=Paper= {{Paper |id=Vol-3782/paper1 |storemode=property |title=Diachronic Political Content Analysis: A Comparative Study of Topics and Sentiments in Echo Chambers and Beyond |pdfUrl=https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-3782/paper1.pdf |volume=Vol-3782 |authors=Michele Joshua Maggini,Virginia Morini,Davide Bass,Giulio Rossetti |dblpUrl=https://dblp.org/rec/conf/codai2/MagginiMBR24 }} ==Diachronic Political Content Analysis: A Comparative Study of Topics and Sentiments in Echo Chambers and Beyond== https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-3782/paper1.pdf
                         Diachronic Political Content Analysis: A Comparative
                         Study of Topics and Sentiments in Echo Chambers and
                         Beyond
                         Michele Joshua Maggini1,* , Virginia Morini2 , Davide Bassi1 and Giulio Rossetti3
                         1
                           Centro Singular de Investigación en Tecnoloxías Intelixentes da USC, Santiago de Compostela, Galiza, Spain
                         2
                            KDD Lab, CNR-ISTI, 56126 Pisa, Italy
                         3
                           ISTI-CNR, Pisa, Italy


                                     Abstract
                                     Over the past decade, social media platforms have emerged as significant arenas for political discourse and
                                     agenda-setting. Among these platforms, Reddit stands out as a prominent site where users actively engage in
                                     discussions on controversial topics, often becoming polarized through interactions with like-minded individuals.
                                     In this paper, we delve into the realm of political leanings, seeking to understand the predominant topics of
                                     interest within echo chambers and whether they diverge from those of unpolarized users. Our primary objective
                                     is to ascertain whether echo chambers are characterized by distinct themes discussed therein. Furthermore, we
                                     employ cross-sentiment analysis to investigate potential differences in how these themes are perceived across
                                     different groups.

                                     Keywords
                                     natural language processing, political analysis, social network analysis, echo chambers




                         1. Introduction
                         The rapid growth of social media platforms and online forums has fundamentally reshaped how
                         individuals consume information, share opinions, and engage in political discourse. The proliferation
                         of these online networks has not only transformed the landscape of political communication but
                         has also amplified the formation and influence of echo chambers [1]. Echo chambers are defined as
                         environments where individuals are predominantly exposed to information that reinforces their existing
                         beliefs through repeated exposure to like-minded individuals. This redundancy of content, along with
                         the shared perception of it among users, leads to users’ epistemological segregation [2, 3].
                            This phenomenon has garnered significant scholarly interest due to its potential impact on democratic
                         processes and public opinion [4, 5]. In fact, echo chambers have been observed to contribute to increased
                         polarization, confirmation bias [6], and homophily in online discussions, potentially leading to a distorted
                         perception of reality and hindering constructive debate. The political implications of echo chambers are
                         profound, as they can exacerbate partisan divides and diminish mutual understanding among opposing
                         political groups [7, 8].
                            These effects are particularly relevant in light of the recent rise of right-wing populist parties.
                         Echo chamber effects, in fact, have been identified as influential contributors to the rise of populist
                         movements. While the roots of populism are multifaceted, scholars have noted the facilitative role of
                         echo chambers in disseminating specialized populist messaging outside mainstream news and party
                         establishments [9, 10, 11]. [12] suggests that individuals, feeling besieged as claimed by populist
                         elites, tend to gravitate towards like-minded groups. Digital media platforms foster the formation and

                         Proceedings of the 1st Workshop on COuntering Disinformation with Artificial Intelligence (CODAI), co-located with the 27th
                         European Conference on Artificial Intelligence (ECAI), pages 1–10, October 20, 2024, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
                         *
                           Corresponding author.
                         $ michelejoshua.maggini@usc.es (M. J. Maggini); virginia.morini@phd.unipi.it (V. Morini); davide.bassi@usc.es (D. Bassi);
                         giulio.rossetti@isti.cnr.it (G. Rossetti)
                          0009-0001-9230-9202 (M. J. Maggini); 0000-0002-7692-8134 (V. Morini); 0000-0003-2025-6559 (D. Bassi);
                         0000-0003-3373-1240 (G. Rossetti)
                                     © 2024 Copyright for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).


CEUR
                  ceur-ws.org
Workshop      ISSN 1613-0073
Proceedings

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Michele Joshua Maggini et al. CODAI Workshop Proceedings                                              1–10


sustenance of homogeneous networks, appealing particularly to populists with their rhetoric of division
between "us" and "them." [13] highlights the correlation between populism and the proliferation of
"post-truth" politics, wherein factual accuracy is sidelined in favor of personal loyalty and ideological
simplicity. Echo chambers, by insulating individuals from dissenting perspectives, can exacerbate this
trend, distancing adherents from objective truths.
   Yet, as emphasized by [14], empirical evidence supporting a distinct correlation between of right-wing
populism leaning and echo chamber dynamics remains scant, with different studies demonstrating
fluctuating patterns across different periods and nations [15, 16, 17, 13].
   To address this issue, the present study examines how populist political leanings and engagement
within or outside echo chambers influence the content and modes of interaction among users on the
social media platform Reddit. Indeed, in this social media, users engage with one another by posting
and commenting in subreddits aligned with their interests. Using topic modeling, the study investigates
distinctions in topic trends among Reddit users based on their political affiliations within and beyond
echo chambers. Additionally, it tracks the methods through which discussions are conducted in these
different environments. Additionally, the study adopts a diachronic perspective, aiming at providing
valuable insights into the evolution of political discourse within echo chambers, identifying shifts in
predominant topics and sentiments over time. This approach not only reveals temporal changes but
also, in conjunction with our politically fine-grained method, allows for a nuanced examination of how
different political affiliations influence the nature of discussions and sentiment expressions within these
chambers. In accordance with the findings of [18], which investigated the topological stability of echo
chambers, this study hypothesizes that echo chambers will exhibit greater stability in how topics are
perceived compared to non-echo chamber structures.
   The significance of this study lies in its potential to uncover patterns and trends between "closed
online environment” and political communication that may contribute to polarization. By comparing
the content and sentiment across politically diverse groups, the aim is to identify whether certain topics
or sentiments are more prone to echo chamber effects and how these effects differ across the political
spectrum. This study contributes to the broader field of political communication and the ongoing debate
about the impact of social media on democratic engagement.
   The paper is organized as follows: Section 2 proposes the main contributions and the previous related
works constituting the basis of our application; Section 3 introduces the dataset used in this study;
Section 4 illustrates the framework, constituted of two parts: Topic Modeling and Cross-Sentiment
Analysis; Section 5 reports the data analysis of our case study, reporting the main findings. Finally,
Section 6, concludes the paper and provides a look ahead on future research.


2. Related Works
Echo chambers are characterized by the reinforcement of ideas, beliefs, or opinions through repeated
exposure within an enclosed system, such as online communities or social media networks. The
following related works in the area of topic mining in echo chambers highlight the importance of
understanding the structure and dynamics of echo chambers, as well as the topics that drive their
formation.
   Topological approach [7] used a network-based approach to identify echo chambers on Facebook,
highlighting the role of confirmation bias and homophily in their formation. Similarly, [19] studied the
partisan structure inside the retweeting mechanism of political tweets by two networks. They found
that the users on the opposite political sides were weakly connected. On the same research line, [5]
proposed a method for identifying echo chambers on Twitter by analyzing retweet networks and user
ideology. Their findings revealed the existence of polarized echo chambers in political discussions.
   Content approach [20] has investigated how different social media platforms influence informa-
tion spread and the creation of echo chambers. By analyzing over 100 million pieces of content on
controversial topics from Gab, Facebook, Reddit, and Twitter, two main dynamics were examined:
homophily in interaction networks and biased information diffusion. Their findings highlight that



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Table 1
Original dataset description
                     Dataset                             n. Subreddit   n. Post   n. User
                    GUN CONTROL                               6         180,170   65,111
                    MINORITIES DISCRIMINATION                 6         223,096   52,337
                    POLITICAL SPHERE                          6         431,930   72,399



homophilic clustering is a dominant online behavior, with Facebook exhibiting higher segregation in
news consumption compared to Reddit.
   Instead, [21] performed a sociolinguistic analysis on tweets from users within echo chambers against
those from users outside the echo chamber. Their investigation entails comparative scrutiny of tweet
composition, lexical preferences, and thematic emphases, aiming to elucidate potential rationales
underlying the observed disparities.
   Mixed approach [22] focused on diverse subreddits concerning controversial topics and recon-
structed the network interaction of users. [22] defined an approach to detect echo chambers on social
networks. The framework comprises four steps: (i) the identification of a controversial issue; (ii) the
inference of users’ ideology on the controversy; (iii) the construction of users’ debate network; and
(iv) the detection of homogeneous meso-scale communities. By modeling the diachronical network’s
cohesion and users’ political leaning and interactions, they detected different echo chambers. Authors
of [18] proposed an analysis of topological stability and topic detection of the social clusters. By relying
upon sentiment analysis and exploiting the textual information coming from sources like posts and
comments, the authors investigated how people discussed and perceived a controversial topic. Despite
the popularity of that methodology [23, 24], [25] outlined its limitations. Indeed, the viewpoints of
diverse users are categorized based on the overall sentiment they convey regarding the topic, rather
than their actual alignment on various aspects defining the analyzed subject.
   Textual Forma Mentis Networks [26, 27, 28] applied a new approach: textual forma mentis
networks (TFMNs), namely modeling textual concepts as graph neural networks to analyze both semantic
and syntactic relationships. That methodology allowed us to simultaneously focus on sentimental,
emotional, and rhetorical patterns entailed in online discourses.
   Furthermore, [29] suggested applying two emotional lexicons to avoid leading to drastic misinterpre-
tation and conclusions when performing emotion analysis on texts.


3. Data
In this study, three comprehensive datasets compiled, annotated, and preliminarly analyzed in [22, 18]
were used. The statistics for the datasets, covering the period from 2017 to July 2019, are presented in
Table 1.
   In these works, by modeling users’ posts and comments on controversial topics, the authors were
able to reveal distinct ideological leanings, categorizing users as pro-Trump, neutral, or anti-Trump.
   Subsequently, they introduced a framework for identifying the formation of echo chambers by
leveraging both user interaction networks and users’ ideological stances. The communities were
delineated using three key metrics: modularity, to detect ideologically and topologically homogeneous
nodes; purity, which measures the product of the frequencies of the most common labels among
its nodes; and conductance, which calculates the fraction of total edge volume pointing outside the
community. In [20], network structures were estimated based on the retention of specific labels within
subsets of the network where users shared a common ideology on controversial topics.
   [18] focuses on the diachronic evolution of echo chamber topologies. This analysis was enhanced by
linking the temporal dimension to the topics discussed, providing insights into the stability of echo
chambers over time and the propensity of their members to concentrate on single controversial topics.



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Figure 1: POLITICAL SPHERE’s posts dataset description.


Table 2
Political leaning distribution in echo chambers (EC) and non echo chambers (Not EC) structures.
                               Leaning     n. Posts in EC   n. Posts in Not EC
                              antitrump       54,092             75,837
                              neutral         21,9,01            47,244
                              protrump         6,745             31,045




   This work focuses on a subset of the dataset: POLITICAL SPHERE, which comprises posts retrieved
from the following subreddits as illustrated in Figure 1: r/esist, r/democrats, r/MarchAgainstTrump,
r/Conservative, r/Libertarian, and r/Republican. This dataset includes users’ posts categorized by
political leaning and echo chamber membership (see Table 2), focusing on discussions related to U.S.
politics.


4. Methodology
4.1. Topic Modeling
In statistics and natural language processing, topic modeling is a commonly used text-mining tool
for uncovering hidden semantic structures within a text corpus. In this work, we have applied the
BERTopic [30] topic modeling technique to extract topics from texts. BERTopic leverages transformers
and c-TF-IDF to create dense clusters, facilitating the generation of easily interpretable topics while
retaining key words in the topic extractions. The output of BERTopic consists of generated topics and
their probabilities.
   Initially, BERTopic converts documents into numerical representations by embedding text in vector
space, ensuring that similar texts are positioned closely together, which can be efficiently identified
using cosine similarity. To reduce the dimensionality of these representations, we employed UMAP [31],
which preserves both local and global information, allowing semantically similar documents to form



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Michele Joshua Maggini et al. CODAI Workshop Proceedings                                                        1–10


clusters while reducing the dataset’s dimensionality. Using HDBSCAN [32], a density-based clustering
technique, we detected clusters of various shapes and identified outliers. BERTopic’s outlier reduction
method calculates the c-TF-IDF representation for each outlier document and finds the best matching
c-TF-IDF topic representation using cosine similarity.
   For word-level analysis within topics or clusters, a bag-of-words representation is needed. To highlight
differences between clusters, we applied a variant of class-based TF-IDF (c-TF-IDF). Essentially, BERTopic
treats all documents within a single category as a single document and then applies TF-IDF. The more
significant words within a cluster, the more representative they are of that topic. Consequently, each
set of documents is reduced/converted into a single one.
   The entire process described above was applied to distinct datasets, differentiating between echo
chamber and non-echo chamber contexts.
   BERTopic parameters1 were selected considering the dimension of the echo chambers, aiming at
extracting the best representation for our data. With this configuration the aim was looking for few
and stable topics to capture the macro-differences preserving both local and global structure in the
data. Moreover, with BM25 weighting we stressed the importance of interpretability and diversity in
topic representations, reducing the impact of common words while still capturing meaningful bi-grams.
Thus, we ensure topics are significant in size and well-represented in the corpus.
   The obtained topics were then used to compare online debates taking place within and outside the
social clusters about political leaning.

4.2. Cross-Sentiment Analysis
To provide a focus on the sentiments and emotions elicited by user-generated contents, we applied
two different lexicon-based sentiment analysis algorithms [33]. In details, we leveraged Valence Aware
Dictionary and sEntiment Reasoner (VADER) [34] and NRC Emotion lexicon [35]. The former is a
lexicon and rule-based sentiment analysis tool that is specifically attuned to sentiments expressed
in social media. Its sentiment lexicon is composed of a list of lexical features labeled according to
their semantic orientation as positive or negative and is attuned to microblog-like contexts. This way,
VADER labels the text as positive, neutral, negative, and provides a compound. The NRC Emotion
lexicon, on the other hand, assesses the emotional affect conveyed in a text, providing a score for each
sentiment or emotion detected in it. Its affective dictionary encompasses approximately 27,000 words,
derived from the National Research Council Canada (NRC) affect lexicon and the synonym sets from the
WordNet library within the Natural Language Toolkit (NLTK). NRC Emotion Lexicon is constituted by
a list of English words and their associations with eight basic emotions (anger, fear, anticipation, trust,
surprise, sadness, joy, and disgust) and two sentiments (negative and positive). In our case, we used the
compound score, calculated by summing the valence scores of each word in the lexicon, adjusting them
according to specific rules, and then normalizing the result to range from -1 (most extreme negative)
to +1 (most extreme positive). Furthermore, we leveraged the temporal dimension to understand the
evolution of the discussions.


5. Results
This section reports the experiments’ results on the topic modeling applied on the two networks and
the sentiment analysis scores distinguishing the political leanings (anti-trump, pro-trump, neutral) in
these clusters.
  Topic Modeling Firstly, we aimed to identify content similarities and dissimilarities between Echo
Chambers and Non-Echo Chambers. To extract and analyze the topics, we applied BERTopic. Table 3
present the top 20 most frequent topics in each network. Despite subtle differences in the order and size
1
    UMAP(nneighbors:60, ncomponents:20, mindist:0.05, metric:cosine, randomstate=42); HDBSCAN(minclustersize=90, met-
    ric:euclidean, clusterselectionmethod=eom, predictiondata=True); CountVectorizer(stopwords=english, ngramrange=(1,
    2)); ClassTfidfTransformer(bm25weighting=True, reducefrequentwords=True); MaximalMarginalRelevance(diversity=0.6),
    mintopicsize=300).



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Michele Joshua Maggini et al. CODAI Workshop Proceedings                                         1–10


Table 3
Top 20 Topics Frequency in Echo Chamber vs Not Echo Chamber.
                             Echo Chamber                       Not Echo Chamber
                   Topic                      Freq.       Topic                    Freq.
                   Democrats                  7076        Libertarian party        7707
                   Roy Moore                  6673        Democrats                7460
                   Conservative               5007        oh_guys_thought_funny    7072
                   Gun Control, Shootings     4056        Border Wall, Immigration 6906
                   Border Wall, Immigration   3556        Gun Control, Shootings   6659
                   Russia, Trump&Putin        3069        Russia, Trump&Putin      5185
                   Missing                    3032        Ben Shapiro              6100
                   Media, Fake News           2999        Media, Fake News         5370
                   Taxes                      2976        Obamacare, Healthcare    4797
                   Climate Change             2799        Obama vs Trump           4611
                   Muslims, Islam             2525        Taxes                    4427
                   FBI, Comey                 2460        Transgender, Women       4224
                   Trump                      2334        Climate Change           3935
                   Obamacare, Healthcare      2228        Capitalism, Socialism    3515
                   Transgender                1588        Muslims, Islam           3400
                   Iran, Israel               1545        Facebook, Censorship     3052
                   NFL, Anthem                1285        Abortion, Parenthood     3027
                   North Korea, Nuclear War   1280        Brett Kavanaugh          2562
                   Weinstein Harvey           1189        China, Trade             2359
                   Robert Mueller             1168        Drugs, cannabis          2353




       Figure 2: POLITICAL SPHERE VADER compound scores in echo chambers and non-echo chambers
       grouped by political leaning.


of the two networks, we observed that common topics were discussed with similar frequency in both
structures. These topics included Democrats, Conservatives, Libertarians, Gun Control, U.S.-Russia
relations, and immigration narratives such as the wall proposed by Trump on the Mexican border.
Additionally, in both networks, users debated the perception of popular media outlets like Fox News
and CNN as sources of misinformation under the topic "Media, Fake News". Summarizing, that resulted
in an homogenous coverage of the contents.
   Sentiment Analysis To further explore potential discrepancies in the perception of these themes, we
analyzed the average sentiment and emotion trends across political leanings in both networks. Firstly,
using VADER’s compound score, we obtained a general understanding of the trends. As illustrated



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Michele Joshua Maggini et al. CODAI Workshop Proceedings                                               1–10




                   (a) POLITICAL SPHERE Positive               (b) POLITICAL SPHERE Negative




                    (c) POLITICAL SPHERE Trust                   (d) POLITICAL SPHERE Fear

            Figure 3: POLITICAL SPHERE NRC Emotion Lexicon scores for Positive, Negative, Trust and Fear.


in Figure 2, there is a general internal coherence in the patterns, with positive and negative peaks
occurring during the same periods across different political leanings. The Non-Echo Chamber leanings
showed a generally more neutral evolution than the Echo Chamber and a final peak towards positive
perception from pro-trump users. Whereas, in Echo Chamber behavior is more fluctuating. Especially,
in 2018, neutral and pro-trump users treated themes positively in contrast with anti-trump. We noted a
common negative peak between August and September 2017 in both the networks in conjunction with
the Afghanistan conflict being exacerbated and the unveiling of the RAISE Act, a bill introduced under
Trump’s government to reduce levels of legal immigration to the United States by halving the number
of green cards issued.
   Then, to understand the internal coherence between the two networks, we opted to apply a more
fine-grained sentiment analysis, namely the NRC Emotion Lexicon, capable of considering ten different
sentiments and emotions in a positive range. For the sake of space, we will present only the most
relevant plots. By analyzing the users’ sentiments aggregated by learning, we aim to verify their
distinct behaviors. Indeed, regardless of the political leaning, Echo Chambers tend to show a less
sparse evolution over time. Specifically, antitrump users’ trend often followed neutral ones’ behavior.
Non-echo chambers exhibit more volatility in both trust and fear sentiments, with wider confidence
intervals and more pronounced peaks and troughs. Fear sentiment peaks are higher and more frequent
in Non-Echo Chambers, suggesting more dynamic changes in sentiment outside of echo chambers.
Trust levels are generally higher and more stable in Echo Chambers, while fear levels are more. However,
both EC and Non-Echo Chambers show similar trends with peaks around the second quarter of 2018,
but Non-Echo Chambers has greater variability. Thus, by looking at the data, we can confirm our
initial assumption regarding that Echo Chamber’s sentiment is more linear and less fluctuating than in
Non-Echo Chambers structures.
   Lastly, to validate the coverage of the topics related to their public perception, we used Google
Trends2 data. We tracked users’ searches using our extracted topics as keywords and manually matched
these search trends with query trends. This allowed us to confirm that the activity identified in our

2
    https://trends.google.it/trends/



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Michele Joshua Maggini et al. CODAI Workshop Proceedings                                              1–10


sentiment analysis corresponded to the specific topics modeled with BERTopic.


6. Conclusion
Echo chambers generated in social networks like Reddit, promoting like-minded users interactions,
can foster the formation of closed social clusters, where individuals reinforce their shared beliefs by
consuming content that aligns with their ideologies. Such processes can then be alimented by political
rhetoric gravitating around "in-group/out-group” divisions, such as the one of populist actors, with
potential detrimental effects for democratic processes.
   To address the lack of empirical research in this field (see Sec.1), in this work we introduced a
methodology to assess and analyze the content inside communities reducing the bias towards a single
lexicon-based approach.
   We considered the first two years of Trump’s presidency. Interestingly, on a content level, our study
revealed that there is almost no difference in the topics discussed by users in echo chambers and
non-echo chambers.
   To deepen our understanding of how these topics are discussed, we conducted a diachronic analysis of
users’ sentiments. This analysis unveiled substantial differences depending on whether users belonged
to echo chambers or not, revealing that echo chambers are a more controlled environment, despite the
high degree of polarization. This outcome could be explained by the fact that echo chambers are formed
by users with the same interests and behaviors. As epistemologically closed clusters, echo chambers’
debate processes are more emotionally coherent and do not suffer from high volatility like those in
non-echo chambers. Despite not triggering high values of sentiment, users in echo chambers often
agree with the rest of the community, reinforcing the auto-exclusive mechanism that enhances the
robustness of such networks. This process still promotes the solidification of users’ stances.
   Additionally, we observed sentiment patterns depending on political leaning. Particularly, pro-trump
users in non-echo chambers environments scored high values for each considered sentiment, proving
that their vocabulary relies on the usage of more adjectives and more and more heated discussions.
   Overall, these results underscore the importance of adopting a fine-grained approach to topic modeling
that considers nuanced political orientations, enabling the identification of intricate behaviors at a
microscopic level.
   However, this study has certain limitations. Firstly, the political leanings of users are determined
through a data-driven approach, which may not fully capture the complexity of their political orien-
tations. Secondly, the population under consideration lacks specific social characteristics typically
examined in social science studies. It is worth noting that the number of Non-Echo Chamber’s users is
higher than Echo Chamber’s. This could result in biased sentiment analysis results. Additionally, we do
not have the tools to collect sensitive variables (such as age, sex, and country of residence), which could
significantly enhance the validity and depth of our research findings. Lastly, in 2019 no Echo Chamber
in POLITICAL SPHERE was detected. Thus, our plots do not cover this period.
   As future research, we plan to delve deeper into user-generated content peculiarities by performing
stance detection and conducting rhetorical language analysis to better characterize linguistic differences
across users belonging (not belonging) to epistemic enclaves of different political orientations. Such a
comprehensive approach will contribute to a deeper understanding of discussion dynamics and the
nuances exhibited by dialogues occurring within/outside echo chambers in Reddit.


Acknowledgments
This work is supported by the EUHORIZON2021 European Union’s Horizon Europe research and
innovation programme (https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101073351/es) the Marie Skłodowska-Curie
Grant No.: 101073351. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do
not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the European Research Executive Agency (REA).




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Michele Joshua Maggini et al. CODAI Workshop Proceedings                                                 1–10


Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them. The authors
have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.


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