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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Model of vibrations as periodically non-stationary random processes for identification of the condition of electrical motor</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Roman Yuzefovych</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Ihor Javorskyj</string-name>
          <email>javor@utp.edu.pl</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Oleh Lychak</string-name>
          <email>oleh.lychak2003@yahoo.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Pavlo Semenov</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Roman Khmil</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Bydgoszcz University of Sciences and Technology</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>7 Al. prof. S. Kaliskiego, Bydgoszcz, 85796</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="PL">Poland</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Karpenko Physico-mechanical institute of NAS of Ukraine</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>5 Naukova Str., Lviv, 79060</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Lviv Polytechnic National University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>12 Bandera Str., Lviv, 79013</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3">
          <label>3</label>
          <institution>Odessa National Maritime University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>65029, 34 Mechnikova Str., Odessa</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2026</year>
      </pub-date>
      <abstract>
        <p>Quasi least square (LS) technique was used to identify first- and second-order hidden periodicities in vibration signal. It was shown, that the low-frequency vibration component (&lt; 2 kHz) is adequately described by the periodically non-stationary random processes (PNRP) model. The amplitude spectra of the deterministic oscillations and the time changes in the power of the stochastic part are analyzed. The value of an indicator based on the mean function harmonic power is decisive for detecting failures and monitoring the motor condition. The structures of the PNRP moment functions and the high values of the condition indicator enable us to deduce that motor is in a critical state. electric motor vibration; periodically non-stationary random process; mean and covariance function; basic frequency estimators; condition indicators.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>To calculate the mean, covariance function and their Fourier coefficients using experimental
data, we need to apply methods of statistical analysis of PNRP, such as coherent (synchronous)
averaging [1–10], or the component [11] or the least squares [12] methods. The suitability of a
given technique depends on the specifics of the experimental data, the purpose of the analysis, and
the required accuracy, but all these methods can be used in cases where the non-stationarity period
(basic frequency) is known. In vibration analysis, this period can be in many cases calculated based
on technical parameters of investigated mechanism. However, the period values obtained in this
way are not sufficiently accurate, and may also vary under real-world conditions. Hence, to ensure
that the PNRP analysis is effective, we need to determine the period based on the selected vibration
realizations.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Methods for determining of the first and second order non-stationarity periods</title>
      <p>To determine the non-stationarity period, special functionals can be used [9–16] that are similar
to coherent or component statistics, except that a test period is inserted to replace the true period.
These functionals have extreme values at points that are asymptotically unbiased and consistent
period estimators. The biases of these estimators are on the order O (T −2), and the variances are on
the order O (T −3), where T is the realization length. To improve the efficiency of estimating the</p>
      <p>0000-0001-5546-453X (R. Yuzefovych); 0000-0003-0243-6652 (I. Javorskyj); 0000-0001-5559-1969 (O. Lychak); 0000-0003-4121-6011 (P.
Semenov); 0009-0003-1855-6226 (R. Khmil)</p>
      <p>© 2025 Copyright for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
basic frequency, the LS method was proposed in [12]. As the realization length increases, the LS
functional for determining the basic frequency of the mean function quickly tends to
where</p>
      <p>T
and 2 T is the realization length, h= is the sampling step, and L1 is the number of harmonics.</p>
      <p>k
The maximum point f^0 of (1) is asymptotically unbiased and consistent estimator of the mean basic
frequency [12]. The functional at the maximum point f =f^0 is close to the sum of the time-averaged
power of the chosen harmonics:
The quantities m^ ks ( f^ ) and m^ck ( f^0) are asymptotically unbiased and consistent estimators of the
0
Fourier coefficients for the mean function [17-19]. Hence, based on the statistical expression
The expression in (3) is the interpolation formula for the mean function for all t ∈[ 0 ; f −01]if the
condition</p>
      <p>,
is satisfied [11]. The function in (2) describes the deterministic oscillations. Their amplitudes and
phase spectra are defined by the expressions:
we can form the mean function estimator</p>
      <p>As a summary of the foregoing discussion, we present step-by-step procedures for determining
the deterministic part of the vibration as follows:

</p>
      <p>Using the experimental time series ξ (nh), we form the statistics in (2);
By substituting into (1) the formulae in (2) we can form the functional for the numerical
analysis. The number L1 is chosen to be close to the ratio f m / f r, where f m is the signal
spectrum high boundary frequency and f r is the rotation frequency;
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)



</p>
      <p>We then calculate the functional in (1) for the frequencies belonging to the interval[ f 1 , f 2] ,
which contain the rotation frequency f r. If we want to find the basic frequency to an
accuracy of 10-3 Hz, we choose a calculation step of Δ f =10−3 Hz;
The maximum points of (10) are taken as the estimator of the mean basic frequency f^0, and
the value F ( f^0) is accepted as the estimator of power for deterministic oscillations;
By substituting f =f^0 into (11), we calculate the mean Fourier coefficients, and the
amplitude and phase spectra;
Using the interpolation formula in (3), we calculate the mean values for all t ∈[ 0 ; P^ ], where
P^=1/ f^ . Assuming that m^ (t , f^0)=m (t + P^ , f^0), we can separate the stochastic part
ξ˚ (nh)=ξ (nh)− m^ (nh , f^o)</p>
      <p>.</p>
      <p>The LS functional for estimating the variance in the basic frequency for large
in the form:
can be represented
where
and L2 is the number of harmonics. The maximum point of the expression in (5) is an
asymptotically unbiased and consistent estimator of the variance in the basic frequency. By
substituting f =f^0 into (6), we obtain statistics for calculating the Fourier coefficients of the
variance. Hence, the quantity
We can obtain the variance estimator for t ∈[ 0 ; f −01]all on the basis of R^ck (0 , f^0), R^ks (0 , f^0) and the
statistical expression
using the interpolation formula
Aliasing errors are absent if the inequality
(5)
(6)</p>
      <p>It follows from the above that the procedures used for estimating the vibration variance are
similar to those for estimating the mean. In the present case, only the squared centered realization
is processed, and the functional in (5) is calculated. Since the variance in the time changes is the
result of correlations of the harmonic belonging to the signal spectrum and shifted bykf 0 , where k
is number of the variance harmonic, then the integer number L2 is limited by the ratio of the signal
bandwidth to the rotation frequency.</p>
      <p>The mean and variance spectra are used to define the health status of the mechanism. The
condition indicators can also be formed on the basis of a harmonic composition. The first indicator
is determined by the ratio of the sum of the time-averaged powers of the harmonics for
deterministic oscillations to the time-averaged power of the stochastic component
The second indicator is a measure of the signal non-stationarity of the second order. It is defined as
the ratio of the sum of amplitudes of the variance harmonics to its
timeaveraged value, .</p>
      <p>Note that the relationship between the indicators І1 and І2 may differ depending on the type of
mechanism analyzed, the type of fault, and its stage of development.
is fulfilled [11]. The function in (7) describes the shape of the periodic time changes in the power of
the stochastic part. To characterize these changes, it is advisable to calculate the amplitude and
phase spectra as follows:
(8)</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Real vibration signal processing</title>
      <p>A NELCON Port crane with a FLENDER D 46393 Bocholt gearbox driven by two identical
Siemens 1LL8 317-4 PC-Z motors [20] was the subject of our investigation (Figure 1). The main
parameters of a single motor were as follows: power – 400 kW, nominal rotational speed 1495 rpm,
cosφ 0.88. Vibration signals were acquired simultaneously by two piezoceramic accelerometers fixed
onto the cast iron body with powerful magnets, close to the cage of the bearing, on top of the
motor. The sensitive axis of the sensors was set to the vertical direction to coincide with direction
of gravity, to provide a maximum range for the vibration signal (in accordance with [21–25]). Data
acquisition system settings were tuned to a filter cutoff frequency of 12.5 kHz with a sampling
frequency of 25 kHz. The signals were stored on the hard disk of a notebook, and were processed
offline with PNRP methods.</p>
      <p>We consider the frequency band [0 Hz, 2 kHz]. The segment of the realization of signal is shown
in Figure 1. To ascertain its covariance properties and spectral composition, we calculate the
covariance function and spectral density for the stationary approximation, using the formulae:
(10)
τ
where L= m is some natural number,</p>
      <p>h
Hamming window:</p>
      <p>is the of the correlogram cut-off and is k (nh)the
Graphs of the estimators for the covariance function (9) and spectral density (10) are shown in
Figure 2. The time-averaged power of the signal in the low-frequency band is R (0)=1.23 (m / s2)2 .
The covariance function estimator has an undamped tail (Figure 5a) which can be explained by the
presence of deterministic oscillations in the signal, with power of 0,3 (m / s2), equal to 0.25 of the
signal power in this frequency range. The deterministic oscillations cause sharp peaks in the
spectral density estimator (Figure 5b).</p>
      <p>We separate the deterministic oscillations and compute their amplitude spectrum. To do this, we
first use the functional in (1) to determine their basic frequency. The dependence of this functional
on the test frequency is shown in Figure 3.</p>
      <p>As we can see, the maximum value of this quantity is reached at f =28.56 Hz, which we accept
as the basic frequency estimator f^0. By inserting this value into (2) f =f^0, we can calculate the
Fourier coefficients of the mean function and hence the amplitude spectrum (4). A diagram of the
latter is shown in Figure 4b, and the numerical values of the harmonic amplitudes are listed in Table
1. As expected, the first harmonic has the largest amplitude, exceeding the second harmonic by
more than nine times.</p>
      <p>Table 1. Amplitudes of harmonics for deterministic oscillations
The graph of the time dependence of the deterministic component obtained using the
interpolation formula
therefore has the form of a basic harmonic, on which the low-power oscillations of the harmonic
with higher frequency are superposed (Figure 4a).</p>
      <p>By separating the stochastic component ξ˚ (nh)=ξ (nh)− m^ (nh , f^o), we can identify the hidden
periodicity of the second order. The dependence of the quadratic functional in (5) on the test
frequency is shown in Figure 5. The clear, strong peak in the graph shows that the power of the
stochastic part changes periodically over time. The maximum point of the functional in (5) is
considered here as the estimator of the variance basic frequency f^0=28.43 Hz. The difference
between this value and mean basic frequency obtained above is only 0.13 Hz, which can be
considered the statistical error in the estimation.
It is evident that the variance amplitude spectrum is narrow, and the dominant part of the power
for variance time changes belongs to the first five harmonics. The sum of the amplitudes for 20
harmonics is equal 4.014 (m / s2)2to while the time-averaged value of the variance is equal to
R0I(0)=2.689 (m / s2)2 . Thus, for the indicator of the periodical non-stationarity of the second
order, we have I 2I= 2Σ0 V^ I (k f^0)/ R0I=1.43. A graph of the time dependence of the variance, which
k=1
was calculated on the basis of the interpolation formula in (7), is presented in Figure 6a. In the same
way as for the mean time changes, the oscillations at the basic frequency are most noticeable in this
graph.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. Conclusions</title>
      <p>We have shown that the low-frequency component of the motor vibrations (&lt; 2 kHz) is
described by the PNRP model, where the basic frequency is determined by the shaft rotation
frequency. The first harmonics of the amplitude spectra of the mean function and variance time
changes are dominant, allowing us to deduce that these vibrations result from the rotor imbalance.
This implies that the defect affects the properties of both the deterministic and stochastic parts of
the vibration. The condition of the motor can therefore be characterized by the indicators of the
first (I1) and the second (I2) orders.(1 is defined as the ratio of the total power of the harmonics of the
deterministic oscillations to the time-averaged power of the stochastic part. I2 is equal to the ratio of
the sum of the amplitudes of the variance harmonics to its time-averaged value. It was found that in
the case considered here, the numerical value of I1 considerably exceeded the value of I2. The values
of the parameters describing the PNRP structure for the vibrations indicate that the motor’s
condition is unsatisfactory. Further research involves analyzing the high-frequency component of
the vibration signal spectrum.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Declaration on Generative AI</title>
      <p>The author(s) have not employed any Generative AI tools.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>5. References</title>
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