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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Data pre-processing for optimization of collaborative decision-making by aviation specialists during the practical training considering the factor s priority</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Tetiana Shmelova</string-name>
          <email>shmelova@ukr.net</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Yuliya Sikirda</string-name>
          <email>sikirdayuliya@ukr.net</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Maxim Yatsko</string-name>
          <email>maxim_yatsko@i.ua</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>ADP 24: International Workshop on Algorithms of Data Processing</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Flight Academy of the National Aviation University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Stepana Chobanu Str., 1, Kropyvnytskyi, 25005</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>National Aviation University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Liubomyra Huzara Ave., 1, Kyiv, 03058</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3">
          <label>3</label>
          <institution>SmartLynx Airlines "Mazrudas"</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Marupes novads, LV-2167</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="LV">Latvia</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <fpage>2</fpage>
      <lpage>18</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>This paper presents a novel aspect of the practical training for aviation specialists utilizing collaborative decision-making (CDM) methods, required particularly in emergencies. Although components and procedures in the air navigation system have improved, human factors still have a major influence on flight safety: 80 percent of accidents are caused by human mistakes, and 42 percent of mistakes are caused by incorrect decision-making. Thus, reducing the impact of human factors on flight safety remains a pressing issue. CDM is a procedure for involving individual and collective data by diverse interacting aviation personnel in professional decisions. Collective practical training of aviation specialists is a major phase of professional education and performs a considerable role in further assuring flight safety. The purpose of this publication is improvement the collective practical training of aviation specialists based on a comparison of the pre-processing results obtained by the CDM during the joint performance of practical tasks in the emergency situations of Engine failure (the most frequent) and "Cargo failure" (the most danger) considering objective and subjective factors . Based on the Expert Judgment Method and the Wald, Laplace, Hurwitz, and Savage criteria in uncertainty conditions, models of individual and collective decision-making when selecting the optimal aerodrome for forced landing taking into account the objective and subjective factors are developed. Data pre-processing for planning and modeling situations in Intelligent (Hybrid) Integrated Training System CDM - Education -E) based on Machine Learning and Big Data analyzing tools will allow optimizing the CDM of aviation specialists (manned and unmanned aircraft pilots, air traffic controllers, flight dispatchers, air traffic safety electronics personnel, maintenance staff, ground services personnel, etc.) in emergencies considering the objective and subjective factors . air traffic controller, air traffic safety electronics personnel, cargo fire, decision-making matrix, emergency, engine failure, expert judgment method, optimal landing aerodrome, pilot, training task1 According to global statistics, 2023 was the safest year in the history of commercial aviation, surpassing 2014, which was previously considered the leader in this indicator. At the same time, by the annual safety report of the International Air Transport Association (IATA), in 2023, a record low accident rate was recorded 0.03 cases per million flights [1]. To get into an aircraft accident, a person would have to travel by passenger commercial air transport every day for 103 239 years.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>aviation works, training flights, and the operation of general aviation, 61 events occurred,
compared to 57 events registered in 2022 [2]:
one accident (during commercial transportation in Mali),
48 incidents,
seven damages to the aircraft on the ground (DAG),
five extraordinary events.</p>
      <p>In 2023, the factors that led to aviation incidents and accidents involving Ukrainian civil aircraft
were distributed as follows (Figure 1): 8 (16%) – human factors (5 (10%) aircraft crews and 3 (6%)
maintenance personnel); 23 (47%) – technical factors (failures of systems and components for
technical reasons); 17 (35%) – external environment (including ornithology); 1 (2%) – unspecified
factors. In 2023, no flights of foreign civilian aircraft were carried out on the territory of Ukraine.</p>
      <p>Unspecified factors</p>
      <p>2%
External environment (including</p>
      <p>ornithology)
Technical factors (failures of
systems and components for</p>
      <p>technical reasons)
Human factors (maintenance
personnel)</p>
      <p>6%
Human factors (aircraft crews)
10%
35%</p>
      <p>47%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%</p>
      <p>In 2023, the level of flight safety of Ukrainian companies remained approximately at the level of
2022. Compared to the previous year:
1.
•
•
•
•
•
•</p>
      <p>During passenger and cargo transportation on scheduled and non-scheduled routes:
no catastrophes in 2023, 2 catastrophes in 2022,
one accident occurred in 2023, no accidents in 2022,
no serious incidents occurred in 2023, while in 2022 there was one,
the number of incidents is 48, while in 2022 there were 54,
seven DAGs took place in 2023, while in 2022 there were no DAGs,
five extreme events occurred in 2023, there were no extreme events in 2022.</p>
      <p>No information was received by the NTIB in 2023 on catastrophes, accidents, serious
incidents, incidents, DAGs, and extreme events that occurred during aviation works
(including training flights), as well as during the operation of general aviation, as in 2022.
This is primarily due to the introduction of a special martial law regime in Ukraine and the
closure of the airspace for civil aircraft flights, and secondly to a decrease in the total
amount of flight hours and the reluctance of aviation entities to inform the NTIB of such
events.</p>
      <p>In 2023, the total flight time of certified companies amounted to 80378 flight hours, which is
slightly more than in 2022 (80317 hours). This was due to an increase in commercial transportation,
thanks to which transport companies flew 76999 hours (in 2022: 76688 hours). In turn, the flight
time for aviation works and training flights decreased and amounted to 3379 hours (in 2022, the
flight time was 3629 hours).</p>
      <p>Taking into account all the data obtained, when operating aircraft of certified companies and
training organizations, the overall accident rate for high-level events (catastrophes, accidents,
serious incidents) decreased (improved) by three times compared to 2022, and amounts to 1.2
events per 100 000 flight hours.</p>
      <p>Despite the fact that 2023 was a year without aviation accidents with human casualties, the
crash of a Mi-8-MTV helicopter at Gao aerodrome (Republic of Mali) resulted in serious injuries to
the passengers of the aircraft. The circumstances of the events investigated by the NTIB indicate
that flight safety problems persist at critical stages of flight, especially during landing. Factors
contributing to these events include trivial reasons, such as the flight crew's failure to comply with
standard operating procedures (SOPs), adverse weather conditions, and inadequate flight data
monitoring (analysis) and government oversight programs.</p>
      <p>Although components and procedures in the air navigation system have improved [3 6],
human factors still have a major influence on flight safety: 80 percent of accidents are caused by
human mistakes, and 42 percent of mistakes are caused by incorrect decision-making [7 10]. At
the same time, humans are the main link in the aviation system. Thus, reducing the impact of
human factors on flight safety remains a pressing issue.
2. A state-of-the-art literature review
According to the concept of collaborative decision-making (CDM) of the International Civil
Aviation Organization (ICAO) [11], efficient cooperation among aviation professionals is a
precondition for providing safety at any stage of an aircraft flight in both normal and abnormal
situations. Aviation personnel must strictly adhere to the normative documents that have been
considered in the process of their professional education and work. Meanwhile, the content of
educational and guidance documents is often different, which makes it difficult for a unified
algorithm for common actions, particularly in emergencies. Cooperative practical training of
aviation professionals is used to avoid potential conflicts between the decisions and actions of</p>
      <sec id="sec-1-1">
        <title>CDM participants in actual flight situations [12].</title>
        <p>Publication [13] describes a technique for collective training of aviation specialists (pilots and
air traffic controllers (ATCO)), [14] a game-oriented model for implementing CDM at one of the
top airports in Europe, and [15] deals with the partnership programs involving aviation training
organizations and air companies. The authors propose new ways to enhance the CDM between a
variety of aviation specialists (UAV operators, pilots, flight dispatchers (FDs), air traffic safety
electronics personnel (ATSEP), ATCOs, rescuers, technicians, etc.) during professional activities
(intelligent decision support systems [16 18]) and practical training (machine learning [19],
artificial neural network for pre-simulation training [20], intelligent integrated training system
CDM - Education 21]), taking into account the influence of environmental factors [22] in
emergencies. Human and Artificial (Hybrid) Intelligence could be applied to improve the CDM
procedures among all aviation stakeholders based on complete information about the performance
of the flight and the emergency [23 25].</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-1-2">
        <title>The authors have developed the following CDM methods [16 22]:</title>
        <p>•
•</p>
        <p>Method for the integrating of non-stochastic, stochastic, and deterministic decision-making
models in uncertainty, risk, and certainty conditions.</p>
        <p>Method for the management of the development of flight situations using the integration of
deterministic, stochastic, non-stochastic decision-making models, and CDM models
(individual and collective decision-making models).
joint performance of practical tasks in the emergencies</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-1-3">
        <title>Engine failure and "Cargo fire" considering objective and subjective factors .</title>
        <p>3. Collaborative decision-making models in the emergencies
considering factors priority
The individual decision-making matrix (DMM) for operator   in uncertainty conditions
considering objective factor</p>
        <p>is presented in Table 1 [22].</p>
        <sec id="sec-1-3-1">
          <title>The individual matrix for participant of decision-making (operator   )</title>
          <p>Priority of objective factors affecting
decisionmaking in emergency,  j</p>
          <p>Solutions,  ⬚</p>
          <p>DMM with the priority of objective factors
 1
 1
 1
 q
…
 1 ∗1</p>
          <p>…
 1 1∗1  2 1∗2
 1 ∗ 1  2 ∗ 2
 2
 2
 2
 2
…
 2 ∗2
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
 j
 j
 j
 j
  1∗

…
  ∗

…
  ∗

…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
 n
 n
 n
 n
   1∗</p>
          <p>…
   ∗</p>
          <p>…
   ∗

 1
…
 
…
 

 1
…
 
…
 
 , 
 1,</p>
          <p>…
  ,</p>
          <p>…
  , 

 1
…
 
…
 
In Table 1:   is the objectiv</p>
          <p>;   is the interim estimates;   is the weighting
coefficients;   is the objective factors affecting decision-making in an emergency;  ⬚ is the
solutions for each participant based on the priority of objective factors;  ∗ is the anticipated
results under affecting objective factors;  ∗ is the alternative decisions based on the priority of
objective factors. The optimal solution  
( ), Hurwitz ( ), and Savage (S
⬚
for each participant is based on the Wald ( ), Laplace
-making in a particular
emergency are defined using the experts' opinions and the Expert Judgment Method (EJM), based
on statistics, and in the availability of Big Data applying an Intelligence System. The collective</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-1-4">
        <title>DMM for all operators in uncertainty conditions considering subjective factors</title>
        <p>presented in Table 2 [17]. In Table 2:  ′′ is the solutions for each participant from the individual
matrices based on the priority of subjective factors (their opinions);  ′′ is the alternative decisions
is
based on the priority of objective and subjective factors.</p>
        <p>Results of solutions by all participants of decision-making,  ′′</p>
        <sec id="sec-1-4-1">
          <title>The optimal collective solutions for all participants</title>
          <p>′′
are defined using the Wald ( ),
Laplace ( ), Hurwitz ( ), and Savage (S) criteria of decision-making under uncertainty with
maximal safety and minimal loss considering objective and subjective factors
4. Collaborative decision-making
models in the emergency</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Engine failure considering factors priority</title>
      <p>There is presented an example of CDM in the emergency Engine failure [17]. Engine failure is
one of the most frequent and complex failures and accounts for 13% of the total number of
incidents [26]. An engine failure can have major effects, such as loss of control of the aircraft,
stalling, power supply problems, pressurization problems, etc. Depending on the pilot's
responsibility, such a situation can be either urgent or emergency. Initial contact, and if deemed
necessary, any further communications of the aircraft in distress, should start with the MAYDAY
message. The PAN-PAN message should be utilized in the same way for an urgent situation [27].
As a result, engine failure may force a landing at the nearest available aerodrome. The
decisionmaking for selecting an alternate aerodrome involves several aviation specialists, such as the pilot,</p>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>ATCO, and FD.</title>
        <p>The consequence of an engine failure at a high altitude is an imminent descent due to a large
decrease in thrust. The pilot must perform the drift descent procedure [28]: set the maximum
continuous thrust for the operating engine that can be used without restriction and at the
minimum speed that ensures a steady level flight at a certain altitude.</p>
        <p>Heavy aircraft Boeing 737-800 (mass is close to maximum landing mass 66360 kg).
2. Flight route (Figure 2) from departure aerodrome Lviv (UKLL) ( 1) to destination aerodrome</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>Initial data:</title>
        <p>Kharkiv (UKHH) ( 2).</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-3">
        <title>3. Flight level FL350.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-4">
        <title>Alternate aerodromes:</title>
        <p>Dnipro (UKDD) ( 3),</p>
        <sec id="sec-2-4-1">
          <title>Boryspil (UKBB) ( 4).</title>
          <p>The meteorological conditions at Lviv, Dnipro, Boryspil, Kharkiv responds to the minimum
of category I (CAT I) (visibility of at least 800 m, of at least 60 m). Winter, the temperature
is close to zero, precipitation, medium braking action.</p>
          <p>Three operators are taken part in the CDM procedures: pilot ( 1), ATCO ( 2), and FD ( 3).
Each operator has compiled a decision matrix, where alternatives are accessible aerodromes
along the route Lviv - Kharkiv (Figure 2), and each operator has reviewed the identical
factors in the actual situation, but with varying priorities. Factors affecting decision-making
for each operator:
•
•
•
{ } are factors that are reviewed by operator  1 (pilot),
{ } are factors that are reviewed by operator  2 (ATCO),
{ } are factors that are reviewed by operator  3 (FD).</p>
          <p>Lviv
(A1)</p>
          <p>Boryspil
(A4)</p>
          <p>Dnipro
(A3)</p>
          <p>Kharkiv
(A2)</p>
          <p>When selecting the optimal alternative, every operator (  ,   ,   ) is guided by the shared
objective factors [17; 18]:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
 1,  1,  1 are fuel supply on board,
 2,  2,  2 are distance of the alternate aerodrome,
 3,  3,  3 are technical characteristics of the runway,
 4,  4,  4 are weather conditions at the alternate aerodrome,
 5,  5,  5 are light signaling system for approaching the landing,
 6,  6,  6 are accessible system of approach,
 7,  7,  7 are accessible navigation means,
 8,  8,  8 are flight and technical characteristics of the aircraft,
 9,  9,  9 are radio communication link,
 10,  10,  10 are intensity of air traffic,
 11,  11,  11 are business essence.</p>
          <p>The individual DMM for all operators i Engine f based on the Wald (W)
criterion, Laplace (L), Hurwitz (H), and Savage (S) criteria are in Tables 2 4. Results anticipated by
the pilot (operator 1) are represented in Table 3. Factors priority for the pilot are  3,  4,  8 (green
color in Table 3). The optimal landing aerodromes when approaching en route Lviv Kharkiv” as
decided by the pilot are (red color in the matrix): by the Wald criterion (W) - Kharkiv ( 2); by the
Laplace criterion (L) - Boryspil ( 4); by the Hurwitz criterion (H) - Kharkiv ( 2); by the Savage
criterion (S) - Kharkiv (A2). Results anticipated by the ATCO (operator  2) are represented in Table</p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-2-4-2">
          <title>4. Factors priority for the ATCO are  3,  4,  8 (green color in Table 4).</title>
          <p>The optimal landin - Kharkiv” as decided by the
ATCO are (red color in the matrix): by the Wald criterion (W) - Kharkiv ( 2); by the Laplace
criterion (L) - Boryspil ( 4); by the Hurwitz criterion (H) - Kharkiv ( 2); by the Savage criterion (S)
- Kharkiv ( 2).
10 10</p>
          <p>10
9
8
8
 7
9
8
8
 7
9
8
9
10
9
9
 8
10
9
9
10
10
9
9</p>
          <p>The optimal landing aerodromes when approaching en route Lviv Kharkiv” as decided by the
FD are (red color in the matrix): by the Wald criterion (W) - Kharkiv ( 2); by the Laplace criterion
(L) - Boryspil ( 4); by the Hurwitz criterion (H) - Kharkiv ( 2); by the Savage criterion (S)
Kharkiv ( 2). To determine the coherence of the operators, the collective DMM were built, in
which the factors for the operators (pilot ( 1), ATCO ( 2), and FD ( 3)) are similar, and the
operator s solution are taken from individual DMM (Tables 6-8).</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-5">
        <title>The CDM matrices use subjective factors, such as the opinions of operators.</title>
        <p>The optimal CDM when this is a scheduled flight (Wald criterion) is presented in Table 6. In this
event, the optimal landing aerodrome is defined by the objective factors (fuel supply on board; a
distance of the alternate aerodrome; technical characteristics of the runway; weather conditions at
the alternate aerodrome; light signaling system for approaching the landing; accessible system of
approach; accessible navigation means; flight and technical characteristics of the aircraft; radio
communication link; the intensity of air traffic, and business essence) and subjective factors
(opinions of the pilot, ATCO, and FD) is destination aerodrome Kharkiv ( 2) (red color in the
matrix). The optimal CDM under the assumption that this flight is regular (Laplace criterion) is
presented in Table 7- is Boryspil ( 4) (red color in the matrix). Optimal CDM by different
approaches using the optimism-pessimism ratio  = 0.5 (Hurwicz criterion) is presented in Table 8
- is Lviv ( 1). The coherence of decisions grows with an increasing ratio of optimism, with a
decreasing ratio in the pessimism direction, the discrepancy rises.</p>
        <p>ATCO</p>
        <p>The third participant in the process is an engineer, the alternative aerodrome Gostomel ( 5) is
added to the alternative solutions as the most suitable for landing (minimum distance). Priority of
factors for the participants: pilot, ATCO, and engineer is presented in Figure 3.</p>
        <p>ATCO
0,14
0,12
0,10
0,08
0,06
0,04
0,02
0,00
f1
f2
f3
f5
f6
f7
f8
f9
f10</p>
        <p>f11
f4
Pilot</p>
        <p>ATCO</p>
        <p>ATSEP</p>
        <p>In the learning process of students, trainings were held to optimize CDM by aviation specialists
during practical training, taking into account the priority of factors.
5. Collaborative decision-making
fire considering factors priority
models in the emergency</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Cargo</title>
      <p>C argo fire 22] when approaching the same en-route Lviv
( 1) - Kharkiv ( 2) and taking into account similar objective and subjective factors with other
anticipated results under their affecting. The significant proportions of incidents are engine failure
(13 percent) and smoke/fire on the aircraft (11 percent), as reported by the Transportation Safety</p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>Board of Canada collected for the period from 2007 to 2017 [29].</title>
        <p>An onboard fire is one of the most dangerous incidents for an aviation crew. A fire on an
aircraft can rapidly cause a disastrous aircraft loss if the crew fails to take active measures. If a fire
does break out, the likelihood that the crew will be able to eliminate it is very low. In the case of a
fire on board, the pilot has an estimated 17 minutes to return the aircraft to the ground.
Unrestricted fire can burn down an aircraft in as few as 20 minutes. Fire can totally destroy a
smoke-filled cabin in 6-10 minutes. Time is of the utmost importance when extinguishing fires in
flight. Fires on aircraft can occur in various places and for numerous reasons. Aircraft fires are
usually classified into three categories: engine, cabin, and hidden fire [30]. Fires in the cockpit,
passenger compartment, baggage compartment, and cargo compartment occur during flight for
many reasons, such as faulty wiring, electrical components, lithium-ion batteries, and chain
protection. Many fires in the cabin are caused by human factors (e.g., incorrect battery storage in
gadgets, dangerous goods, or terrorism).</p>
        <p>Four operators are taken part in the CDM procedures: pilot ( 1), ATCO ( 2), FD ( 3), and
engineer (ATSEP) ( 4). Factors affecting decision-making for each operator:
{ } are factors that are reviewed by operator  1 (pilot)
{ } are factors that are reviewed by operator  2 (ATCO)
{ } are factors that are reviewed by operator  3 (FD)
{ } are factors that are reviewed by operator  4 (ATSEP)</p>
        <p>The individual DMM for all operators i Cargo fire based on the Wald (W)
criterion, Laplace (L), Hurwitz (H), and Savage (S) criteria are in Tables 12 15. Results anticipated
by the pilot (operator  1) are represented in Table 12. Priority of factors for the pilot are  3,  4,  8
(green color in Table 12).</p>
        <p>The optimal landing aerodromes when approaching en route Lviv - Kharkiv” as decided by the
pilot are (red color in the matrix): by the Wald criterion (W) - Kharkiv ( 2), Dnipro ( 3), and
Boryspil ( 4); by the Laplace criterion (L) - Kharkiv ( 2) and Boryspil ( 4); by the Hurwitz
criterion (H) - Boryspil ( 4); by the Savage criterion (S) - Kharkiv ( 2) and Dnipro ( 3).</p>
        <p>Results anticipated by the ATCO (operator O2) are represented in Table 13. Factors priority for
the ATCO are  3,  4,  8 (green color in Table 13).</p>
        <p>The optimal landing aerodromes when approaching en route Lviv - Kharkiv” as decided by the
ATCO are (red color in the matrix): by the Wald ( ), Laplace ( ), Hurwitz ( ), and Savage (S)
criteria - Boryspil ( 4).</p>
        <p>The DMM of possible results of FD decision-making when selecting the optimal landing
aerodrome at the flight-planning step is represented in Table 14. Factors priority for the FD are  3,
 4,  10 (green color in Table 14).</p>
        <p>The optimal landing aerodromes when approaching en route Lviv - Kharkiv” as decided by the
FD are (red color in the matrix): by the Wald ( ), Laplace ( ), Hurwitz ( ), and Savage (S) criteria
Boryspil ( 4).
9
9
9
9
8
7
7
9
8
9
9
7
6
4
5
7
3
9
9
7
5
6
7
8
3
6
6
6
5
4
5
7</p>
        <p>L
7.1</p>
        <p>The DMM of possible results of ATSEP decision-making when selecting the optimal landing
aerodrome is represented in Table 15. Factors priority for the FD are  3,  4,  10 (green color in
Table 15).</p>
        <p>The optimal landing aerodromes when approaching en route Lviv - Kharkiv” as decided by the
ATSEP are (red color in the matrix): by the Wald ( ), Laplace ( ), Hurwitz ( ), and Savage (S)
criteria - Boryspil ( 4).</p>
        <p>To determine the coherence of the operators, the collective DMM were built, in which the factors
for the operators (pilot ( 1), ATCO ( 2), FD ( 3), and ATSEP ( 4)) are similar, and the operators
solutions are taken from individual DMM, represented in Tables 15–17. The CDM matrices use
subjective factors, such as the opinions of operators.</p>
        <p>The optimal CDM when this is a scheduled flight (Wald criterion) is presented in Table 16. In this
event, the optimal landing aerodrome is defined by the objective factors (fuel supply on board;
distance of the alternate aerodrome; technical characteristics of the runway; weather conditions at the
alternate aerodrome; light signaling system for approaching the landing; accessible system of
approach; accessible navigation means; flight and technical characteristics of the aircraft; radio
communication link; intensity of air traffic, and business essence) and subjective factors (opinions of
the pilot, ATCO, FD, and ATSEP) is alternative aerodrome Boryspil ( 4) (red color in the matrix).
6
7
8
8
7
7
8
8
8
7
7
8
7
6
7
8
6
8
7
8
 2
7
8
6
8
9
8
8
9
 3
8
7
7
8
8
7
7
8
 7
7
7
6
7
6
6
5
7
5
6
5
6
8
7
7
9
8
7
6
8
6
4
5
7
6
4
5
6</p>
        <p>Optimal CDM by different approaches using the optimism-pessimism ratio  = 0.5 (Hurwicz
criterion) is presented in Table 18 – is Lviv ( 1). The coherence of decisions grows with an
increasing ratio of optimism, with a decreasing ratio in the pessimism direction, the discrepancy
rises.</p>
        <p>The optimal landing aerodrome in the emergency “Cargo fire”, defined by both objective and
subjective factors, is alternative aerodrome Boryspil ( 4) by the Wald, Laplace, and Hurwicz criteria.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>6. Results and discussions</title>
      <p>The individual and collective matrices for participants of decision-making in uncertainty conditions
considering objective and subjective factors’ priority are developed. An example of selecting the
optimal landing aerodromes when approaching the same en route “Lviv – Kharkiv” in emergencies
“Engine failure” and “Cargo fire” determined by similar objective factors (fuel supply on board;
distance of the alternate aerodrome; technical characteristics of the runway; weather conditions at the
alternate aerodrome; light signaling system for approaching the landing; accessible system of
approach; accessible navigation means; flight and technical characteristics of the aircraft; radio
FD
communication link; intensity of air traffic, and business essence) and subjective factors (opinions of
the aviation specialists) with another anticipated results under their affecting are:
•
•
in the emergency “Engine failure” (three operators: pilot ( 1), ATCO ( 2), and FD ( 3)) –
are destination aerodrome Kharkiv ( 2) by the Wald and Savage criteria; alternative
aerodrome Boryspil ( 4) by the Laplace criterion; or departure aerodrome Lviv ( 1) by the
Hurwicz criterion,
in the emergency “Cargo fire” (four operators: pilot ( 1), ATCO ( 2), FD ( 3), and engineer
(ATSEP) ( 4)) – is alternative aerodrome Boryspil ( 4) by the Wald, Laplace, and Hurwicz
criteria.</p>
      <p>The calculations using the Wald (maximal safety) and Savage (minimal loss) criteria have
demonstrated an interrelation between safety and cost of the flight, as well as the dependence of the
anticipated results of decision-making on the priority of the effect of both objective and subjective
factors.</p>
      <p>To compare decision-making in different situations, the emergency "Fire" when approaching en
route “Lviv – Kharkiv” is considered. The problem is solved taking into account decision-making
priorities (main factors: fuel supply on board; distance of the alternate aerodrome; technical
characteristics of the runway; flight and technical characteristics of the aircraft) by the pilot ( 1),
ATCO ( 2), and engineer (ATSEP) ( 3). The alternative aerodrome Gostomel ( 5) is added to the
alternative solutions as the most suitable for landing (minimum distance).</p>
      <p>In the learning process of students, trainings were held to optimize CDM by aviation specialists
during practical training, taking into account the priority of factors.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>7. Conclusions</title>
      <p>In 2023, the factors that led to aviation incidents and accidents involving Ukrainian civil aircraft
were distributed as follows: 8 (16%) human factors (5 (10%) aircraft crews and 3 (6%) maintenance
personnel); 23 (47%) technical factors (failures of systems and components for technical reasons);
17 (35%) external environment (including ornithology); 1 (2%) unspecified factors. The accident
rate for aviation work and training flights remained unchanged at zero, the same as in 2022. The
volume of flight hours decreased by 250 hours (6.9%) compared to 2022. When operating aircraft of
certified companies and training organizations, the overall accident rate for high-level events
(catastrophes, accidents, serious incidents) decreased (improved) by three times compared to 2022,
and amounts to 1.2 events per 100 000 flight hours.</p>
      <p>This paper presents a novel aspect of the practical training for aviation specialists utilizing
CDM methods, required particularly in emergencies. Although components and procedures in the
air navigation system have improved, human factors still have a major influence on flight safety: 80
percent of accidents are caused by human mistakes, and 42 percent of mistakes are caused by
incorrect decision-making. At the same time, humans are the main link in the aviation system.</p>
      <sec id="sec-5-1">
        <title>Thus, reducing the impact of human factors on flight safety remains a pressing issue.</title>
        <p>CDM is a procedure for involving individual and collective data by diverse interacting aviation
personnel in professional decisions. Effective use of the CDM requires harmonization of decisions
taken by stakeholders, sharing of relevant data, and efficient balancing of safety and cost in-group
decisions. It is essential to ensure that a joint, comprehensive decision can be made with colleagues
at an appropriate level of efficiency. This is accomplished by the comprehensiveness and accuracy
of the available data, as well as coordinated cooperation between aviation specialists, their distinct
and proper interpretation of job responsibilities, and their roles in the completion of a joint task.</p>
        <p>Collective practical training of aviation specialists is a major phase of professional education
and performs a considerable role in further assuring flight safety. The authors have proposed the
improvement of collective practical training of aviation specialists based on a comparison of the
pre-processing results obtained by the CDM during the joint performance of practical tasks in the
emergency situations of Engine failure (the most frequent) and "Cargo failure" (the most danger)
considering objective and subjective factors . Based on the EJM and the Wald, Laplace,
Hurwitz, and Savage criteria in uncertainty conditions, models of individual and collective
decision-making when selecting the optimal aerodrome for forced landing taking into account the
objective and subjective factors are developed.</p>
        <p>Aviation specialists have a great deal of commonality in the features of the learning
professional environment in relation to the creation of their core competencies. Since CDM
cognitive processes are the most important for supporting a holistic mental picture of operational
awareness and air situation development, it is suggested to implement them in the training
programs, as an integral part of the realization of the CDM concept in conditions of a common
educational environment (CDM-E), cooperative work in emergencies for aviation personnel. The
basic benefits of implementing a common educational environment in the learning of future
aviation specialists are presented in [21]: enhanced of communications, flight safety, collaboration,
and the economic efficiency of training.</p>
        <p>
          Further research will be aimed firstly at data pre-processing for planning and modeling
situations in Intelligent (Hybrid) Integrated Training System CDM-E [21] based on Machine
Learning and Big Data analyzing tools. It will allow for optimizing the CDM of aviation specialists
(manned and unmanned aircraft pilots, ATCOs, FDs, ATSEP, maintenance staff, ground services
personnel, etc.) in emergencies considering the objective and subjectiv priority.
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