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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Analysis of Italian Waste Management Data via Non-Stationary Signal Analysis Methods</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Roberto Cavassi</string-name>
          <email>roberto.cavassi@univaq.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Antonio Cicone</string-name>
          <email>antonio.cicone@univaq.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Aamir Javed</string-name>
          <email>aamir.javed@unich.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">4</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Enza Pellegrino</string-name>
          <email>enza.pellegrino@univaq.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Agnese Rapposelli</string-name>
          <email>agnese.rapposelli@unich.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Department of Industrial and Information Engineering and Economics, University of L'Aquila</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Piazzale Ernesto Pontieri, 67100 L'Aquila</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="IT">Italy</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Department of Information Engineering</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Computer Science and Mathematics</addr-line>
          ,
          <institution>University of L'Aquila</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>via Vetoio 1, 67100, L'Aquila</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="IT">Italy</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00143, Rome</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="IT">Italy</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3">
          <label>3</label>
          <institution>Istituto di Astrofisica e Planetologia Spaziali, INAF</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Via del Fosso del Cavaliere 100, 00133,Rome</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="IT">Italy</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff4">
          <label>4</label>
          <institution>University “G. D'Annunzio” of Chieti-Pescara</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Viale Pindaro 42, 65127 Pescara</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="IT">Italy</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>This study presents the two-dimensional Fast Iterative Filtering (2D-FIF) technique, an advanced tool in signal processing, and explores its application to the analysis of economic data pertaining to waste management. The overarching objective is to contribute to the formulation of innovative, data-driven guidelines aimed at promoting the transition toward a Circular Economy. Italy ofers a particularly rich case study, given its complex and heterogeneously distributed waste management systems, shaped by structural, technical, political, and socioeconomic variabilities across regions. This diversity enables an empirical investigation into the influence of numerous interacting variables on system performance. However, the underlying data are intrinsically non-stationary in both time and space, rendering traditional signal processing methodologies-such as those based on Fourier and wavelet analyses-less efective in capturing the nuanced dynamics involved. Over the past two decades, several novel approaches tailored to non-stationary signal analysis have emerged, among which Fast Iterative Filtering has distinguished itself due to its solid mathematical grounding. The method is not only provably convergent and robust to noise but also computationally eficient. Its eficacy has been demonstrated in various domains including physics, engineering, and biomedical sciences. In the present we briefly review recent non-stationary signal processing techniques, in particular the 2D Fast Iterative Filtering, and we will apply them to Italian waste management datasets, with the goal of uncovering latent relationships between system configurations and operational outcomes. The ultimate ambition is to furnish policymakers and local administrators with actionable insights and empirically-grounded best practices to enhance waste management eficacy and further the goals of the Circular Economy.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>eol&gt;Non-stationary signal processing</kwd>
        <kwd>Circular Economy (CE)</kwd>
        <kwd>waste management</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>In many applied fields of research, like Geophysics, Medicine, Engineering, Economy, and Finance, to
mention a few, classical challenging problems are the identification of hidden information and features
contained in a given signal, like quasi-periodicities and frequency patterns, as well as the extraction of
all the diferent components contained in it.</p>
      <p>
        Standard methods based on Fourier and Wavelet Transform, historically used in Signal Processing,
proved to be limited in the presence of nonlinear and non-stationary phenomena [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref2">1, 2</xref>
        ]. For this reason,
in the last two decades, several new nonlinear methods have been developed by many research groups
around the world, and they have been used extensively in several applied fields of research.
      </p>
      <p>
        In this work, we briefly review the pioneering technique Hilbert-Huang Transform (a.k.a. Empirical
Mode Decomposition method) and discuss its known limitations. Then, we introduce the Fast Iterative
Filtering technique [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] and its generalization to handle multidimensional non-stationary signals in
the so called 2D Fast Iterative Filtering (FIF2) [4, 5]. We will discuss these methods theoretical and
numerical properties and apply this methodology to the analysis of Italian waste management data
with the goal of identifying hidden connections between the setting up of local systems and their actual
performance, providing local administrators and policymakers with new insights and best practices on
how to optimize waste management.
      </p>
      <p>Waste management represents nowadays a fundamental issue in the transition from a linear to a
circular economy (CE) model both at international and national levels. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable
Development, and in particular goal 12 “Ensure sustainable patterns of production and consumption”,
aspires with goal 12.5 to reduce waste production through prevention, reduction, recycling and reuse.
Moreover, goal 11 “Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable” aims
with goal 11.6 at reducing the adverse per capita environmental impact of cities, paying special attention
to municipal and other waste management. According to the World Bank, annual waste generation is
estimated to grow by 70% by 2050 [6]. In 2020, European Union (EU) total waste generation reached 2.3
million tons, around 4.8 tons per capita, and municipal solid waste (MSW) accounts for approximately
10% of the total waste generated in the EU27 [7]. Across Europe, diferences in the municipal waste
generation exist among and within countries. This is due to diferences in countries economic conditions
as well as in countries waste collection and management characteristics [8]. Since 2008, the Waste
Framework Directive [9] has designed strategies and principles for sustainable waste management.
The 2020 EU Circular Economy Strategy Action Plan (CESAP) established a policy framework aligned
with the European Green Deal to achieve a cleaner and more competitive economy [10] identifying
measures to achieve resource-independent economic growth, by reducing resource extraction and waste
produced. The shift towards a circular economy perspective, therefore, heavily relies on virtuous and
sustainable waste management [11]. Implementing a sustainable and responsible waste management
system incorporating the triple bottom line (TBL) perspective [12, 13, 14] means to set goals and
evolve toward more sustainable models for the “business” at hand, thus producing positive impacts for
environment, profit and people. In a nutshell, sustainable waste management services can generate
profit while also addressing waste issues that threaten the environment and communities. In this
context, the Italian Legislative Decrees 22/1997 and 152/2006 (the Environmental Code), integrated
by the Decree 2005/2010, which regulate waste management, proposed ambitious goals with the aim
of improving waste management procedures and reducing waste efects on both public health and
environment. More specifically, the Environmental Code set separate waste collection (SWC) targets
and associated time frames for their achievement, establishing a graduated path for the SWC objectives
(35% by 2006, 45% by 2008 and 65% by 2012), to encourage recycling and to reduce the amount of waste
in landfills [ 15]. Italy, from this viewpoint, represents an important case study because it encompasses
highly locally diferentiated waste systems due to structural, technical, political, and socioeconomic
diferences across regions, allowing to verify the efects of a wide set of variables and values on the
performance of waste management [10]. Thus, although this study focuses on the Italian waste sector
data, it could provide tools and knowledge on issues relevant to assess waste sector analysis in several
other European countries.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Data and Method</title>
      <p>Regarding the data, in a TBL framework, we considered not only environmental aspects (waste
generation) but also economic (service costs) and social (separate collection) performances. To this purpose, we
examined variables able to catch the three essential dimensions (environmental, economic and social)
of municipal waste management sustainability at Italian municipal level. We collected the following
data for 2023 from Istituto Superiore per la Ricerca e la Protezione dell’Ambiente (ISPRA) public dataset
• separate collection rate (percentage);
• total waste produced per inhabitant (tons);
• mixed waste produced per inhabitant (tons);
• cost for mixed waste collected per inhabitant (euro);
• cost for separated waste collected per inhabitant (euro);
• cost for total waste management per inhabitant (euro).</p>
      <p>As costs, we included three kinds of costs relevant in urban waste management: total cost, cost
for mixed waste managed, and cost for separated waste managed. The costs for the management of
mixed municipal waste include street sweeping and washing costs, collection and transportation costs,
treatment and disposal costs, and other costs, relating to the management of mixed municipal waste.
The costs for the management of the separate collection include costs of separate collection of individual
materials, treatment and recycling costs. The total cost includes the cost for management mixed and
sorted waste along with administrative, collection and litigation, general management, and other costs
such as the amortization, and remuneration of capital.</p>
      <p>
        Regarding the method, the seminal work of Huang et al. in 1998 introduced the Empirical Mode
Decomposition (EMD) method [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ], a groundbreaking approach for the analysis of nonlinear and
nonstationary signals. EMD operates by decomposing a signal into a finite set of oscillatory modes, termed
Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs). These IMFs are characterized by two principal conditions: (i) the
number of extrema and zero crossings must either be equal or difer at most by one, and (ii) at any
point in time, the mean of the upper and lower envelopes—defined via spline interpolation through
local maxima and minima—must vanish. The decomposition is achieved through a sifting process in
which local means, formed by these envelopes, are iteratively subtracted from the signal.
      </p>
      <p>While EMD has proven efective in a broad range of applications, it is not without limitations. Notably,
its dependence on spline-based envelope interpolation, the absence of a solid mathematical foundation,
and issues related to mode mixing have spurred the development of alternative methodologies [16, 17,
18, 19]. Over the past two decades, various nonlinear techniques have been proposed to address these
shortcomings, as exemplified in [20, 21, 22, 23].</p>
      <p>Among the alternatives, Iterative Filtering (IF) stands out for its structural similarity to EMD and
for being the only method in this group that does not impose a priori assumptions on the signal—such
as the number of IMFs or the choice of decomposition basis. The key distinction lies in how the local
average is computed. Rather than employing envelope interpolation, IF defines the moving average
ℳ( )() of a signal  through convolution with a compactly supported filter , as follows:
where  denotes the half-length of the filter’s support. Crucially, the filter length  is determined in an
adaptive manner, based on intrinsic features of the signal—typically derived from the distribution of its
extrema or its local spectral content [24, 25]. This adaptive mechanism imparts a nonlinear character to
the IF method, rendering it responsive to the local structure of the signal.</p>
      <p>Building on IF, the Fast Iterative Filtering (FIF) algorithm was introduced to enhance computational
eficiency by leveraging the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT). FIF retains the adaptivity of IF while
dramatically reducing the computational burden, thus enabling real-time processing and the treatment of
high-dimensional signals. Furthermore, FIF permits the selection of specific filter profiles, such as those
derived from the Fokker–Planck equation, which ensure both smoothness and compact support of the
iflter function.</p>
      <p>Subsequent advancements have extended FIF to increasingly complex data modalities. These include
the Multivariate Fast Iterative Filtering (MvFIF) algorithm for multichannel signals [26],
Multidimensional Iterative Filtering (MIF) for generic multidimensional datasets [4], and the Two-Dimensional Fast
Iterative Filtering (FIF2) algorithm for two-dimensional signal decomposition [27]. These generalizations
inherit the core principles of FIF, adapting them to diverse spatial and temporal domains.</p>
      <p>The FIF2 framework enables the decomposition of an -dimensional signal  ∈ R into IMFs
by approximating the high-dimensional moving average and iteratively removing it. In contrast to
EMD, which relies on the identification of maxima and minima to define envelopes, FIF2 employs a
convolution-based approach:
Ω
where  : R → R is a nonnegative, even, continuous filter function with compact support Ω ⊂ R ,
normalized so that ∫︀Ω ()  = 1.</p>
      <p>For practical implementation, the algorithm assumes periodic boundary conditions. When such
assumptions are incompatible with the signal, periodic extensions can be employed to mitigate boundary
artifacts [28]. The support size Ω is chosen adaptively based on the signal’s structural features, such as
the distribution of extrema or the local frequency spectrum. This data-driven choice further contributes
to the method’s nonlinear and adaptive nature.
(2)
Algorithm 1 2D Fast Iterative Filtering IMFs = FIF2( )</p>
      <p>IMFs = {}
i=0
while there are oscillations left in  do
i=i+1
compute the filter support Ω̂o︀f the filter function 
compute the 2D filter 
compute DFT of signal  and of the filter 
set  = 0
while the stopping criterion is not satisfied do</p>
      <p>IMF() = iDFT ( − diag (DFT()))  DFT(f)
 =  + 1
end while
IMFs = IMFs ∪ ︀{ IMF()}︀
 =  − IMF ()
end while
IMFs = IMFs ∪ { }</p>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>The FIF2 method, see pseudocode in Algorithm 1 involves two nested loops:</title>
        <p>• Inner Loop: Extracts an IMF by iteratively applying the filtering process until a stopping criterion
is met.
• Outer Loop: Applies the same process to the residual signal, producing successive IMFs until
the residual has at most one local extremum, classifying it as a trend signal.</p>
        <p>
          The computational complexity of FIF2 is ( log ), where  is the maximum among all dimensions
of the signal under investigation. The method’s robustness and eficiency are enhanced by choosing a
Generalized Fokker-Planck filter [ 4]. These filters are ∞(R), compactly supported, and widely used
in applications. This method as been proven to be a priori convergent and stable [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">4, 3, 27</xref>
          ].
        </p>
        <p>In a future work we plan to apply this technique, as well as other methods like the Multivariate FIF
[26], the Multidimensional and Multivariate FIF [5] to the analysis of the data sets listed above.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Conclusions</title>
      <p>Waste management strategies play a pivotal role in determining the long-term sustainability of the
sector, with direct implications for both environmental integrity and public health outcomes. Enhancing
the sustainability of waste services requires strategic alignment with the Sustainable Development
Goals (SDGs) and the guiding principles of European Union environmental policy. In this context,
equipping policymakers with rigorous and comprehensive sustainability assessments is essential to
inform the selection and implementation of the most efective and context-appropriate interventions at
the local level.</p>
      <p>Our previous empirical analysis demonstrates substantial heterogeneity in the sustainability of the
waste sector across the territorial units under study [15], revealing a marked geographic divergence
between Northern and Southern Italy. These spatial disparities underscore the critical need for
integrating the SDGs and EU environmental directives into local waste governance frameworks, and for
grounding policy interventions in robust, data-driven decision-support systems.</p>
      <p>In this regard, the incorporation of non-stationary signal decomposition techniques—as applied in
our case study— will ofer a novel analytical lens for identifying priority areas and informing targeted
interventions. These techniques facilitate the identification of latent temporal and spatial dynamics in
waste management performance, thereby supporting more eficient and cost-efective policy design.</p>
      <p>Furthermore, the application of these advanced methodologies will enable a deeper investigation
into spatial correlations, convergence dynamics, and polarization phenomena in waste management
outcomes. This, in turn, can provide valuable insights into the interplay between performance
diferentials and structural variables such as institutional frameworks, local economic conditions, and patterns
of specialization in urban waste management systems.</p>
      <p>To conclude, while our previous findings ofer significant contributions to the understanding of
territorial sustainability in waste services, further research is warranted to disentangle and quantitatively
assess the influence of exogenous factors—including governance practices, regulatory environments,
and socio-economic determinants—on complex policy decision-making processes within the sector. We
plan to conduct these studies in a future work.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Acknowledgments</title>
      <p>The authors RC, AC and EP are members of the Gruppo Nazionale Calcolo Scientifico-Istituto Nazionale
di Alta Matematica (GNCS-INdAM). The research of RC and AC was partially supported through the
GNCS-INdAM Project CUP E53C23001670001.</p>
      <p>The authors were supported by the Italian Ministry of the University and Research and the European
Union through the “Next Generation EU”, Mission 4, Component 1, under the PRIN PNRR 2022 grant
number CUP E53D23018040001 ERC field PE1 project P2022XME5P titled “Circular Economy from the
Mathematics for Signal Processing prospective”.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Declaration on Generative AI</title>
      <sec id="sec-5-1">
        <title>The authors have not employed any Generative AI tools.</title>
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