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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Information Control Systems &amp; Technologies, September</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Prediction of the Stress-Strain State of a Workpiece Using a CAE System and an Artificial Neural Network</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Oleksandr Tarasov</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Liudmyla Vasylieva</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Oleksandr Altukhov</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Dmytro Myroshnychenko</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Donbas State Engineering Academy</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>72 Akademichna str., Kramatorsk, 84313</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Kyiv National Economic University named after Vadym Hetman</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>54/1 Beresteysky ave., Kyiv, 03057</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2025</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>24</volume>
      <issue>26</issue>
      <fpage>0000</fpage>
      <lpage>0002</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>The software complex for predicting changes in the stress-strain state (SSS) of a workpiece in the CAE system has been developed. The artificial neural network (ANN) in this package operates in parallel with the CAE system, analyzes the calculation results, and predicts changes in the SSS of the workpiece during deformation modeling. ANN monitors changes in a given number of elements in the workpiece body. The article considers the modeling of two new plastic deformation processes that implement the reverse shear scheme. The ANN training time is less than 60 seconds. The prediction accuracy obtained when using SSS in four workpiece elements was 89%-98%, depending on the size of the training sample and the number of training epochs. This approach allows the effective use of ANN to predict changes in SSS simultaneously with the calculation process in the CAE system. If negative trends in the change of the workpiece SSS are observed, then the modeling in the CAE system is stopped, and the geometry of the die is changed. Thus, the combined use of the CAE system and ANN reduces the time needed to select rational parameters for the deformation process by predicting the state of the workpiece.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>eol&gt;CAE</kwd>
        <kwd>finite element method</kwd>
        <kwd>artificial neural network</kwd>
        <kwd>forecasting</kwd>
        <kwd>stress-strain state 1</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        The development of mathematical modeling methods leads to an expansion of the area of their
successful use. The finite element method (FEM) is commonly used for modeling to reduce the
complexity of physical experiments [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref2">1, 2</xref>
        ]. The use of computer-aided engineering (CAE) systems has,
in many cases, replaced physical research methods through the application of FEM [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3 ref4">3, 4</xref>
        ]. Thanks to
parallel computing methods and numerous calculation models, it is possible to study the influence of
various technological conditions on the initial result of workpiece processing in detail [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5 ref6">5, 6</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>Performing the analysis of the deformation process in a CAE system is characterized by the high
accuracy of the results obtained based on the calculation of the influence of a large number of
parameters on the workpiece. The use of classical calculation methods requires performing a large
number of calculations, and therefore, when using this type of software, high requirements are placed
on the computer's hardware. First of all, the speed of performing elementary operations (requirements
for the processor) and the speed of data transfer for it (speed of RAM) are important. Depending on
the characteristics of these components, the time required to calculate the analysis area can vary
significantly.</p>
      <p>Calculations using FEM require significant time to obtain the needed solution. This is especially
evident when performing cyclic optimization procedures. Therefore, this study solves the problem of
predicting changes in the values of workpiece parameters during plastic deformation using artificial
neural networks (ANN) based on a model created for use in a CAE system.</p>
      <p>Prediction of a workpiece stress-strain state (SSS) using CAE and ANN involves using machine
learning models to effectively predict its mechanical behavior during plastic deformation. Connecting
ANN to the CAE system can significantly speed up the prediction of the SSS. At the same
time, the use of machine learning models will reduce the computational time and costs associated
with numerical methods such as FEM.</p>
      <p>
        Researchers consider different approaches to the use of ANN. Thus, works [7 9] prove that
convolutional neural networks (CNN) effectively predict stress and strain fields from material
microstructures. They provide faster predictions than traditional modeling using FEM. It is
emphasized that CNNs effectively handle multidimensional problems and sparse data scenarios. In
works [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7 ref9">7, 9</xref>
        ], unique architectures such as U-Net and Convolutional Autoencoders were used to
predict stress fields. These NNs showed high accuracy in mapping input microstructures onto the
stress-strain curve.
      </p>
      <p>
        It has been pointed out in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref11">10, 11</xref>
        ] that high-density training data is crucial for accurate predictions.
For example, a fully connected feedforward network with sufficient training data can effectively
model the stress-strain relationship. However, it should also be noted that ANNs can generalize well
to unseen data and are capable of zero-shot generalization, predicting stress and strain fields for new
workpiece geometries without additional training [12 15].
      </p>
      <p>
        Another advantage of using ANNs is that they can model complex material behavior, such as
temperature- and rate-dependent reactions, without explicit mathematical formulations of yield
functions or hardening laws [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15 ref16">16, 17</xref>
        ]. These models are scalable and can be adapted to different classes
of materials, providing a universal approach to material modeling [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15 ref17">16, 18</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>The purpose of this work is to increase the efficiency of the modeling process in the CAE system
for processing a workpiece using plastic deformation methods and machine learning methods to
predict changes in the parameters of the workpiece's SSS over time. Compared to performing a
complete calculation in the CAE system, the reduction in analysis time is achieved by deciding to stop
the calculations when undesirable trends in SSS changes are detected.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Case study</title>
      <p>Performing the analysis of the deformation process in a CAE system is characterized by the high
accuracy of the results obtained based on the calculation of the influence of a large number of
parameters on the workpiece. The use of classical calculation methods requires the performance of a
large number of calculations; therefore, when using this type of software, requirements are primarily
placed on such components of the hardware as the speed of elementary operations (processor
requirements) and the speed of data transfer for it (RAM speed). Depending on the characteristics of
these components, the calculation time of the analysis area may vary.</p>
      <p>As an optimization of the process of performing engineering calculations, alternative methods of
finding the parameter's value at a specific point in time of workpiece processing were considered.
The object of analysis was the process of the workpiece deformation distributed in time and
observation of the parameters characterizing its state; therefore, changes in these parameters were
presented in the form of a time series.</p>
      <p>The process model allows for determining the changes in the deformed state in a given direction,
section, or volume of the workpiece over time. It is also possible to analyze other parameters
(restrictions) of the process obtained as a result of numerical modeling based on the physical model
of the process. In addition, quality criteria are required for the development of the process over time.
These criteria will allow us to determine the changes in the deformed state in the calculation process
and evaluate the quality of the process. If changes in the parameters affect the quality criteria in such
a way that the efficiency of the process decreases, then it will allow the calculation process to stop.
This will allow the creation of a decision-making model in the calculation process.</p>
      <p>As an alternative to the numerical solution of the deformation process modeling problem, we used
time series element prediction using machine learning methods. This approach allowed us to replace
many long-term calculations with the analysis of a short time interval based on the trends of changes
in the parameters monitored during the analysis.</p>
      <p>The designed ANN should combine two stages of execution. First, the training time series (  ,   )
is analyzed, with a step  ( ) = 1/ , where   is the vector of input values,   is the time series under
study, and n is the number of recorded values per unit of time.</p>
      <p>Based on the analysis of this series, we use ANN to estimate how system parameters change over
time. In the second stage, we apply the constructed network to make a direct forecast and evaluate
its accuracy.</p>
      <p>At the same time, to reduce costs in performing the analysis of calculation data in the CAE system,
this software module can combine the specified stages into a single execution algorithm. It trains the
network on existing data and proceeds to predict a given number of steps, calculating the deformation
layer to ensure smooth non-linearity.
is the final forecast vector   .</p>
      <p>Training minimizes the mean square error 
of the workpiece at given points. It should be noted immediately that the larger the gap to be
predicted, the more input steps the network requires to maintain the accuracy of the result.</p>
      <p>The developed software module employs a convolutional neural network (CNN) architecture. The
input data is a package of multivariate time series 
∈ { ,  ,  }, where: B
batch size (it is not
specified in our case), T = 3
number of time steps, and F = 5
number of parameters at each time
step. Each input instance is   = ( (1) ,  (2) ,  (3) ).</p>
      <p>A 1D convolutional layer is applied across the temporal dimension T with 256 filters, Kernel size
= 3, and step = 1.</p>
      <p>The convolution for each filter j is:</p>
      <p>= ∑3=1   , ∙   +   .</p>
      <p>The Softplus activation function  ( ) = log⁡(1 + exp( )), is applied within the convolutional
A fully connected (dense) layer maps the 256-dimensional activation to 5 outputs. The output layer
used: mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). Training stops prematurely if
RMSE does not improve, and the model reverts to the last best weights.</p>
      <p>The main structure of the model is presented in Table 1.</p>
      <p>=

1 
∑
 =1(  −  ̂ )2. The following metrics are also
workpiece processing process to obtain training and test data, which will be used to train the ANN
model and build a forecast of further changes in the system parameters selected by the user.</p>
      <p>It is also possible to create a model based on previously saved analysis results, presented as an MS
Excel table with the distribution of monitored parameters in columns and their values in time
intervals in rows.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Results and discussion</title>
      <p>To check the speed of the developed software package and the predicted accuracy results, we
performed a partial analysis of the simulated workpiece processing, indicating material properties
and the form of influence.</p>
      <p>After that, it is possible to query the CAE system to obtain analysis data and implement a prediction
of changes in the state of the workpiece on its basis.</p>
      <p>During experimental tests to study the accuracy of the obtained model, we used the forecast of
changes in values at the points of the workpiece with previously calculated data and determined the
error of the obtained result.</p>
      <p>The general functionality of the system is shown in Fig. 1 as a use case diagram. The system
generates a task of workpiece deformation for implementation in the CAE system. For this, the
geometry of the workpiece and tool is designed, and the material's mechanical characteristics and the
nature of the loading are determined (use case - Selection/construction of the process model). These
parameters are used to create a calculation project in the CAE system using FEM (Construction of the
design model). For this, the type of finite elements is selected, grids are formed, the tool and workpiece
are divided into a set of finite elements, and the boundary and initial conditions for process modeling
are set. The results of step-by-step calculations of the parameters of the workpiece SSS are written to
an Excel file, which serves as a means of data exchange (use case - Export data to an Excel file). Using
the accumulated data, arrays are formed for training and using ANN.</p>
      <p>To analyze the process, characteristic elements in the workpiece volume that characterise the
workpiece SSS are selected (Selection of elements for forecasting). The efficiency of the deformation
process can be assessed by changing the SSS of the workpiece over a given period of time. To ensure
the system's operation, a mechanism for creating and configuring models by the user (operator) was
developed. An operator provides the flexibility of the program's operation with different datasets and
to adjust the forecast to different possible conditions of the studied process. For this purpose, the
"Model Training" use case was defined. The values of the process flow generated by the CAE system,
the model of which requires forecasting, were used as the data source.</p>
      <p>The selected business process entities are presented in the class diagram (Fig. 2). The main task of
the software and methodical complex is to predict the parameters of the stressed-deformed state of
workpieces during pressure processing.</p>
      <p>In the "Forecast SSS " class, the choice of the sequence of working with models for designing the
deformation process and further forming a calculation model in the CAE system is determined. At
the same time, the geometry of the design elements of the die set and workpiece are determined, too.
Besides, the mechanical characteristics of the materials and the deformation conditions are specified
(Process Model). For calculations, the software is integrated with the CAE system. Automation of the
task formulation for the CAE system is performed for typical processes using a Python script. The
script determines the model parameters for calculations. At the same time, a geometric model of the
process is formed, including models of the die set and workpiece elements, the workpiece's
mechanical characteristics, and the specified deformation conditions. A calculation model is also
developed, which includes a finite element model, generation of a mesh that divides the part for study,
and which is represented by the nodes of this mesh. The conditions for implementing the modeling
process are specified (class - SSS Calculation Model). Then, a step-by-step modeling process is
performed in the CAE system, accumulates calculation results, and a dataset is formed for further use
(Dataset class).</p>
      <p>The resulting dataset is used to form arrays necessary for training and monitoring the correct
neural network operation (Data Sampling class). A neural network with a predefined architecture is
used to analyze the received information (Dataset class). Work with the neural network model is
automated using a Python script (Script class). As a result of the neural network (Neural Network
class) work, calculation results are formed for the finite elements selected at the previous stage
(Calculation Results class). The modeling process results are also determined (Process Results class).</p>
      <p>In the next stage, the obtained results are analyzed, as well as the results of the modeling process
(the Results Analysis and Process Analysis classes). For this purpose, various types of analysis are
used: the obtained data are compared with experimental data, with the results of calculations in the
CAE system. The results of different kinds of data analysis are recorded in separate files for further
consideration (the Analysis Results class). In case of deviations from the adequacy of the results when
using the neural network, its architecture is changed, or the process of its training is improved (the
Working Version of the Neural Network, Architecture classes). The "Architecture" class includes the
"Layer" classes and reflects the logical component of the neural network. The representation of the
structure in this project is used to analyze the activity of the neural network and control its
parameters, such as the error value depending on the epoch and the time spent passing the epoch
during training.</p>
      <p>A dataset was formed to test the operation of the software module and train the neural network.
The test data were the results of calculating the accumulated equivalent plastic strain (PEEQ) for four
elements according to the deformation scheme of reverse shear (RS) (Fig. 3a) [20] and
multidirectional reverse shear (MDRS) (Fig. 3b) [21]. The calculations of the workpiece SSS for the RS and
MDRS processes were performed in CAE Abaqus. The projects were prepared using
threedimensional graphics. Each project for calculation in CAE Abaqus included steps (stages) for
performing four deformation operations and auxiliary steps that are necessary for unfolding the
workpiece before the next deformation operation. Thus, each of the calculations consisted of 13 steps.</p>
      <p>CAE Abaqus saves the calculation results in the internal .odb format, which can be accessed by
connecting a Python script to the CAE Abaqus post processor and importing data. Data can be
imported in full or selectively for individual parts of the model and individual steps of the calculation.
Data can also be exported from CAE Abaqus using the built-in tool.</p>
      <p>(a) (b)
Figure 3: Process model in CAE Abaqus: (a) according to the RS scheme, (b) according to the MDRS
scheme</p>
      <p>As a result of the calculations, deformed workpieces were obtained (Fig. 4a, 4b), and four elements
were selected for the analysis of the change in the equivalent deformation PEEQ (Fig. 5a, 5b).
(a)
(b)</p>
      <p>The elements were selected for analysis in the state before deformation, in the corners and the
middle part of the workpiece. Considering the symmetry of the deformation scheme, the selected
elements are sufficient for evaluating the key areas of the workpiece cross-section.</p>
      <p>CAE Abaqus tools were used to plot the equivalent strain PEEQ during deformation for selected
workpiece elements (Fig. 6a, 6b). The plot includes areas with increasing equivalent strain PEEQ,
corresponding to the steps in which the workpiece is deformed, and horizontal areas corresponding
to the steps for performing auxiliary operations (rotations of the workpiece in space). The horizontal
areas of the plot do not carry useful information for training the neural network and are removed
during dataset preparation. Export of the results of the calculation of the equivalent deformation
PEEQ for selected workpiece elements was performed using the built-in CAE tool Abaqus (Fig. 7).
(b)
Figure 6: Graph of the growth of the equivalent strain PEEQ with deformation time: (a) according to
the RS scheme, (b) according to the MDRS scheme</p>
      <p>The next step was to prepare the obtained data in an MS Excel table, including deleting the
calculation data for the auxiliary stages and the deformation time for each given element of the
workpiece. The prepared data in the MS Excel table included five columns: change in deformation
time in the range from 0 to 3 seconds with intervals of 0.05 s; calculated values of the equivalent
deformation PEEQ for four elements corresponding to the calculation stage. For this study, a limited
dataset was selected, which allowed us to prepare the data quickly and develop a neural network
model for training and predicting the equivalent deformation PEEQ for the chosen workpiece
elements.</p>
      <p>For each of the processes of RS and MDRS, MS Excel tables were prepared, which were used during
the training of the neural network and for predicting the values of the equivalent deformation PEEQ.
During the training process, the neural network reads a dataset and forms a time series for training
the model, subsequently performing a forecast of individual values of this series.</p>
      <p>The neural network program was launched in the Anaconda 3 environment with the Tensorflow
and Keras frameworks configured with Cuda technology support. During the operation of the neural
network script, a dataset is read from the MS Excel table. A graph of the change in the equivalent
deformation PEEQ of four elements labelled PEEQ 1 PEEQ 4 is displayed to evaluate the initial data.
The graph (Fig. 8a) shows the change in the equivalent deformation PEEQ for the workpiece elements
deformed by the RS process. The graph shows that for elements PEEQ 1 and PEEQ 2, there are areas
with an uneven increase in the equivalent deformation PEEQ, which is explained by the location of
the element in the workpiece zone, which intensively moves along the tool by the process scheme.
The presence of such areas creates random situations with the general nature of the change in the
equivalent deformation PEEQ. Additional research on the neural network model and the volume of
data for training is required. For elements PEEQ 3 and PEEQ 4, the nature of the change in the
equivalent strain PEEQ is relatively uniform. The graph (Fig. 8b) shows the change in the equivalent
strain PEEQ for the workpiece elements deformed by the MDRS process. All elements PEEQ 1 PEEQ
4 have a uniform nature of the change in the equivalent strain PEEQ.</p>
      <p>(a)
(b)</p>
      <p>To train and predict the values of the equivalent deformation PEEQ, a neural network model was
used, which included an input layer for processing data with values (None, 3, 5), a convolutional layer
with values (None, 1, 256) using 256 filters for input data and the number of parameters 4096; a fully
connected layer with values (None, 1, 5) and the number of parameters 1285; an output layer with
values (None, 1, 5). The selected topology of the neural network is sufficient for processing a small
dataset and predicting values.</p>
      <p>The neural network operation was studied with a change in the number of epochs to evaluate the
neural network training process and analyze the loss function (Fig. 9a, 9b).</p>
      <p>In the first attempts to train the neural network, 400 epochs were set, showing a maximum training
accuracy of about 98%. The training time was about 3 minutes. In subsequent studies, the number of
epochs was reduced to 100 and 60, which allowed us to reduce the training time to 1 minute and
achieve a training accuracy of 89%.</p>
      <p>To predict the values of the equivalent deformation PEEQ, the data window size was set to 15
points; the prediction range was 5, 10, and 15 points. To monitor the correctness of the neural
network, a prediction was performed within the known values; the results are presented in Tables 2
and 3, and in the form of graphs (Fig. 10a, 10b). As a result of 60 epochs of CNN training on the given
data (Fig. 10a, 10b), we obtain a prediction with an average error of the predicted steps of 0.01 0.25,
which, given the range of the studied values, corresponds to an accuracy of 75% 98%.</p>
      <p>Analysis of the loss function graphs shows a significant decrease in losses after 10 epochs of
training for the RS scheme and stabilization of the learning process after 30 epochs. For the MDRS
scheme, there is a gradual decrease in training losses after 40 epochs and stabilization of the training
process after 50 epochs.</p>
      <p>The conducted studies have shown that the selected topology of the neural network and the
prepared datasets for prediction give correct values in the workpiece elements with a uniform growth
of the equivalent strain PEEQ, while high prediction accuracy is observed. For elements with an
uneven growth of the equivalent strain PEEQ, deviations in the prediction of up to 16% are observed,
which does not reflect the real changes in the equivalent strain during the deformation process. Thus,
to increase the accuracy of the prediction of elements with an uneven growth of the equivalent strain
PEEQ, it is necessary to use a larger dataset for training the neural network, which will allow it to
cover a larger number of elements with uneven growth of the strain. Another way to improve the
result is to complicate the topology of the neural network for a more sensitive response to data
heterogeneity.
(b)
Figure 10: Predicted values of equivalent strain at selected points (PEEQ 1...4 ) compared with the
results of calculations in the CAE system: (a) according to the RS scheme, (b) according to the MDRS
scheme.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. Conclusions</title>
      <p>Neural networks, particularly deep learning models such as CNN, provide a powerful alternative to
traditional numerical methods for predicting the stress-strain state in materials. These models offer
high computational efficiency and accuracy, which makes them suitable for high-performance design
and analysis of the plastic deformation of parts made of different materials.</p>
      <p>A software package has been developed to predict the change in the values of the SSS at given
points of the workpiece based on an artificial neural network, which is based on the results of
modeling in the CAE system and works in parallel with it. The accuracy of the prediction of the
equivalent deformation obtained as a result of the experiment varied from 89% - to 98%. The execution
time for data preparation, analysis, and prediction of values by the neural network did not exceed 60
s with 60 epochs of neural network training. At the same time, a usable result is observed already at
50 epochs with a training time of about 60 s.</p>
      <p>As a result of the modeling, it was found that the information processing cycle and forecast
formation are significantly shorter than the time for a complete analysis of the SSS in a CAE system.
The software package and the CAE system accelerate the verification of many options for the metal
forming process during its optimisation.</p>
      <p>The developed neural network model and the methodology for preparing the dataset demonstrate
the possibilities of using numerical calculations and ANN together.</p>
      <p>Integrating neural networks with CAE systems offers a powerful approach to accelerating stress
and strain prediction.</p>
      <p>Using the improved architecture of neural networks and sufficient training data, these models can
effectively process complex material behavior and geometry, providing a scalable and flexible
alternative to traditional calculation methods.</p>
      <p>The proposed methodology requires improving the topology of the neural network and expanding
the dataset, which will allow using this development to predict the values of the equivalent strain
PEEQ for various deformation schemes with a more heterogeneous distribution of strain over the
volume or cross-section of the workpiece.</p>
      <p>A further improvement of the software package is adapting the neural network for various
deformation processes, allowing for the semi-automatic creation of different model topologies for
each calculation or dataset.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Acknowledgements</title>
      <p>Development of technologies and
modeling of metal forming processes for workpieces and parts for unmanned aerial vehicles made
from strengthened aluminum alloys e registration number 0124U001097) of Donbas State
Engineering Academy.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Declaration on Generative AI</title>
      <p>While preparing this work, the authors used Grammarly to edit the text. After using this tool, the
authors reviewed and edited the content and are fully responsible for the publication's content.
[20] A. F. Tarasov, A. V. Altukhov, E. P. Gribkov, A. R. Abdulov, Development and FEM Modeling of
a New Severe Plastic Deformation Process according to the Reverse Shear Scheme, Modelling
and Simulation in Engineering 2019 (2019) 8563830. doi:10.1155/2019/8563830.
[21] O. F. Tarasov, S. O. Tarasov, Method for severe plastic deformation of workpiece by upsetting
with change of direction of deformation, 2015. Patent No. 102513. Ukrainian National Office for
Intellectual Property and Innovations.</p>
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