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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>September</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Towards building blocks for predictive analysis of HVAC systems</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Nikola Ivanovic</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Benjamin Nast</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>University of Rostock</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Albert-Einstein-Str. 22, 18059 Rostock</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="DE">Germany</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2025</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>1</volume>
      <fpage>7</fpage>
      <lpage>19</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>This paper presents a modular approach for anomaly detection in heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems by combining domain-specific knowledge and machine learning (ML) applications within reusable building blocks (BB). Based on a real-world industrial case study, which is aligned with current regulatory requirements, the approach supports digital transformation. It illustrates how technical capabilities can be connected with business goals such as energy eficiency, compliance, and service innovation. Machine learningbuilding blocks (ML-BB), validated through rule-based logic derived from expert knowledge, demonstrate that such components can be reused across use cases with minimal customisation. The feasibility study presented in this work shows that applying the ML-BB can improve the energy eficiency of HVAC systems and reduce the time technicians spend on energy inspections, which are so far done manually. The work contributes to business-IT alignment (BITA) by enabling scalable, domain-driven artificial intelligence (AI) integration into operational workflows.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>eol&gt;building blocks</kwd>
        <kwd>machine learning</kwd>
        <kwd>IoT</kwd>
        <kwd>HVAC</kwd>
        <kwd>artificial intelligence</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems significantly influence indoor air quality and
are responsible for approximately 40–60% of energy consumption in buildings [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]. The ineficiency of
the HVAC systems has a notable impact on the energy consumption and, therefore, on environmental
pollution and energy costs. From this perspective, it is essential to decrease environmental pollution
and to protect the end-users by increasing the eficiency of HVAC systems and reducing their energy
consumption caused by the ineficiencies in the system performance.
      </p>
      <p>Furthermore, the demand for digitalisation and optimisation comes not only from the environmental
and business perspectives but also from regulatory requirements. Since the beginning of 2025, a new
regulatory requirement in Germany mandates that HVAC providers integrate systems for monitoring
energy consumption. This obligation is detailed in the industrial case study described in section 3.</p>
      <p>As most HVAC systems the company under study maintains are not yet adequately digitised, system
inspections are conducted manually on-site by technicians. As a result, significant discrepancies between
estimated and actual energy eficiency levels are detected. This practice often leads to significant
discrepancies between estimated and actual energy eficiency levels.</p>
      <p>
        Through the analysis of inspection reports in a previous research project, the findings indicate that up
to 30% energy savings could be achieved through appropriate monitoring practices [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ]. These potential
savings are further supported by existing studies, which demonstrate that faults can be detected and
addressed using low-cost technologies [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3 ref4">3, 4</xref>
        ]. Consequently, the digitalisation needs of the HVAC
systems and the compliance with regulatory frameworks, such as §71a of the Gebäudeenergiegesetz
(GEG), are recognised as a key driver of digital transformation.
      </p>
      <p>
        To support the digital transformation of the observed company, in a previous project, we developed a
system capable of providing performance insights into HVAC operations through the use of Internet
of Things (IoT) sensors [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref5">2, 5</xref>
        ]. In the current project, we build upon this foundation by using machine
learning (ML) applications to analyse sensor data, detect system irregularities, and make the system
more energy-eficient.
      </p>
      <p>In this work, a collection of analysis building blocks (A-BB) and machine learning building blocks
(ML-BB) for intelligent data analysis in HVAC systems is proposed. The proposed building blocks
(BB) represent modular ML applications with well-defined interfaces, enabling reuse and minimal
customisation. Scalable, domain-driven artificial intelligence (AI) integration into operational workflows
is made possible, and thus, it contributes to business-IT alignment (BITA). By applying the ML-BB,
energy eficiency can be improved, and the time technicians spend conducting energy inspections can
be reduced through task automation.</p>
      <p>Since the method for creating BB is not described in this paper, we want to point out that the method
is proposed for a separate publication that is currently being prepared. The proposed method describes
a systematic approach to designing and deriving BB from a previously created enterprise context model.
It makes the ML application structured in modular BB linked to the business processes and data, and
enables their reusability across similar enterprise contexts. In this study, we present the ML-BB as
outcomes of that method, highlighting their applicability and benefits to the company.</p>
      <p>The main contribution of this paper is to demonstrate the practical application of the proposed
ML-BB for analysing HVAC data, with a particular focus on identifying anomalous system behaviour
and its associated operational costs. The remainder of the paper is organised as follows: Section 2
gives background to BITA and digital transformation, monitoring of HVAC systems, and BB. Section 3
outlines the industrial case study. Section 4 details the application of ML-BB for HVAC system data
analysis. Section 5 concludes the paper.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Theoretical background</title>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>2.1. Business-IT alignment and digital transformation</title>
        <p>
          BITA can be seen as the appropriate and timely application of information technology (IT) in line with
the business goals, strategy, and needs [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
          ]. It has a big impact on the performance of organisations
[
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
          ]. In general, four dimensions can be divided: strategic, structural, social, and cultural, whereby the
strategic dimension is researched most [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
          ]. To achieve positive efects, such as increasing eficiency or
lfexibility in business and IT, all four dimensions need to be considered [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
          ]. As IT is getting increasingly
important and has a high impact on eficiency, the importance of BITA is also growing [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
          ].
        </p>
        <p>
          BITA can be seen as an important factor for digital transformation [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref11">10, 11</xref>
          ]. In [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
          ], the authors
show that it helps enterprises to design and implement organisational flexibility regarding structure,
IT infrastructure, and workforce, which is necessary for successful digital transformation. Digital
transformation is an important topic in information systems research [13] and for practitioners [14].
It can be described as the adoption of innovative digital technologies, e.g., digital twins, big data, or
AI, in the digitalisation of an organisation’s business model and its operation [15]. Since it afects not
only the products and services enterprises ofer, but also how they work [ 16], an organisation-wide
transformation program is needed.
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>2.2. Monitoring of HVAC systems</title>
        <p>
          Motivated by the reliable climate control, improved indoor air quality, and thermal comfort, many
commercial and industrial buildings employ HVAC systems [17]. Even though these systems are
increasing the air quality and thermal comfort, they are still accounting for approximately 40-60% of
the energy consumption of the buildings [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
          ]. Optimising their energy consumption is inevitable to
reduce environmental pollution and protect the end-users from the unneeded energy cost caused by
ineficiency in the system operations. In recent years, the latest technologies, such as IoT sensors and
AI, have already found their application in this domain. In [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
          ], the authors applied low-cost sensor
technology using a minimally invasive approach to assess HVAC system performance. The collected
data enabled the development of various ML and deep learning (DL) applications. ML and DL ofered
advantages such as early fault detection to identify irregularities in HVAC operations and predictive
maintenance to minimise system downtime. ML and DL techniques have been successfully applied to
optimise HVAC system operations; however, most studies remain experimental, and only a few have
been implemented in real buildings with post-occupancy evaluations [18].
        </p>
        <p>Techniques for diagnosing and detecting errors can essentially be divided into knowledge-based
and data-driven [19]. Knowledge-based techniques use existing domain knowledge to develop rules or
models for fault detection. They are mostly very complex, require a lot of input from domain experts,
and are hard to adapt to diferent use cases, as they are developed for a specific HVAC system under
specific conditions [ 20]. Data-driven techniques are primarily based on automatically extracting pattern
similarities for fault detection, using data-driven approaches [19]. As these require adequate data sets
for faulty and non-faulty operations, in most cases, they cannot be used for newly installed systems or
changing operating conditions.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-3">
        <title>2.3. Building blocks as reusable AI components</title>
        <p>We performed a literature study investigating existing concepts in structuring and reusing AI
applications. For this purpose, we developed a Scopus search query to identify BB, modules, architecture
patterns, and other synonyms that serve similar purposes as BB and could be used for structuring and
reusing AI solutions. Since BB is a broad term used in many diferent disciplines, not many papers
describe BB or its synonyms in a context relevant to this work. The results were very limited, especially
in the context of integrating the technical aspects of AI solutions into business architecture. In this
paper, we present a definition of BB that is relevant for our work. The complete literature study and the
process by which it was conducted will be published in a separate paper.</p>
        <p>Therefore, we envision BB as self-contained, reusable elements [21] that encapsulate business
processes, services, and data structures [22], and extend across data, application, and technology layers of
the enterprise architecture. They support alignment between business goals and IT capabilities [22, 23],
facilitate modular system design, and enable traceable data transformation across the mentioned
architecture layers. These elements are characterised by a defined context of the business service, provided
and required interfaces between the components, and their relationships.</p>
        <p>Finally, we consider the Input-Processing-Output (IPO) model as a suitable structure for both the A-BB
and ML-BB. It is a well-established architecture pattern in research for structuring system behaviour
in software engineering and systems analysis [24]. A process is described, in which a system receives
data (Input), applies a transformation (Process), and produces a result (Output). In this way, we want to
support the design’s modularity and transparency to increase the BB’s reusability.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Industrial case study</title>
      <p>The work described in this paper is part of an ongoing research project in collaboration with a small and
medium-sized enterprise specialising in the construction, operation, and maintenance of HVAC systems.
A significant problem in operating these systems is the complexity of their interacting components, and
that they are designed individually for each customer. The increasing automation of control technology
in industrial facilities and public buildings has led to a rapid growth in the amount of data being
generated. Therefore, intelligent data processing is necessary to execute associated processes eficiently.</p>
      <p>In accordance with §71a of the GEG in Germany, there is a new legal requirement for non-residential
buildings with a heating or cooling system capacity above 290kW. These buildings are required to
implement a building automation and control system by December 31, 2024. This system must include
digital energy monitoring that enables continuous energy consumption tracking and analysis across all
relevant energy sources and building systems. In addition, the system must provide access to the data
via open and configurable interfaces, allowing for vendor-independent evaluation [25].</p>
      <p>
        We developed an IoT-based diagnostic tool to facilitate comprehension of the dynamics within the
systems and form a basis for new types of business services. Sensors are installed to get a minimal set
of measurement data, which is expanded with appropriate physical calculations, to gain deeper insights
into the behaviour of a system. To expand our data-driven analysis with domain knowledge, we add
a standard set of information about the components of each system (configuration data), which can
be found in the device specifications provided by the manufacturers, and in parts are measured under
certain conditions in the system. This helps to classify the systems and determine which calculations
can be applied. The implemented solution allows for diagnostic support for potential improvements
within the systems and the operating processes of the case study company. It can process a large
amount of data from diferent sources and integrate seamlessly into the company’s daily operations.
More details on the infrastructure and practical applications can be found in our previous work [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref5">2, 5</xref>
        ].
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. Feasibility study</title>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>4.1. Analysis-building block</title>
        <p>For the feasibility study, we decided to select the available analysis building block (A-BB) shown in
Fig. 1, which describes domain-specific knowledge on how the inspection reports are conducted for the
detection of the dehumidification anomaly check service. Furthermore, we selected the suitable ML-BB
shown in Fig. 3 to automate the anomaly detection for the same business service using already existing
ML applications.</p>
        <p>Starting with the A-BB shown in Fig. 1, we observe that the BB follows an IPO structure. On the left
side of Fig. 1, the business processes responsible for collecting data required for further analysis are
depicted. These include sensor data and system configuration data, which describe the components of
the HVAC system. In addition, use case-specific information, such as threshold values, is described.
Based on this information, the physical calculation process is executed. In this step, raw sensor data
is extended to derive additional insights. The resulting output is represented by the business object
element calculated data.</p>
        <p>In order to detect the anomalies and get insights into whether the components of the HVAC system
are functioning as intended, the anomaly checks are performed on the calculated data in the following
step. As shown in Fig. 1, the data object analysed data indicates that the check-dehum1 returns True.
This is the result of the anomaly check process, which means that the dehumidification component of
the system is not performing correctly. In the final part of the A-BB, a report is generated, in which all
calculated and analysed data are visualised and described. The required types of visualisations are also
specified using business object elements, resulting from the business objectives.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-2">
        <title>4.2. Machine learning-building block</title>
        <p>Based on the calculated and analysed data of the A-BB, we identified the suitable ML-BB shown in
Fig. 2. The ML-BB follows the same IPO model structure as the A-BB but describes the processes and
data required or provided by the ML application. Furthermore, it outlines how the data is transformed
throughout the ML pipeline. As shown on the left side, the processes that define how the data is accessed
from the respective databases are described.</p>
        <p>From the A-BB, we know which data should be accessed and transformed for the ML-based anomaly
detection in the subsequent processing step. In the next step, the data is processed through the ML
pipeline. Here, the data is cleaned, features are generated, and the ML model is trained and tested. In the
Output part of the ML-BB, the processes and data needed to provide results of ML anomaly detection
and their interfaces are visualised. The practical results of the ML-BB are outlined below.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-3">
        <title>4.3. Results of ML anomaly detection</title>
        <p>As previously described, we incorporated the ML-BB shown in Fig. 2 to support the detection of
dehumidification anomalies in the HVAC system. The selected ML-BB outlines the components of the
ML pipeline that are used to detect dehumidification anomalies using the Isolation Forest algorithm.
The ML-BB was selected based on the Input and Output data of the corresponding A-BB and, therefore,
ensures compatibility with the business objectives. Since the HVAC data we are working with is not
labelled, comes in large volumes, and has significant data noise and outliers, we decided to use an ML
model that fits those conditions. We chose the Isolation Forest model because it does not need labelled
data, handles large datasets well, and is solid when dealing with outliers and noisy data.</p>
        <p>Before presenting the results, we must highlight that we applied a rule-based logic to define
domainspecific anomaly conditions based on expert knowledge. The rule-based classification helps us validate
the anomalies the ML model detects and increases the overall reliability and trust in the results of
the ML-BB. Moving to the results, we apply the ML-BB illustrated in Fig. 3 to detect whether the
HVAC system is functioning correctly. The anomalous condition is defined as a situation in which the
outdoor humidity rises above a use case-specific threshold, and the HVAC system fails to activate the
dehumidification function to reduce the indoor humidity below that threshold.</p>
        <p>We use the three features defined in the ML-BB shown in Fig. 2 to detect such conditions. The first
feature, deviation, measures the diference between the actual and target humidity. The second
feature, ODA_check, captures the diference between outdoor and target humidity. The third feature,
rolling4_check, analyses how often dehumidification is activated within a selected range of the data.
This feature was helpful to filter out false positives that usually appear during short-term transitions,
like when the system turns on or of. We only consider anomalies that are occurring at least four
consecutive time steps to make the detection more reliable and less sensitive to noise occurring during
transitions. Temporal checks help detect irregularities rather than brief fluctuations, which are common
in HVAC systems.</p>
        <p>In the next step, we interviewed HVAC domain experts to gain the necessary knowledge for detecting
dehumidification anomalies. Based on their input, we implemented a set of rule-based conditions and
used them as a validation mechanism for the anomalies detected by the ML model. To make validation
of anomalies easier, we then visualised both rule-based and ML model-detected anomalies within the
same chart in Fig. 3. The rule-based anomalies are visualised as purple dots and labelled as Rule-Based
Anomaly, while the anomalies detected by the ML model are marked as red crosses in the same chart
and labelled as ML Detected Anomaly.</p>
        <p>To ensure that the ML model was aligned with expert-defined anomaly rules, we trained the ML
model with the data points flagged by the rule-based method. In the next step, the ML model was
applied to the whole dataset to predict anomalies across the entire dataset. The results were visualised
using Plotly, showing the rule-based and ML-detected anomalies alongside actual humidity, threshold
humidity, and outdoor humidity.</p>
        <p>The initial findings show that the Isolation Forest model successfully captures most of the
anomalies identified by the rule-based method. These findings confirm the validity of the ML-BB-detected
anomalies and suggest that the ML-BB can be reused in similar use cases.</p>
        <p>Lastly, the defined ML-BB can help improve the energy eficiency of HVAC systems by detecting these
irregularities. They also reduce the manual work needed from technicians, since energy inspections no
longer have to be done by hand, as the energy inspection process is conducted automatically with the
help of ML applications contained in the ML-BB.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>5. Conclusion</title>
      <p>Using IoT sensors to monitor HVAC systems ofers great potential for improving energy eficiency.
These systems are often insuficiently digitised and account for significant energy consumption in
buildings. Based on a real-world industrial case study aligned with regulatory requirements such as
the GEG, the proposed approach demonstrates how BB that integrate domain-specific knowledge with
ML applications can be efectively combined to detect dehumidification-related anomalies in HVAC
systems. In that way, the structure and logic of the BB outline the alignment between the technical
capabilities of the ML model and the business needs, such as energy savings, regulatory compliance,
and service innovation.</p>
      <p>Within the examined company, several A-BB and ML-BB were identified. For the selected A-BB, a
suitable ML-BB was matched and reused to extend the analysis with ML–based anomaly detection.
The Isolation Forest algorithm was used for this purpose and proved to be efective in detecting most
dehumidification anomalies in the HVAC system. With the rule-based logic derived from the domain
expert, the results of ML-detected anomalies were validated, which increased the trust in the model
output, providing insights into ineficiencies within the HVAC system.</p>
      <p>In the presented use case, the volume and complexity of data and anomalies were not very high, so
the use of rule-based logic could be suficient to detect the system’s anomalous behaviour. However,
over time, the data volume will increase; therefore, the rule-based logic could reach its limits and hinder
the scalability and maintainability of the BB. Especially when reusing the ML-BB in the context of
other use cases. To overcome this, we decided to go one step further and use ML algorithms that are
able to handle high volumes of data and learn complex data patterns, so the eficiency, flexibility, and
reusability of the ML-BB could be increased.</p>
      <p>Finally, the modular structure of both A-BB and ML-BB made it possible to select the ML model in
a targeted way based on the specific requirements of the use case. The selected ML-BB only needed
minimal customisation, mainly adjusting thresholds to match the slightly diferent context. This shows
that the BB can be reused across business services and use cases with minimal configuration efort.</p>
      <p>Even though the results are promising, this study focused on a single dehumidification anomaly type,
ignoring other anomaly types and use cases. As a result, the applicability and reusability to other use
cases and contexts that are not closely related to those from which these BB are derived remain limited.
The Isolation Forest model was only evaluated qualitatively, without standard performance metrics.
Although the BB were designed for reuse, their application in other contexts has not yet been tested,
and the matching between A-BB and ML-BB was done manually, which also does not guarantee that
the selected ML-BB are the best fit.</p>
      <p>Lastly, to enable the creation and selection of suitable BB that can be reused across diferent use
cases, we envisioned in a separate paper currently under preparation that the context model should be
available and analysed within the examined company, where the method for creating the A-BB and
ML-BB is presented. The method already shows similarities to the TOGAF framework phases, but it
does not explicitly describe them. Moreover, the context model covers all ArchiMate layers, and in the
motivational layer, it provides the constraints and requirements of the HVAC system, which supports
the selection of suitable BB for specific use cases. However, it does not define how the BB should
be integrated into the larger portfolio. Since there are overlaps between the TOGAF phases and the
method steps, it is possible to extend the method with additional steps similar to the TOGAF phases and
notation elements of ArchiMate. These would guide stakeholders in setting business goals, selecting
and implementing BB, analysing the cost and benefits of the implementation, and supporting them in
migration planning. Furthermore, this will support the stakeholders responsible for implementation in
identifying major projects and guiding them more efectively through the digital transformation. In this
way, stakeholders are not only guided in the selection of BB but also in aligning them with business
goals, planning their migration, and thus supporting digital transformation. Yet, this remains to be
explored in future work.</p>
      <p>In future work, we will focus on validating the results by reusing the BB in diferent contexts and use
cases. Additionally, we plan to develop a repository to support the automated matching of BB. This
will enable technical staf with limited IT expertise to select and apply appropriate BB for anomaly
detection using ML applications.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Acknowledgments</title>
      <p>The topics addressed in this paper are part of a joint research project between Dr. Diestel GmbH, the
University of Rostock, the University of Applied Sciences Stralsund, and the University of Applied
Sciences Wismar. The project is funded by the TBI Technologie-Beratungs-Institut GmbH (funding
code: TBI-1-054-W-019).</p>
      <sec id="sec-6-1">
        <title>Declaration on Generative AI</title>
        <p>During the preparation of this work, the authors used Grammarly to check grammar and spelling. After
using the tool, the authors reviewed and edited the content as needed to take full responsibility for the
publication’s content.
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