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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Tourist Carrying Capacity of Geological Sites of Interest on San Cristóbal Island for Land Management and Sustainable Tourism Development</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Paúl Carrión-Mero</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Luis Pacheco-Bautista</string-name>
          <email>luispach@espol.edu.ec</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Josué Briones-Bitar</string-name>
          <email>briones@espol.edu.ec</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>ESPOL Polytechnic University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Guayaquil</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="EC">Ecuador</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Universidad Politécnica de Madrid</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Madrid</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="ES">Spain</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <fpage>323</fpage>
      <lpage>331</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>The rapid growth of tourism in heritage destinations such as the Galapagos Is-lands (a UNESCO World Heritage Site) poses significant challenges for conservation and land management. Assessing the tourist carrying capacity of the islands' geological sites (geosites) is essential for preserving their natural and geomorphological heritage. This analysis allows for the regulation of visitor flows, minimizing environmental impacts, and promoting sustainable tourism that benefits local communities. This research aims to evaluate ten geosites on San Cristóbal Island using tourist carrying capacity (TCC) for their conservation and sustainable tourism development, in the context of a geopark. The methodology used was: i) review and collection of information on the ten geosites, ii) evaluation of the TCC, iii) proposal of management and conservation strategies. The number of visits, proposed by the carrying capacity assessment, ranged from 40 to 955 per day, with Playa Mann and Frigate Bird Hill standing out for their large size to accommodate tourists and adequate facilities adapted to tourism. This analysis made it possible to propose sustainable development strategies based on the pillars of geotourism, geoeducation, and geoconservation. A fundamental part of this is the participation of public, private, and government entities through programs that promote awareness and the spread of sustainable tourism, applying geocommunication of the unique values of each geosite. Future research should address issues of environmental, social, and cultural impact assessments at geosites using complementary methodologies to determine their influence on management.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>eol&gt;Geosites</kwd>
        <kwd>Tourist carrying capacity</kwd>
        <kwd>Geotourism</kwd>
        <kwd>Ecosystem</kwd>
        <kwd>Sustainable development</kwd>
        <kwd>Galapagos</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        Natural heritage is associated with geological heritage, as both focus on places where geological
processes and landscapes characteristic of the area exist, uniquely promoting scientific, educational, and
cultural interest in sites of geological interest (geosites) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref2">1, 2</xref>
        ]. Geotourism is a valuable tool that focuses
on the knowledge, exploration, appreciation, and interpretation of the natural heritage provided by
nature, facilitating the socio-economic growth of a region and helping us to understand the conservation
of geological elements [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Volcanic islands demonstrate the importance of tourism in sites of geological interest, such as the
Galapagos Islands (declared a World Heritage Site by UNESCO in 1978), due to their biodiversity and
natural environments [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ]. Another example is the volcanic island of Jeju in South Korea, which is well
known for its lava tunnels and is the only site in the world classified as a Biosphere Reserve [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5 ref6">5, 6</xref>
        ].
Another example is the island of Tenerife (Canary Islands), which is home to unique volcanic features
such as the caldera complex, volcanic strata, and volcanic chimneys [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7 ref8">7, 8</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Geotourism is becoming increasingly popular as an alternative form of tourism that focuses on social,
cultural, environmental, and economic sustainability criteria to benefit society and the environment
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ]. The increase in tourism development at sites of geological interest generates significant economic
benefits; however, it also puts considerable pressure on public resources, the cultural environment,
and the ecological environment, jeopardizing the sustainability of the site. For an adequate tourism
development strategy, academics and professionals propose calculating the CCT at sites of interest
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref11">10, 11</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        The CCT refers to the maximum number of visitors that a site of geological interest can support
without afecting its environment (physical, social, economic, and environmental). The CCT is a tool
that helps us plan and maintain sustainable management, allowing us to make decisions regarding
access regulation, tourism development, and ecosystem preservation [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        ]. The assessment of the CCT
in the islands’ geosites is essential for preserving their natural and geomorphological heritage. This
analysis allows us to regulate the flow of visitors, minimizing environmental impacts and promoting
sustainable tourism that benefits local communities [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ]. The CCT will provide information on how
many visitors the geological sites of interest can support, allowing us to identify potential tourist
hazards arising from physical, biological, and human activities that afect the degradation of heritage
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        The Galápagos Islands are located approximately 1,000 km of the mainland coast of Ecuador and are
known for their biodiversity and natural environments. They consist of 13 main volcanic islands, six
smaller islands, and 107 small islets [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15 ref16">15, 16</xref>
        ]. In addition, the islands have three of the four international
designations promoted by UNESCO (World Heritage Site in 1978, Biosphere Reserve in 1984, and
Ramsar Site in 2002) and have a geopark project idea in Ecuador [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
        ]. The Galápagos Islands are
recognized as a major tourist destination where the highest authorities are examining strategies to
promote conservation and community interests through tourism [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        San Cristóbal Island is located at the eastern end of the Galápagos archipelago and has an area of
558 km2 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
        ] (Figure 1). The island’s population is 8,300 (7,290 urban and 1,010 rural), according to the
Population and Housing Census conducted by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INEC)
in 2022[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
        ]. The main economic activity is tourism, followed by agricultural production and fishing
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21 ref22">21, 22</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Carrión-Mero et. al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
        ] qualitatively explored the ecological heritage and geodiversity of the island,
encompassing its origin, geological context, and conservation. These authors proposed a study covering
the selection of ten geosites on San Cristóbal Island, with Laguna El Junco being the most prominent
site, obtaining two of the three highest values (tourism and education). The Galapagos National Park
Directorate reveals that San Cristóbal Island received 274,000 visits in 2024, reflecting a 4% increase
in visitors compared to 2022 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23</xref>
        ]. There has been an 11% increase in population (825 inhabitants)
compared to the 2010 INEC Population and Housing Census [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21">21</xref>
        ]. K. Brown [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref24">24</xref>
        ] highlights that the
increase in tourists and population growth afects the Galápagos Islands in terms of the generation
of waste (plastics) and wastewater found in tourist sites. This excess has caused deterioration and
degradation in the geological tourist sites visited. Therefore, how can tourist visits to sites of geological
interest on San Cristóbal Island be regulated for their preservation and proper management?
      </p>
      <p>The aim of this study is to evaluate the TCC of ten geosites on San Cristóbal Island by calculating
the physical, actual, and efective TCC for the development of conservation and sustainable tourism
strategies in the context of a geopark, allowing for the proper management of the sites. This study
will provide a better overview of the number of visitors that geological sites of interest can support,
enabling better control of visitor numbers, protecting the ecosystem, reducing environmental impact,
and fostering an eficient social culture of site preservation.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Materials and Methods</title>
      <p>Determining the TCC at geosites is a fundamental step for the efective and eficient management of
these sites. In addition, this study contributes to strengthening the definition of sustainable tourism in
the preservation of sites of geological interest. In this study, the methodology used was carried out
in three phases: i) review and collection of information on the ten geosites, ii) assessment of carrying
capacity, iii) proposal of management and conservation strategies (SWOT analysis) (Figure 2).</p>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>2.1. Selection of sites of geological interest</title>
        <p>
          Phase 1 consisted of reviewing and analyzing bibliographic information that was evaluated in the study
area, considering its geological importance in scientific dissemination. For this study, ten of the sites
assessed by Carrión-Mero et al. [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
          ] were selected as sites of geological interest (Table 1).
SGI-1
        </p>
        <p>Frigate
Bird
Hill
• It is a cone-shaped hill eroded by the waves.
• Observation of frigatebirds, sea lions,
peli</p>
        <p>cans, and seagulls.
• Access is by land.
• Activities include hiking, bird watching,
pho</p>
        <p>tography, flora sighting, and snorkeling.
• It is a cone-shaped hill of tuf eroded by the</p>
        <p>waves.
• Gas bubbles formed in low-viscosity lava.
• Diferent species can be found here, such as</p>
        <p>Darwin’s finches, blue-footed boobies, green
turtles, and Galápagos marine iguanas.
• It is one of the first sites visited by Charles</p>
        <p>Darwin.
• Access is by sea.
• It has the largest tuf cone on the island.
• Its proximity to the sea has caused erosion of
the vertical walls where pyroclastic material
is found.
• Blue-footed and red-footed boobies can be</p>
        <p>seen, as well as masked boobies.
• It is located at the eastern end and can only</p>
        <p>be accessed by sea.
• Snorkeling, photography, sport fishing,
hiking, and flora and fauna observation are
popular activities.
• t is a white sand beach due to the
fragmenta</p>
        <p>tion of shells.
• Sea lions, frigatebirds, iguanas, seagulls, and</p>
        <p>pelicans can be seen.
• Access is by land.
• It is a horseshoe-shaped white sand bay with</p>
        <p>large basalt lava flows.
• It has dry forest vegetation.
• Access is by land. Frigatebirds, iguanas,
seag</p>
        <p>ulls, pelicans, and sea lions can be observed.
• It is a small bay with access to caves formed</p>
        <p>by the solidification of lava flows.
• Galapagos green turtles and land finches can</p>
        <p>be observed.
• Access is by sea.
SGI-7
SGI-8
SGI-9
SGI-10</p>
        <p>Rosa
Blanca
Bay
• It is a beach with a variety of dunes and
natural pools due to the weathering of basaltic
lava.
• Species such as white and black tip sharks,</p>
        <p>moray eels, and green turtles can be observed.
• Basaltic rocks cover the coastal lagoons,
pro</p>
        <p>viding natural shelter for species (birds).
• It is a mangrove bay with a coral beach and</p>
        <p>volcanic rocks.
• Species such as manta rays, turtles, and sea</p>
        <p>lions can be observed.
• Sport fishing, photography, bird watching,
and turtle and sea lion watching are popular
activities.
• Access is by sea.
• It is a basalt lava clif in the surrounding area.
• Species such as Galapagos lava lizards,
bluefooted boobies, frigatebirds, and pelicans can
be observed.
• Access is by land.
• It is a lagoon located within the caldera
(col</p>
        <p>lapsed cone) of an inactive volcano.
• It is located at an altitude of 500 m.
• Junco (plant species), frigatebirds, and
white</p>
        <p>tailed ducks can be observed.
• It has a surface area of 6 ha and a volume</p>
        <p>equivalent to 35 million liters of water.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>2.2. Assessment of carrying capacity</title>
        <p>
          Some authors have proposed methodologies for evaluating TCC. Cifuentes discusses the calculation
of TCC in tourist areas [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">25</xref>
          ]. The methodology focuses on calculating TCC using three components:
i) Physical carrying capacity (PCC), which is the maximum number of visits that an area of the site
can support during a set period; ii) Real carrying capacity (RCC), which is obtained from the site’s
PCC through factors that directly or indirectly afect it (environmental, physical, social, ecological,
management); iii) Efective carrying capacity (ECC), which is the maximum number of visits allowed at
sites for the analysis of certain variables (equipment, personnel, infrastructure). Some authors have
used Cifuentes’ methodology to evaluate the TCC and adapt it to the geosites under study, as in the case
of Carrión-Mero et al., who described an environmental assessment and carrying capacity in geosites
of the Ruta del Oro Geopark Project [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
          ]. Jaya-Montalvo et al. conducted a carrying capacity analysis of
geosites on Santa Cruz Island, Galapagos [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
          ].
2.3. Proposed management and conservation strategies
In this phase, strategies will be proposed using a strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats
(SWOT) analysis matrix [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">26</xref>
          ] with the participation of academics and researchers. This analysis will
contribute to the management of geosites focused on three main areas (geotourism, geoeducation, and
geoconservation) that contribute to sustainable tourism and the care of geosites [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27 ref28">27, 28</xref>
          ].
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Results and Discussion</title>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>3.1. Evaluation of Tourist Carrying Capacity</title>
        <p>The TCC at the islands’ geosites is essential for the conservation of natural and geomorphological
heritage. Calculating the TCC will make it easier to obtain information on how many visits the geological
sites of interest can withstand, allowing us to identify potential hazards (physical, biological, and human
activities) that afect the degradation of the heritage. Table 2 shows the TCC values for the 10 geosites.</p>
        <p>
          Acantilado Las Negritas was the geosite with a high PCC value (8,765 visits per day); however, it
dropped to 90 visitors per day in ECC. El Junco follows with 7,725 visits per day in PCC, and its value in
ECC is reduced to 92 visits per day. These reductions are mainly due to the correction factors stipulated,
such as the social factor (group visits), rainfall, and solar conditions (as it is a trail in an open area, there
are days with higher solar radiation or rainfall, which influences visits to the site), and the maintenance
factor (the site needs cleaning days). Frigate Bird Hill has a lower number of visits per year (31,755)
compared to the 2024 annual visitor report for the Galápagos National Park (66,000) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref29">29</xref>
          ], so there may
be overcrowding at the site.
        </p>
        <p>
          Geosites such as Punta Pitt, Witch Hill, and Frigate Bird Hill ofer a large area for visitors, but
they have the disadvantage of having sections with slopes between 10% and 20% and sections with
slopes greater than 20%, which makes access dificult for vulnerable groups (older people). A similar
case occurs in the study by Jaya-Montalvo et al., who propose the TCC on Santa Cruz Island and use
correction factors to establish the ECC of the geosites on the island [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
          ]. In addition, another study by
Amador et al. determines the TCC at visitor sites in Galápagos National Park [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">25</xref>
          ].
        </p>
        <p>Punta Carola Point, Punta Pucuna, Rosa Blanca Bay, and Sardina Bay are geosites that have a higher
ECC value due to their large areas. These geosites can only be reached by boat, making access dificult
and hindering tourists from fully exploring them.
3.2. Proposed management and conservation strategies
With the information obtained from the previous points, an analysis is carried out using a SWOT
matrix (Table 3). This study focuses on proposing strategies aimed at geotourism, geoeducation, and
geoconservation. These strategies will contribute to the management and conservation of geosites.</p>
        <p>The strategies will help us develop sustainable tourism and preserve geosites. Based on the analysis
carried out, proposals for a strategy focused on geotourism, geoeducation, and geoconservation are
established.</p>
        <p>1. Geotourism: i) Implementation of activities that promote the growth of geotourism, adapting it
to the community, ii) Improvement of the infrastructure and safety of geosites.
• There is much diversity (flora and fauna).
• It has high potential for research interest.
• It has great geodiversity.
• It has a high demand for tourist interest.
• It has many geosites that contribute to
history, culture, and landscaping.</p>
        <p>Weaknesses
• Lack of authorized guides and safety at the</p>
        <p>sites.
• Most sites are visited by boat, and there is</p>
        <p>little awareness of them.
• Guides and administrators lack adequate</p>
        <p>geological knowledge of the sites.
• They focus only on the natural aspects.
• The infrastructure of the sites needs
improvement.</p>
        <p>Opportunities
• Good management of tourist sites.
• Recognition as a UNESCO geopark.
• Strengthening of educational, cultural, and</p>
        <p>knowledge values, focusing on geosites.
• Training campaigns for residents on the</p>
        <p>care and preservation of their environment.
• An entity to manage geosites in tourism
development.</p>
        <p>Threats
• Uncontrolled tourism.
• An excess of tourists could lead to the
spread of disease (as happened with</p>
        <p>COVID-19).
• Lack of safety for tourists at sites and due</p>
        <p>care.
• Food shortages due to an excess of tourists.
• Degradation of sites of geological interest
due to neglect in the maintenance and
control of tourists.
2. Geoeducation: i) Develop training campaigns for tour operators (guides and administrators) on
geotourism issues applied to sites of geological interest, ii) Strengthen ties between institutions
(public, private, and governmental) that contribute to research, educational, and cultural growth.
3. Geoconservation: i) Manage the care and conservation of geosites through multidisciplinary
projects to enhance sustainability, ii) Invite entities to invest financially in the promotion and
conservation of geodiversity.</p>
        <p>The consolidation of geotourism in the aforementioned geosites allows us to continue improving
conservation management and sustainable tourism. This can be of great help in the Galapagos Geopark
proposal, which boasts incredible diversity and already has two UNESCO designations. By presenting
this plan for the geosites, the relevant authorities will take action to improve infrastructure, diversify
tourist services, and provide greater security for the sites.</p>
        <p>
          In geoeducation, there should be greater participation from the political, public, and private sectors
in introducing geotourism education programs in educational institutions. This will help strengthen
relations between the community, government, and academia. The academic industry can collaborate
in the development of geotourism management tactics through research and scientific dissemination
that contribute to knowledge of geological heritage and improve the quality of tourism. An example of
scientific contribution is the study by Kelly and Salazar, who mention the geosites in the Galapagos
Islands that are used for geological education programs for university students in the US [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref30">30</xref>
          ].
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. Conclusions</title>
      <p>This study determines the TCC of the 10 geosites located on San Cristóbal Island, Galápagos. The
data obtained provides us with valuable guidance for the sustainable management of geosites, thereby
strengthening conservation for the proper use of the sites. Acantilado Las Negritas a trail that obtained
the highest PCC value with 8,765 visits per day, followed by El Junco (7,725) and Witch Hill (7,270). In
open areas (i.e., beaches), sites such as Punta Carola Point, Punta Pucuna, Rosa Blanca Bay, and Sardina
Bay attract visitors, but their ECC value is reduced due to factors such as accessibility (by boat), weather,
and maintenance days. Sites such as Punta Pitt, Witch Hill and Frigates Bird Hill are trails with a large
area available for visitors, but they have the disadvantage of having sections with slopes between 10%
and 20% and sections with slopes greater than 20%, which makes access dificult for vulnerable groups
(older people), reducing their ECC value.</p>
      <p>This study proposes strategies focused on three main areas: geotourism, geoeducation, and
geoconservation, which contribute to sustainable tourism and the care of geosites. The importance of these
strategies highlights the need to expand tourism activities, increase awareness of geosites, generate
interest, and boost economic activity in local communities. In geoeducation, the importance of
education and communication between the local and tourist communities and the government in power is
highlighted for the dissemination of sustainable geotourism and research growth. And in the field of
geoconservation, the importance of caring for biodiversity and geological heritage is highlighted. This
is vitally important for preserving geosites so that future generations can enjoy them.</p>
      <p>Future research should address issues of environmental, social, and cultural impact assessments
at geosites using complementary methodologies to determine their influence on management. This
will give us a better scientific understanding of geosites, contributing to the eficient and efective
management of geotourism for the benefit of the population, and in turn promoting the Geopark project.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Acknowledgements</title>
      <p>This work was supported by the research project “Registro de sitios de interés geológicos del Ecuador
para estrategias de desarrollo sostenible” (CIPAT-004-2024) of the ESPOL Polytechnic University.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Declaration on Generative AI</title>
      <p>The authors have not employed any Generative AI tools.</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
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