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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>September</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Reducing Risk through Human Centred Design</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Nigel Bevan Professional Usability Services</string-name>
          <email>mail@nigelbevan.com</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>King Edwards Gardens London W</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>UK www.nigelbevan.com</string-name>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2008</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>24</volume>
      <issue>2008</issue>
      <abstract>
        <p>The National Academy of Science's report on Human-System Integration in the system development process (NAS HSI report) [12] explains how human needs can be integrated into system design using an incremental systems engineering development process that continually assesses risks at each phase of the system development. This paper suggests how appropriate Human Centred Design (HCD) methods can be selected to mitigate risks to project success.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>1. RISKS IN SYSTEMS DEVELOPMENT
The NAS HSI report points out that the ultimate goal of system
development is to produce a system that satisfies the needs of its
operational stakeholders (including users, operators,
administrators, maintainers and the general public) within
acceptable levels of the resources of its development stakeholders
(including funders, acquirers, developers and suppliers).
Operational stakeholders need a system that is effective, efficient
and satisfying [1]. Developing and delivering systems that satisfy
all of these success-critical stakeholders usually requires managing
a complex set of risks such as usage uncertainties, schedule
uncertainties, supply issues, requirements changes, and
uncertainties associated with technology maturity and technical
design.</p>
      <p>Boehm and Lane [4] suggest five principles for managing these
risks:</p>
      <p>Stakeholder satisficing; identifying the success-critical
stakeholders and their value propositions (what is offered at
what cost); negotiating a mutually satisfactory set of system
requirements, solutions, and plans; and managing proposed
changes to preserve a mutually satisfactory outcome.</p>
      <p>Incremental growth of system definition and stakeholder
commitment: incremental discovery of emergent
humansystem requirements and solutions using such methods as
prototyping, testing with users, and use of early system
capabilities.</p>
      <p>Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for
personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are
not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that
copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. To copy
otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists,
requires prior specific permission and/or a fee.
3.
4.
5.</p>
      <p>Iterative system development and definition: cyclic
refinements of requirements, solutions, and development
plans. Such iteration helps projects to learn early and
efficiently about operational and performance requirements.
Concurrent system definition and development: that includes
concurrent engineering of requirements and solutions without
waiting for every requirement and subsystem to be defined.
Risk management – risk driven activity levels and anchor
point milestones. The level of detail of specific products and
processes should depend on the level of risk associated with
them.</p>
      <p>Principles 2, 3 and 4 are consistent with approaches to human
centred design, such as recommended in ISO 13407.</p>
      <p>The other two principles (Stakeholder satisficing and Risk
management) provide a means to determine which human centred
design activities and methods are needed in a project to be
confident that the final system will be acceptable to the
operational stakeholders.</p>
      <p>
        This contrasts with existing approaches to human centred design,
which are commonly based on a one-size-fits-all methodology
(e.g. [5], [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">14</xref>
        ]) that may be justified by a cost benefit analysis to
assess the potential business benefits of producing a more usable
system [3].
      </p>
      <p>The additional expenditure needed for human centred activities is
often difficult to justify because the budget holder for project
development usually does not personally gain from longer-term
benefits such as increased sales or reduced whole life costs.
Project managers are much more likely to be influenced by the
risks of not achieving stated project objectives. It is thus useful to
recast the potential cost benefits of usability as risk reduction
strategies. Table 1 restates the list of cost benefits in [2] as
potential project risks.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. HUMANCENTRED DESIGN</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>ACTIVITIES</title>
      <p>Looking for advice on which methods to use for human
centred design can be bewildering.</p>
      <p>Ferré [6] analyzed the methods contained in six popular
HCI textbooks and identified 96 categories of HCD
techniques. Individual textbooks each contained between
21 and 43 of these categories of technique:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
A: Increased development costs to produce an acceptable
system</p>
      <p>Not detecting and fixing usability problems early in the
development process
Increasing the cost of future redesign or radical change of the
architecture to make future versions of the product more
usable
Increased costs due to unnecessary functionality
Increased costs due to additional documentation</p>
      <p>Product fails</p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>B: Web site usability: poor web sales</title>
        <p>Users cannot find products that they want to purchase
Users cannot find additional information (e.g. delivery, return
and warranty information)
Dissatisfied users do not make repeat purchases
Users do not trust the web site (with personal information and
to operate correctly)
Users do not recommend the web site to others
Web site fails to increase sales through other channels
Increased support costs</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-2">
        <title>C: Product usability: poor product sales</title>
        <p>Competitors gain advantage by marketing competitive
products or services as easy to use
Dissatisfied customers do not make repeat purchases or
recommend the product to others
Poor ratings for usability in product reviews</p>
        <p>Brand damage</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-3">
        <title>D: Poor productivity: risks to purchasing organisation</title>
        <p>Slower learning and poorer retention of information
Increased task time and reduced productivity
Increased employee errors that have to be corrected later
Increased employee errors that impact on the quality of
service
Increased staff turnover as a result of lower satisfaction and
motivation
Increased time spent by other staff providing assistance when
users encounter difficulties</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-4">
        <title>E: Increased support and maintenance costs</title>
        <p>
          Increased support and help line costs
Increased costs of training
Increased maintenance costs
Author
Constantine [5]
Hix [7]
Mayhew [10]
Nielsen [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">11</xref>
          ]
Preece [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">13</xref>
          ]
Shneiderman [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">15</xref>
          ]
ISO PAS 18152 contains an exhaustive list of 125 human systems
(HS) activities that are needed for all aspects of systems
development. These were derived from an analysis of best
practice in human centred design in civilian and military systems.
The categories of activity are:
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-5">
        <title>HS.1 Life cycle involvement activities</title>
        <sec id="sec-3-5-1">
          <title>HS.1.1 HS issues in conception</title>
          <p>HS.1.2 HS issues in development
HS.1.3 HS issues in production and utilization
HS.1.4 HS issues in utilization and support
HS.1.5 HS issues in retirement</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-6">
        <title>HS.2 Integrate human factors activities</title>
        <p>HS.2.1 HS issues in business strategy
HS.2.2 HS issues in quality management
HS.2.3 HS issues in authorisation and control
HS.2.4 Management of HS issues
HS.2.5 HF data in trade-off and risk mitigation
HS.2.6 User involvement
HS.2.7 Human-system integration
HS.2.8 Develop and re-use HF data</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-7">
        <title>HS.3 Human-centred design activities</title>
        <sec id="sec-3-7-1">
          <title>HS.3.1 Context of use HS.3.2 User requirements HS.3.3 Produce design solutions HS.3.4 Evaluation of use</title>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-8">
        <title>HS.4 Human resources activities</title>
        <sec id="sec-3-8-1">
          <title>HS.4.1 Human resources strategy</title>
          <p>HS.4.2 Define standard competencies and identify gaps
HS.4.3 Design staffing solution and delivery plan</p>
          <p>
            HS.4.4 Evaluate system solutions and obtain feedback
In [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">12</xref>
            ] Table 3-A-1, the HS activities in ISO PAS 18152 have
been categorised by type of system development activity:
1. Envisioning opportunities
2. System scoping
3. Understanding needs
4. Requirements
5. Architecting solutions
6. Life-cycle planning
7. Evaluation
8. Negotiating commitments
9. Development and evolution
10. Monitoring and control
11. Operations and retirement
12. Organizational capability improvement
An elaborated version of the table is included as an annex to this
paper.
          </p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>3. SELECTING HUMAN CENTRED</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>DESIGN METHODS</title>
      <p>The steps needed to select human-centred methods for an
individual project are thus:
1. Identify the success-critical stakeholders.
2. Identify which potential consequences of poor usability
affect the success-critical stakeholders.
3. Assess the likelihood and impact of these consequences.
4. Identify which categories of HS activities can reduce the
risks.
5. Identify which HCD methods in each category are most
cost-effective. The alternative methods should be assessed
against criteria such as:
•
•</p>
      <p>To what extent will each possible method address the
activities that have been identified as important?
How cost effective is each method likely to be, given the
time and effort required and constraints such as available
skills, access to stakeholders and other users, etc.?
The needs for usability evaluation in particular should be judged
in the broader context of the relative importance of usability
evaluation in relation to other HS activities. For example, when
designing and developing for a new context of use, the major risks
might be associated with requirements, so that the majority of
HCD resources might be devoted to early life cycle activities
(which could include evaluation of early concepts and competitive
evaluation).</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>4. CONCLUSIONS</title>
      <p>This paper suggests how HCD can be justified as part of
systems development and how the most appropriate HCD
methods can be selected on a project-by-project basis.
This will enable HCD resources to be used most effectively
for individual projects. The author would be happy to
advise on or support the application of this approach to
selecting HCD methods in a real development project.
The prerequisites for successfully using this approach
include having usability experts in the development team
who:
•
•
can convince the project of the specific risks associated
with poor usability;
have sufficient experience to be able to select the most
cost effective HCD methods; and
•
[2]
[3]
[4]
[5]
[6]
[7]
[8]
[9]
have the expertise and resources to apply a wide range
of different types of methods.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>5. REFERENCES</title>
      <p>[1] Bevan, N. (1999). Quality in use: meeting user needs for
quality, Journal of Systems and Software, 49(1), pp 89-96.</p>
      <p>Bevan, N. (2005). Cost benefits framework and case studies.</p>
      <p>In [3].</p>
      <p>Bias, R.G. &amp; Mayhew, D.J. (eds) (2005). Cost-Justifying
Usability: An Update for the Internet Age. Morgan
Kaufmann.
[10]</p>
      <p>Annex A. Examples of methods that can be used to support HS best practices</p>
      <p>Best practices for risk mitigation with ISO 18152 clause reference
•Identify expected context of use of systems [forthcoming needs, trends and
expectations].</p>
      <p>•Analyze the system concept [to clarify objectives, their viability and risks].
•Describe the objectives which the user or user organization wants to achieve
through use of the system.
•Generate design options for each aspect of the system related to its use and its
effect on stakeholders.
•Produce user-centred solutions for each design option.
•Analyze the implications of the context of use.
•Present context of use issues to project stakeholders for use in the development
or operation of the system.
•Identify, specify and produce the infrastructure for the system.
•Build required competencies into training and awareness programs.
•Define the global numbers, skills and supporting equipment needed to achieve
those tasks.
•Set and agree the expected behaviour and performance of the system with
respect to the user.
•Develop an explicit statement of the user requirements for the system.
•Analyze the user requirements.
•Generate and agree on measurable criteria for the system in its intended
context of use.
•Generate design options for each aspect of the system related to its use and its
effect on stakeholders.
•Produce user-centred solutions for each design option.
•Design for customization.
•Develop simulation or trial implementation of key aspects of the system for the
purposes of testing with users.
•Distribute functions between the human, machine and organizational elements
of the system best able to fulfil each function.
•Develop a practical model of the user's work from the requirements, context of
use, allocation of function and design constraints for the system.
•Produce designs for the user-related elements of the system that take account
of the user requirements, context of use and HF data.
•Produce a description of how the system will be used.
•Decide the goals, behaviours and tasks of the organization [that influence
human resources]
•Define the global numbers, skills and supporting equipment needed to achieve
those tasks.
•Identify current tasking/duty
HCD methods and techniques
-Future workshop
-Preliminary field visit
-Focus groups
-Photo surveys
-Simulations of future use environments
-In-depth analysis of work and lifestyles
-Participatory workshops
-Field observations and ethnography
-Consult stakeholders
-Human factors analysis
-Context of use analysis
-Success critical stakeholder identification
-Field Observations and ethnography
-Participatory workshop
-Work context analysis
-Context of use analysis
-Event data analysis
-Participatory workshops
-Contextual enquiry
-Task analysis
-Cognitive task analysis
-Work context analysis
-Investigate required system usability
-Usability benchmarking
-Heuristic/expert evaluation
-Early prototyping &amp; usability evaluation
-Develop simulations
-Parallel design (tiger testing)
-Define the intended context of use
including boundaries
-Identify staffing requirements and any
training or support needed to ensure that
users achieve acceptable performance
-Scenarios
-Personas
-Storyboards
-Establish performance and satisfaction
goals for specific scenarios of use
-Define detailed user interface
requirements
-Prioritize requirements (eg QFD)
-Function allocation
-Generate design options
-Develop prototypes
-Develop simulations
-Work domain analysis
-Task analysis
-Participatory design
-Workload assessment
-Human performance model
•Analyze gap between existing and future provision
•Identify skill requirements for each role
•Predict staff wastage between present and future.
•Calculate the available staffing, taking account of working hours, attainable
effort and non-availability factor
•Identify and allocate the functions to be performed Functional decomposition
and allocation of function.
•Specify and produce job designs and competence/ skills required to be
delivered
•Calculate the required number of personnel.
•Generate costed options for delivery of training and/or redeployment
•Evolve options and constraints into an optimal [training] implementation plan
(4.3.5)
•Define how users will be re-allocated, dismissed, or transferred to other duties.
•Predict staff wastage between present and future.
•Calculate the available staffing, taking account of working hours, attainable
effort and nonavailability factor.
•Compare to define gap and communicate requirement to design of staffing
solutions.</p>
      <p>See a) System architecting.</p>
      <p>See a) System architecting.
•Develop a plan to achieve and maintain usability throughout the life of the
system.
•Identify the specialist skills required and plan how to provide them.
•Plan and manage use of HF data to mitigate risks related to HS issues.
•Evaluate the current severity of emerging threats to system usability and other
HS risks and the effectiveness of mitigation measures.
•Take effective mitigation to address risks to system usability.
•Identify the HS issues and aspects of the system that require user input.
•Define a strategy and plan for user involvement.
•Select and use the most effective method to elicit user input.
•Customize tools and methods as necessary for particular projects/stages.
•Seek and exploit expert guidance and advice on HS issues.
•Take account of stakeholder and user issues in acquisition activities.
•Implement the HR strategy that gives the organisation a mechanism for
implementing and recording lessons learnt
•Enable and encourage people and teams to work together to deliver the
organization's objectives.
•Create capability to meet system requirements in the future (conduct
succession planning)
•Develop and trial training solution to representative users.
•Deliver final training solutions to designated staff according to agreed
timetable.
•Provide means for user feedback [on human issues].
•Assess the health and well-being risks to the users of the system.
•Assess the risks to the community and environment arising from human error
in the use of the system.
•Evaluate the current severity of emerging threats to system usability and other
HS risks and the effectiveness of mitigation measures.
•Assess the risks of not involving end users in each evaluation.
•Collect user input on the usability of the developing system.
•Revise design and safety features using feedback from evaluations.
•Plan the evaluation.
•Identify and analyze the conditions under which a system is to be tested or
otherwise evaluated.
•Check that the system is fit for evaluation.
•Carry out and analyze the evaluation according to the evaluation plan.
•Understand and act on the results of the evaluation.
•Test that the system meets the requirements of the users, the tasks and the
environment, as defined in its specification.
•Assess the extent to which usability criteria and other HS requirements are
likely to be met by the proposed design.
•Review the system for adherence to applicable human science knowledge,
style guides, standards, guidelines, regulations and legislation.
-Design for alertness
-Plan staffing
-Prototyping and usability evaluation
-Physical ergonomics
-Participatory design
-User interface guidelines and standards
-Prototyping and usability evaluation
-Participatory design
-Plan to achieve and maintain usability
-Plan use of HSI data to mitigate risks
-HSI program risk analysis
-Identify HSI issues and aspects of the
system requiring user input
-Develop a plan for user involvement
-Select and use the most effective methods
-Customize tools and methods as
necessary
-Common Industry Format
-Risk analysis (process and product)
-Obtain user feedback on usability
-Use models and simulation
-Compare with requirements
-Common Industry Format for usability
reports
-Performance measurement
8. Negotiating
commitments
a) business case
b) requirements
9. Development
and evolution
10. Monitoring
and control
11. Operations
and retirement
•Decide how many people are needed to fulfill the strategy and what ranges of
competence they need.
•Develop and trial training solution to representative users.
•Conduct assessments of usability [relating to HR].
•Interpret the findings
•Validate the data.
•Check that the data are being used.
•Contribute to the business case for the system.
•Include HS review and sign-off in all reviews and decisions
•Analyze the user requirements.
•Present these requirements to project stakeholders for use in the development
and operation of the system.
•Identify any staffing gap and communicate requirement to design of staffing
solutions.
•Maintain contact with users and the client organization throughout the
definition, development and introduction of a system.
•Evolve options and constraints into an implementation strategy covering
technical, integration, and planning and manning issues.
•
•Analyze feedback on the system during delivery and inform the organization of
emerging issues.
•Manage the life cycle plan to address HS issues.
•Take effective mitigation to address risks to system usability.
•Take account of user input and inform users.
•Identify emerging HS issues.
•Understand and act on the results of the evaluation.
•Produce and promulgate a validated statement of staffing shortfall by number
and range of competence.
•Analyze feedback on the system during delivery and inform the organization of
emerging issues.
•Produce personnel strategy.
•Review the system for adherence to applicable human science knowledge,
style guides, standards, guidelines, regulations and legislation.
•Deliver training and other forms of awareness-raising to users and support
staff.
•Assess the effect of change on the usability of the system.
•Review the health and well-being risks to the users of the system.
•Review the risks to the community and environment arising from human error
in the use of the system.
•Take action on issues arising from in-service assessment.
•Perform research to refine and consolidate operation and support strategy for
the system.
•Collect and analyze in-service reports to generate updates or lessons learnt for
the next version of the system.
•Identify risks and health and safety issues associated with removal from
service and destruction of the system.
•Define how users will be re-allocated, dismissed, or transferred to other duties.
•Plan break-up of social structures.
•Debriefing and retrospective analysis for replacement system.
•Identify and use the most suitable data formats for exchanging HF data.
•Have a policy for HF data management.
•Perform research to develop HF data as required.
•Produce coherent data standards and formats.
•Define rules for the management of data.
•Develop and maintain adequate data search methods.
•Feedback into future HR procurement, training and delivery strategies.
•Define usability as a competitive asset
•Set usability, health and safety objectives for systems
•Follow competitive situation in the market place
•Develop user-centred infrastructure.
•Relate HS issues to business benefits.
•Establish and communicate a policy for human-centeredness.
•Include HR and user-centred elements in support and control procedures.
•Define and maintain HCD and HR infrastructure and resources.
•Increase and maintain awareness of usability.
•Develop or provide staff with suitable HS skills.
-Program risk analysis
-Value-based practices and principles
(identify success critical stakeholder
requirements)
-Common Industry Specification for
Usability Requirements
-Environment/organization assessment
-Risk analysis (process and product)
-User feedback on usability
-Use models and simulation
-Guidelines: Common Industry Format
for usability reports
-Performance measurement
-Organizational and environmental
context analysis
-Risk Analysis
-User feedback
-Work context analysis
-Work context analysis
-Organizational and environmental
context analysis
-Assess and improve HSI capability
-Develop and maintain HSI infrastructure
and resources
-Identify required HSI skills
-Provide staff with HSI skills
-Establish and communicate a policy on
HSI
-Maintain an awareness of usability
•Take account of HS issues in financial management
•Assess and improve HS capability in processes that affect usability, health and
safety.
•Develop a common terminology for HS issues with the organization.
•Facilitate personal and technical interactions related to HS issues.
•Feedback into future HR procurement, training and delivery strategies.
•Create capability to meet system requirements in the future (conduct
succession planning)
•Identify any opportunities for redeployment.
•Develop a strategy for [HR] data gathering</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
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