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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>The
American Journal of Human Genetics 111 (2023). doi:10.1016/j.ajhg.2023.11.009.
[31] G. Booch</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="ppub">1613-0073</issn>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1007/978-3-031-22036-4\_4</article-id>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Conceptual Modeling-based Journey into Variant Interpretation: From Unpacking to Operationalization</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Mireia Costa</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="editor">
          <string-name>Conceptual Modeling, Variant Interpretation, Precision Medicine</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>PROS Group, Valencian Research Institute (VRAIN), Universitat Politècnica de València</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2022</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>13650</volume>
      <fpage>17</fpage>
      <lpage>20</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>The process of determining the role that a DNA variant has on an individual's health status is known as variant interpretation. In the era of precision medicine, variant interpretation has become essential in clinical decision-making. Despite its relevance, variant interpretation is often criticized for being qualitative and open to expert interpretation. Clinicians argue that more concrete definitions are needed to systematize variant interpretation. This Ph.D. Thesis intends to cover these needs by providing artifacts to unpack and operationalize the variant interpretation process. The unpacking process has been achieved through conceptual modeling due to its proven efectiveness in similar domains. The operationalization comes from a method that defines variant interpretation in a set of small and welldefined steps. The design of these artifacts has been guided by the Design Science Methodology as proposed by Roel Wieringa. We envision that the unpacking and operationalization proposed in this research will result in a more explainable, reproducible, and reliable variant interpretation.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Operationalization</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>CEUR
ceur-ws.org</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        In recent years, a new paradigm in medicine has revolutionize patient diagnosis and treatment.
This paradigm, known as precision medicine, puts the spotlight on each patient’s uniqueness
and seeks to deliver the most accurate clinical actions based on each individual’s characteristics
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ], rather than using the traditional one-size-fits-all approach [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>Despite the fact that individuals share about 99% of their DNA sequence, our DNA remains
considered one of our most distinctive characteristics. The reason is that these minor diferences
in our DNA account for both natural human variability and susceptibility to certain diseases or
an altered response to standard treatments. These diferences in the DNA sequence are known
as DNA variants. Because of their relevance to human health, one of the primary goals of
precision medicine is to determine how DNA variants afect each individual’s health status.
This process is referred to as variant interpretation.</p>
      <p>
        Variant interpretation is a knowledge-driven process that involves weighting many sorts of
evidence scattered across thousands of data sources regarding the DNA variants that are being
interpreted [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ]. Examples include the variant’s frequency among diferent populations and
CAiSE 2024 Doctoral Consortium
†These authors contributed equally.
whether other experts have already linked the variant to a disorder [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ]. Geneticists and clinical
professionals are still arguing about how to weigh this evidence to accurately determine the
impact of a variant on our health status. To address this issue, several authors have developed
variant interpretation guidelines, a series of instructions designed to guide the interpretation
process by determining whether or not a variant meets specific criteria.
      </p>
      <p>
        Geneticists have widely embraced these recommendations into their daily practice [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ],
transforming the traditional ad-hoc variant interpretation process into a rule-driven one. Variant
interpretation guidelines have been a significant step forward in the variant interpretation
domain. However, they are far from being a definitive solution, as they have frequently been
criticized for their qualitative nature and lack of specificity [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6 ref7">6, 7</xref>
        ]. Indeed, experts express
the concern that despite the use of these guidelines, variant interpretation is still a highly
variable process whose practical application is often left open to expert interpretation [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ], thus
hampering systematization.
      </p>
      <p>Clinical experts state that establishing more specific definitions is essential for standardizing
variant interpretation [9]. This Ph.D. Thesis takes as a challenge overcoming the problems in
the domain by defining artifacts to: i) unpack the variant interpretation domain by providing
the necessary definitions, and ii) operationalize the interpretation process by providing the
means for facilitating its systematization. Conceptual Modeling has proven to be efective in
achieving high levels of clarification and standardization in several clinical domains [ 10, 11, 12]
and, thus, it will guide this Thesis’ journey of tackling the problems in the variant interpretation
domain. Therefore, this Ph.D. Thesis benefits from traditional Information System Engineering
(ISE) approaches, but applies them to a non-traditional domain.</p>
      <p>The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 deepens on the variant
interpretation challenges. Section 3 summarizes the objectives of this Thesis, and Section 4 describes
the methodology followed to achieve such objectives. Finally, Section 5 describes the current
state of the Thesis and Section 6 concludes the paper with a future outlook.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>2. Problem statement</title>
      <p>Variant interpretation is a knowledge-driven, rule-driven, and highly variable process. The
factors contributing to variant interpretation being a challenging domain are encompassed in
one of these characteristics.</p>
      <p>
        As a knowledge-driven process, variant interpretation relies on both explicit and tacit
knowledge [13]. Explicit knowledge is often encoded as a knowledge base that stores all the
relevant information of the domain. Unfortunately, in this domain, there is no comprehensive
source of information that is suficient to provide all the needed evidence. Instead, the evidence
is scattered across thousands of data sources, each with its unique content, structure, and
terminology [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ]. Some examples of widely-used data sources are ClinVar [14] and LOVD [15].
Against this backdrop, clinical experts face the problem of selecting which data sources to
focus on, how to identify the relevant information in them, and how to exploit it to perform
their assessments [16]. Tacit knowledge also plays a significant role. Even if they are unaware,
experts will use their expertise and experience as an essential contributor to the interpretation
process [17]. The combination of the data chaos afecting explicit knowledge and the ethereal
nature of tacit knowledge often makes the evidence used for interpretation dificult to trace and
potentially causes the same piece to be interpreted diferently by diferent experts [ 18].
      </p>
      <p>As a rule-driven process, variant interpretation decision making is conducted by following
the instructions defined in variant interpretation guidelines. An example of an interpretation
guideline are the ACMG-AMP 2015 guidelines [19]. Instructions are intended to provide clear
and actionable steps to achieve the desired result. However, variant interpretation guidelines
are criticized for providing vague definitions that allow a high degrees of subjectivity and
uncertainty. In this scenario, inconsistent interpretations among experts become common.
Consider, for instance, a real case where an initial assessment in prenatal care revealed that
an unborn child is at high risk of developing Muscular Dystrophy disorder. However, a
diferent team of experts later repeated this assessment and determined that it was incorrect [20].
Because these families often have to make decisions about pregnancy management within a
short time span, the improperly classified variant could have had irreversible repercussions.
Furthermore, the more complex the disorder (e.g., cancer), the more inconsistencies in variant
interpretation usually occur [21]. The qualitative nature of variant interpretation guidelines
can have serious consequences in healthcare applications. Consequently, clinical experts argue
that these guidelines are too qualitative in nature and more concrete definitions are needed.</p>
      <p>Finally, as a high variable process, it is highly dependent on the expert performing the
interpretation. This is a direct consequence of the lack of specificity in both the evidence used
and the rules applied. This variability causes variant interpretation to lack of traceability and
reproducibility, which are dangerous characteristics for a process with such a significant impact
on clinical decision making. In an efort to reduce variability, several tools have been developed
to automate and the variant interpretation, hoping that this will enhance systematization.
These tools include Varsome [22] and InterVar [23]. However, as with human application, the
qualitative nature and insuficient specificity that characterize variant interpretation cause the
various tools to make diferent assumptions and thus also interpret variants in discordant ways.</p>
      <p>From all the above, it is clear that the variant interpretation domain requires disambiguation
and systematization to avoid putting patients’ health at risk and to achieve its successful
application on a clinical daily basis [9]. Addressing these problems is the main objective of this
Thesis, as we build on the following section.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>3. Objectives</title>
      <p>The problems hindering variant interpretation can be summarized as the lack of precise
definitions and systematization. Therefore, the main objective of this Thesis is to provide the means
for unpack and operationalize the variant interpretation process. This objective has been
divided into three concrete goals:</p>
      <p>– G1. Study the variant interpretation domain. This goal aims to identify all of the constructs
involved in the variant interpretation process, the current challenges, and existing approaches
tackling any identified issues. The following research questions (RQ) will guide the goal
achievement:</p>
      <p>RQ1. How is variant interpretation performed?
RQ2. What are the main challenges hampering variant interpretation?
RQ3. What existing approaches tackle any of the identified challenges?
– G2. Design artifacts to unpack and operationalize variant interpretation. Here, we aim
to propose solutions to the challenges identified in the previous goal. By overcoming the
current issues in the domain, we will provide the means for achieving a precise definition of
the domain constructs (unpacking) and facilitate its systematic application (operationalization).
The following RQ are to be answered:</p>
      <p>RQ4. How to unpack the variant interpretation process?
RQ5. How to operationalize the variant interpretation process?
– G3. Validate the designed artifacts. In this goal, we will validate that the designed artifacts
efectively solve the identified problems by answering the following RQ:</p>
      <p>RQ6. To which extent the designed artifacts allow to unpack the variant interpretation
process?</p>
      <p>RQ7. To which extent the designed artifacts allow one to operationalize the variant
interpretation process?</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>4. Research methodology</title>
      <p>This Thesis follows the research method of Design Science as proposed by Roel Wieringa [24],
which consists of designing and investigating artifacts in a context to provide solutions for a
specific problem. In this research, the artifacts will be the proposed solutions to unpack and
operationalize the variant interpretation process, with precision medicine as the context.</p>
      <p>Following the recommendations of Wieringa for practical problems, we have followed a
design cycle of three phases:
– Problem investigation: The problem is characterized and its context is described.
– Treatment design: The artifacts to address the problem under investigation are provided.
– Treatment validation: The adequacy of the proposed artifacts is validated in the selected
context.</p>
      <p>The design cycle typically has a fourth stage called Design implementation that focuses
on the technological transfer of the designed artifacts into a real-word scenario. This stage is
outside the scope of this Thesis.</p>
      <p>Figure 1 summarizes how the objectives proposed in this Thesis align with the Design Science
methodology.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>5. Current status and contributions</title>
      <p>This Thesis has been underway for 2.5 years. Until now, eforts have been focused on the
problem investigation and treatment design stages. Below, we discuss the current status of these
stages, focusing on how each RQ has been answered and the artifacts that have been generated.
– RQ1. How is variant interpretation performed?</p>
      <p>The answer to this RQ began with a thorough understanding of genomics, which is the field
of study that focuses on understanding the DNA. Following that, we investigated which are the
steps typically used to interpret a variant. This investigation was supported by various clinical
experts who are collaborating on research projects currently undergoing in our research group.</p>
      <p>Design
Implementation</p>
      <p>Problem</p>
      <p>Investigation
G1. Study the variant
interpretation domain
DESIGN CYCLE</p>
      <p>Treatment</p>
      <p>Validation
G3. Validate the
designed artifacts.</p>
      <p>Treatment Design
G2. Design artifacts</p>
      <p>to unpack and
operationalize variant
interpretation</p>
      <p>As a result of this research, a BPMN model that represents the variant interpretation process
as-is has been generated.</p>
      <p>– RQ2. What are the main challenges hampering variant interpretation?</p>
      <p>Section 2 already gives an outline of the issues that hinder variant interpretation. The
problems were identified by analyzing 13 scientific articles that, carrying out diferent experiments,
discussed the origins of variant interpretation conflicts among experts. From this analysis, the
underlying problems were identified and brought up to light.</p>
      <p>– RQ3. What existing approaches tackle any of the identified challenges?</p>
      <p>There are some approaches that partially address the problems afecting variant interpretation.
First, there are data sources that collect information about variant interpretations performed by
clinical experts worldwide, aiding in the problem of explicit knowledge dispersion. However,
they are neither complete nor concordant, as we demonstrated on [25, 26]. Additionally, we
also deepen on the problems associated with the constant evolution of genomic data, which
were identified and described in [ 27, 28, 11].</p>
      <p>Second, variant interpretation guidelines have tried to standardize how variant interpretation
is carried out. Here, it is important to highlight the work of the Clinical Genome Resource
(ClinGen), who currently provides more specific interpretation guidelines for several clinical
contexts [29, 30]. Finally, there are several tools that have attempted to reduce the variability
through process automation. We are currently working on a publication that explores the
diference between these tools and compares the results they produce to those of clinical
experts.</p>
      <p>– RQ4. How to unpack the variant interpretation process?</p>
      <p>To unpack the variant interpretation process, it is essential to precisely define all relevant
constructs within the domain. To achieve this, we have created a Unified Modeling Language (UML)
class diagram [31] that: i) precisely defines the constructs involved in variant interpretation
guidelines, reflecting the rule-driven nature of the process; ii) explicitly identifies the evidence
used in the interpretation, representing the knowledge-driven aspect; and iii) illustrates the
evaluation of a guideline against a specific DNA variant to produce its interpretation, thereby
reducing variability and enhancing traceability.</p>
      <p>More specifically, the model characterizes each interpretation guideline by its title, authors,
applicability (e.g., specific clinical contexts for application), and a URL. Guidelines are composed
of criteria, which can be either Boolean (evaluated as true/false) or score-based. These criteria
are further broken down into specific conditions represented as metrics, which are evaluated
based on evidence from various sources. The fulfillment of these metrics directly influences the
outcomes of the corresponding criteria, ultimately determining the final variant interpretation.
Comprehensive definitions have been established for each class in the model, including detailed
descriptions of the class attributes. These definitions have been consolidated into a document
that will accompany the class diagram, ensuring the model is thoroughly defined and clearly
understood.</p>
      <p>This model ofers two clear benefits: (a) Definition of a common framework for
representing the variant interpretation process; (b) Disentanglement of the intricate details of variant
interpretation by resolving aspects whose definitions are left implicit or ambiguous, requiring
clarification. The first version of this model was presented at 42nd the International
Conference on Conceptual Modeling [32]. We are currently preparing an extended version of this
publication for the Data &amp; Knowledge Engineering journal.</p>
      <p>Finally, this conceptual model has been complemented with a data model that allows for a
precise and consistent representation of the evidence required for variant interpretation [33].
This data model will facilitate communication among experts, data integration and any potential
automation of the interpretation process.</p>
      <p>– RQ5. How to operationalize the variant interpretation process?</p>
      <p>In its current state, variant interpretation is qualitative and unspecific by nature. We have
defined a method that allows translating this impreciseness into a small and well-defined set of
steps. The method involves four stages: i) selecting the guideline for interpretation, ii) defining
its constructs based on the conceptual model developed in RQ4, iii) choosing the most suitable
data sources to evaluate these constructs, and iv) interpreting a variant using the established
framework. Breaking this complex process into more specific pieces ofers the following benefits:
(a) making explicit the intricate process of variant interpretation ; (b) guiding decision-making;
and (c) facilitating reproducibility. This method is conceptually founded by the conceptual
model described in RQ4.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>6. Conclusions and Future outlook</title>
      <p>This thesis has as main objective unpacking and operationalizing the challenging domain of
variant interpretation. According to the Design Science methodology followed in this Thesis,
the research’s problem investigation and treatment design stages are complete. Our next steps
are to validate the proposed artifacts and answer RQ6 and RQ7. The unpacking (RQ6) will
be validated by carrying out a experimental evaluation where we plan to compare the textual
description of the variant interpretation constructs with the definition of these constructs
using the conceptual model defined in RQ4. For the operationalization process (RQ7), we are
currently developing technological support for the method, which will be firmly based on the
conceptual model derived from the unpacking process. This technological support is the basis
for performing a Technical action report (TAR), where we will test the designed artifacts in
a real context with collaboration of a clinical laboratory specialized in oncology. If possible,
replications will be carried out in other clinical domains of interest.</p>
      <p>This Ph.D. Thesis has defined strong foundations for solving an important challenge in
the variant interpretation domain: the lack of precise definitions and systematization. We
envision that the unpacking and operationalization proposed in this research will result in a
more explainable, reproducible, and reliable interpretation process.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>Acknowledgments</title>
      <p>I want to thank Prof. Oscar Pastor (opastor@dsic.upv.es) and Dra. Ana Leon
(aleon@vrain.upv.es) from the Universitat Politecnica de Valencia for the supervision of this
Thesis. This Thesis is supported by the Generalitat Valenciana under the project ACIF/2021/117.
[9] N. Agaoglu, et al., Consistency of variant interpretations among bioinformaticians and
clinical geneticists in hereditary cancer panels, European Journal of Human Genetics 30
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Conceptual Modeling, Lecture Notes in Computer Science, Springer International Publishing,
2022, pp. 194–208. doi:10.1007/978-3-031-17995-2\_14.
[11] A. García S., et al., The challenge of managing the evolution of genomics data over time:
a conceptual model-based approach, BMC Bioinformatics 23 (2022) 472. doi:10.1186/
s12859-022-04944-z.
[12] J. F. Reyes Roman, et al., Applying conceptual modeling to better understand the human
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