services.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Discussion</title>
      <p>However, "the total volume of annual greenhouse gas emissions, including those from land-use
changes, reached a record level of 55.3 Gt(gigatons) of CO₂e in 2018. CO₂ emissions from the
combustion of fossil fuels in energy and industry, which dominate the total volume of GHG
emissions, increased by 2% in 2018, reaching a record 37.5 Gt of CO₂e per year" [17].</p>
      <p>This stimulates constant improvement of low-carbon activities of transport, and expansion of
environmentally friendly processes. Particular importance lies in the verification of the economic
potential of low-carbon energy using artificial intelligence in transport.</p>
      <p>The trends in the development of artificial intelligence (smart technologies) influence the
determination of the format of climate management in the using low-carbon energy by transport.
The development of "smart" local energy networks based on the using Smart Grid system, which
is aimed at automating the management process of production, transmission, and distribution of
electrical energy [18, 19, 20].</p>
      <p>"In the context of Internet of Things development, both Distributed Ledger Technologies
(DLTs) and blockchain networks serve as the foundation for diversifying the directions of smart
city development" [19]. Taking this into account, the formation of organizational support for
integrating low-carbon innovations into the transport system involves using artificial intelligence
to verify the effectiveness of low-carbon energy innovations in transport. Given this, the specifics
of forming the architecture of the communicative environment in the context of climate-neutral
development lie in considering the digital technologies development.</p>
      <p>With this being noted and considering the obtained results of verifying the economic potential
of low-carbon energy sources using artificial intelligence in transportation, it was presented the
substantive component of forming a digital communicative environment for providing
ecotransport services. This would involve establishing the following stages:
1. Direction of offering low-carbon transport services and requesting identification of
transport users' needs based on the following indicators: level of adoption of
climateneutral technologies; level of business process digitization (input).
2. Synergy of needs with the economic potential of low-carbon energy sources using
artificial intelligence in transport;
3. Prototype testing of the low-carbon transport services and concurrent monitoring
feedback.
4. Refinement of the prototype for low-carbon transport services.
5. Provision of low-carbon transport services using artificial intelligence to transport
users (output).</p>
      <p>The introduction of such an algorithm for forming a digital communicative environment by
transport companies is resource-oriented, which will contribute to achieving climate-neutrality
of transport.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. Conclusions</title>
      <p>The formation of a green transport environment necessitates a focus on defining a
methodological approach to verifying economic potential of low-carbon energy using artificial
intelligence in transport. It has been investigated that the use of natural energy sources by
transport has an effect on the reduction of gross value added in transport. Conversely, the use of
low-carbon energy sources (particularly biofuels) and electricity with the using artificial
intelligence in transport is a factor that promotes an increase in gross value added, while also
ensuring climate neutrality. It were base for the development of the substantive components of
forming a digital communicative environment for providing eco-transport services.</p>
      <p>With this considering the obtained results of verifying the economic potential of low-carbon
energy sources using artificial intelligence in transport, it were base for the development of the
substantive components of forming a digital communicative environment for providing
ecotransport services. The obtained results are the basis for further research on the use of GIS
technologies in the diversification of low-carbon energy sources in transport.
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