=Paper=
{{Paper
|id=Vol-375/paper-2
|storemode=property
|title=ANN for prognosis of abdominal pain in childhood: use of fuzzy modelling for convergence estimation
|pdfUrl=https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-375/paper1.pdf
|volume=Vol-375
}}
==ANN for prognosis of abdominal pain in childhood: use of fuzzy modelling for convergence estimation==
ANN for prognosis of abdominal pain
in childhood: use of fuzzy modelling
for convergence estimation
George C. Anastassopoulos, Lazaros S. Iliadis
Abstract. This paper focuses in two parallel objectives. First it decision rules can predict which children are at risk for
aims in presenting a series of Artificial Neural Network models appendicitis (appendicitis is the most common surgical condition
that are capable of performing prognosis of abdominal pain in of the abdomen). One such numerically based system is based on
childhood. Clinical medical data records have been gathered and a 6-part scoring system: nausea (6 point), history of local RLQ
used towards this direction. Its second target is the presentation and pain (2 point), migration of pain (1 point), difficulty walking (1
application of an innovative fuzzy algebraic model capable of point), rebound tenderness / pain with percussion (2 point), and
evaluating Artificial Neural Networks’ performance [1]. This absolute neutrophil count of >6.75 x 10`3/μL (6 point). A score <5
model offers a flexible approach that uses fuzzy numbers, fuzzy had a sensitivity of 96.3% with a negative predictive value of
sets and various fuzzy intensification and dilution techniques to 95.6% for AA.
perform assessment of neural models under different perspectives. To date, all efforts to find clinical features or laboratory tests,
It also produces partial and overall evaluation indices. The either alone or in combination, that are able to diagnose
produced ANN models have proven to perform the classification appendicitis with 100% sensitivity or specificity have proven
with significant success in the testing phase with first time seen futile. Also, there is only one research work [4] in bibliography
data. based on ANN that deals with the abdominal pain prognosis in
childhood.
The incidence of Acute Appendicitis (AA) is 4 cases per 1000
1 INTRODUCTION children. However appendicitis despite pediatric surgeons’ best
efforts remains the most commonly misdiagnosed surgical
The wide range of problems in which Artificial Neural
condition. Although diagnosis and treatment have improved,
Networks can be used with promising results, is the reason of their
appendicitis continues to cause significant morbidity and still
growth [2, 3]. Some of the fields that ANNs are used are: medical
remains, although rarely, a cause of death. Appendicitis has a
systems [4-6], robotics [7], industry [8 – 11], image processing
male-to-female ratio of 3:2 with a peak incidence between ages 12
[12], applied mathematics [13], financial analysis [14],
and 18 years. The mean age in the pediatric population is 6-10
environmental risk modelling [15] and others.
years. The lifetime risk is 8.6% for boys and 6.7% for girls.
Prognosis is a medical term denoting an attempt of physician to
The 15 factors that are used in the routine clinical practice for
accurately estimate how a patient's disease will progress, and
the assessment of AA in childhood are: Sex, Age, Religion,
whether there is chance of recovery, based on an objective set of
Demographic data, Duration of Pain, Vomitus, Diarrhea, Anorexia,
factors that represent that situation. The inference about prognosis
Tenderness, Rebound, Leucocytosis, Neutrophilia, Urinalysis,
of a patient when presented with complex clinical and prognostic
Temperature, Constipation. The sex (males), the age (peak of
information is a common problem, in clinical medicine. The
appearance of A.A in children aged 9 to 13 years), and the religion
diagnosis of a disease is the outcome of combination of clinical
(hygiene condition, feeding attitudes, genetic predisposition) were
and laboratorial examinations through medical techniques.
in relation with a higher frequency for AA. Anorexia, vomitus,
In this paper various ANN architectures using different learning
diarrhea or constipation and a slight elevation of the temperature
rules, transfer functions and optimization algorithms have been
(370 C - 380 C) were common manifestation of AA. Additionally,
tried. This research effort was motivated form the fact that reliable
abdominal tenderness principally in the RLQ of the abdomen and
and seasonable detection of abdomen pain constitute attainments in
the existence of the rebound sign, are strongly related with AA.
effective treatment of disease and avoidance of relapses. That is
Leucocytosis (>10.800 K/μl) with neutrophilia (neutrophil count >
why the development of such an intelligent model that can
75%) is considered to be a significant clue for AA. Urinalysis is
collaborate with the doctors will be very useful towards successful
useful for detecting urinary tract disease, normal findings on
treatment of potential patients.
urinalysis are of limited diagnostic value for appendicitis.
The role of race, ethnicity, health insurance, education, access to
healthcare, and economic status on the development and treatment
2 DIAGNOSTIC FACTORS OF ABDOMINAL of appendicitis are widely debated. Cogent arguments have been
PAIN made on both sides for and against the significance of each
Several reports have described clinical scoring systems socioeconomic or racial condition. A genetic predisposition
incorporating specific elements of the history, physical appears operative in some cases, particularly in children in whom
examination, and laboratory studies designed to improve diagnostic appendicitis develops before age 6 years. Although the disorder is
accuracy of abdominal pain [16]. Nothing is guaranteed, but uncommon in infants and elderly, these groups have a
Democritus University of Thrace, Hellenic Open University disproportionate number of compilations because of delays in
anasta@med.duth.gr, liliadis@fmenr.duth.gr diagnosis and the presence of comorbid conditions.
1
As diagnosis, there are four stages of appendicitis, including (TanH) transfer function the input data were normalized (divided
acute focal appendicitis, acute supurative appendicitis, gangrenous properly) in order to be included in the acceptable range of [-3, 3]
appendicitis and perforated appendicitis. These distinctions are to avoid problems such as saturation, where an element’s
vague, and only the clinically relevant distinction of perforated summation value (the sum of the inputs times the weights) exceeds
(gangrenous appendicitis includes into this entity as dead intestine the acceptable network range [17]. Standard back-propagation
functionally acts as a perforation) versus non-perforated optimization algorithms using TanH, or Sigmoid or Digital Neural
appendicitis (acute focal and supurative appendicitis) should be Network Architecture (DNNA) transfer functions, combined with
made. the Extended Delta Bar Delta (ExtDBD) or with the Quick Prop
The present study is based on data set that is obtained from the learning rules [18, 19] were employed. The ExtDBD is a heuristic
Pediatric Surgery Clinical Information System of the University technique reinforcing good general trends and damping oscillations
Hospital of Alexandroupolis, Greece. It consisted of 516 children’s [20].
medical records. Some of these children had different stages of Modular and radial basis function (RBF) ANN applying the
appendicitis and, therefore, underwent operative treatment. This ExtDBD learning rule and the TanH transfer function were also
data set was divided into a set of 422 records and another set of 94 used in an effort to determine the optimal networks. RBFs have an
records. The former was used for training of the ANN, while the internal representation of hidden neurons which are radially
latter for testing. A small number of data records were used as a symmetric, and the hidden layer consists of pattern units fully
validation set during training to avoid overfitting. Table 1 connected to a linear output layer [21, 22].
represents the stages of appendicitis as well as the corresponding
cases for each one. The 3rd column of Table 1 depicts the coding
of possible diagnosis, as they used for ANN training and testing 3.2 ANN evaluation metrics applied
stages.
Traditional ANN evaluation measures like the Root Mean Square
Table 1. Possible diagnosis and corresponding cases. Error (RMS error), R2 and the confusion matrix were used to
Diagnosis Coding Cases validate the ensuing neural network models. It is well known that
Discharge -2 236
the RMS error adds up the squares of the errors for each neuron in
Normal the output layer, divides by the number of neurons in the output
Observation -1 186
No findings 0 15
layer to obtain an average, and then takes the square root of that
average. The confusion matrix is a graphical way of measuring the
Operative
Focal appendicitis 1 34
treatment
Phlegmonous or network’s performance during the “training” and “testing” phases.
2 29 It also facilitates the correlation of the network output to the actual
Supurative appendicitis
Gangrenous appendicitis 3 8 observed values that belong to the testing set in a visual display
Peritonitis 4 8 [17], and therefore provides a visual indication of the network’s
performance. A network with the optimal configuration should
have the “bins” (the cells in each matrix) on the diagonal from the
3 NEURAL NETWORK DESIGN lower left to the upper right of the output. An important aspect of
the matrix is that the value of the vertical axis in the generated
Data were divided into two groups, the training cases (TRAC) and histogram is the Common Mean Correlation (CMC) coefficient of
the testing cases (TESC). The TRAC consisted of 417 concrete the desired (d), and the actual (predicted) output (y) across the
medical data records and the TESC consisted of 101. Each input Epoch.
record was organised in a format of fifteen fields, namely sex, age, Finally, the FUSETRESYS (Fuzzy Set Transformer Evaluation
religion, area of residence, pain time period, vomit symptoms, System) that constitutes an innovative ANN evaluation system has
diarrhoea, anorexia, located sensitivity, rebound, wbc, poly, been applied offering a more flexible approach [1].
general analysis of urine, body temperature, constipation. The
output record contained a single field which corresponded to the
potential outcome of each case. 3.3 Technical description of the FUSETRESYS
The determination if the TRAC and TESC data sets was
performed in a rather random manner. The training and testing
ANN evaluation model
sample size which would be sufficient for a good generalization Fuzzy logic enables the performance of calculations with
was determined by using the Widrow’s rule of thumb for the LMS mathematically defined words called “Linguistics” [1, 23-25].
algorithm which is a distribution free, worst case formula [2] and it FUSETRESYS faces each training/testing example as a Fuzzy Set.
is shown in the following equation 1. W is the total number of free It applies triangular or trapezoidal membership functions in order
parameters in the network (synaptic weights and biases) and ε to determine the partial degree of convergence (PADECOV) of the
denotes the fraction of the classification errors permitted during ANN for each training/testing example separately. The following
testing. The O notation shows the order of quantity enclosed within equations 2 and 3 represent a triangular and a trapezoidal
[2]. ⎛W ⎞ (1) membership functions respectively [1].
N = O⎜ ⎟
⎝ε ⎠ μs(x;a,b,c)=max{min{
x − a c − x },0} a