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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Behavior-Based Tennis Match Outcome Prediction via Fusion of Class Balancing Strategy and Emotional Priors</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Haozhe Bu</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Yang Ma</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Yunan Li</string-name>
          <email>yunanli@xidian.edu.cn</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Qiguang Miao</string-name>
          <email>qgmiao@xidian.edu.cn</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Key Laboratory of Smart Human-Computer Interaction and Wearable Technology of Shaanxi Province</institution>
          ,
          <country country="CN">China</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>School of Computer Science and Technology, Xidian University</institution>
          ,
          <country country="CN">China</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Xi'an Key Laboratory of Big Data and Intelligent Vision</institution>
          ,
          <country country="CN">China</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2026</year>
      </pub-date>
      <abstract>
        <p>This paper addresses the “Behavior-Based Emotion Recognitio” task in the IJCAI 2025 Micro-Gesture Hidden Emotion Understanding Challenge (MiGA) by proposing a tennis match outcome prediction method that integrates an emotional prior module, dual-channel image modeling, and a class balancing strategy. The task involves predicting the match outcome (win or loss) from post-match interview videos, where challenges include complex emotional expressions, subtle behavioral cues, and severe class imbalance. To address the controlled emotional expressions and occluded facial cues, we first introduce a DeepFace-based emotion recognition module that performs frame-by-frame facial analysis to extract multidimensional emotional distributions and generate semantic tendency scores as prior information for the main model. On this basis, a dual-channel image feature extraction structure is designed, modeling global behaviors and local expressions separately using a shared ResNet34 backbone, thus enhancing the model's perception and discrimination of key visual cues. To mitigate the severe imbalance-over 70% of the training samples belong to the “win” class-we propose an intra-class partitioning strategy. The majority class is split into two subsets, each paired with the minority class to train two structurally identical but parameter-independent image classifiers, thereby implicitly achieving class balance at the data level. Finally, the two image classifiers are integrated with the emotional prior module, and the final prediction is determined via majority voting, significantly improving system robustness and generalization. Experimental results demonstrate the proposed method's efectiveness in addressing challenges such as class bias, emotional concealment, and sparse signals, validating its potential in behavior modeling and complex emotion understanding scenarios.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>eol&gt;Behavior analysis</kwd>
        <kwd>Emotion understanding</kwd>
        <kwd>Class imbalance</kwd>
        <kwd>Emotion prior</kwd>
        <kwd>Video classification</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        With the continuous advancement of artificial intelligence, video-based human behavior analysis and
emotion understanding have become pivotal research areas in computer vision, showing great value in
real-world applications such as sports analytics, psychological assessment, educational feedback, and
media analysis [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ] [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ] [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ]. Especially in unstructured scenarios where individuals’ emotional expressions
are controlled, facial cues are weak, and context is complex, accurately identifying hidden emotions to
infer individuals’ true states poses a critical challenge.
      </p>
      <p>The IJCAI 2025 Micro-Gesture Hidden Emotion Understanding Challenge (MiGA) introduces a highly
realistic task setting—predicting athletes’ match outcomes (win or loss) based on post-match interview
videos. Essentially a behavior-driven video classification problem, the task must be solved under
significant uncertainty and data bias, making it extremely challenging. Specifically, the task presents
two major dificulties: first, there is significant individual variation in emotional expression, and some
losing athletes still maintain a positive demeanor, making it dificult to directly correlate facial emotion
signals with match outcomes. Second, the training set is severely imbalanced, with over 70% of the
samples labeled as “win”, which easily leads to model overfitting and bias during training.</p>
      <p>
        To tackle these challenges, this paper proposes an integrated prediction method that combines
an emotional prior module, a dual-channel image feature extraction mechanism, and an intra-class
partitioning strategy, aiming to improve the model’s capacity to identify latent emotions. The overall
architecture is illustrated in Figure 1. Specifically, we extract both full-body and facial image frames
from interview videos to construct two separate channels for learning behavioral and facial expression
features, respectively. Temporal features from both channels are extracted using a shared ResNet34
backbone. A DeepFace-based emotion recognition module [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ] [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ] [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ] [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ] is then incorporated to perform
frame-level facial analysis, generating multi-class emotional distributions and semantic prior scores as
auxiliary judgment criteria. To address class imbalance, the majority “win” class samples are divided into
multiple subsets, each combined with the complete minority “loss” class to train structurally identical
but independently parameterized sub-models. Finally, these two image classifiers are integrated with
the emotion prior module, and a majority voting mechanism is employed to produce the final prediction,
thereby enhancing the system’s stability and generalizability.
      </p>
      <p>The main contributions of this paper are as follows:
- We introduce a DeepFace-based emotional prior module to improve the recognition of complex and
implicit emotional states;</p>
      <p>- We construct a dual-channel image feature modeling framework incorporating both full-body
behavior and facial expressions, and apply ensemble voting to achieve robust classification under high
uncertainty and noise;</p>
      <p>- We propose an intra-class partitioning and dual-model training strategy to efectively alleviate
overfitting and prediction bias caused by severe class imbalance;</p>
      <p>Experimental results demonstrate that our method performs well in modeling realistic complex
interactions between behavior and emotion, validating its potential in multi-source information fusion
and imbalanced data learning scenarios.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Related Work</title>
      <p>In recent years, video-based behavior analysis and emotion recognition have become prominent research
areas in computer vision, with wide applications in human-computer interaction, intelligent surveillance,
and afective computing. In unstructured environments, emotional expressions are often subtle and
complex, posing significant challenges to model accuracy and decision stability. Three major obstacles
commonly arise: (1) class imbalance in training data, (2) implicit and ambiguous emotional signals,
and (3) instability in model decisions under noisy conditions. To address these issues, prior studies
have explored solutions from three main perspectives: class balancing techniques, emotional prior
integration, and ensemble modeling strategies.</p>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>2.1. Class Imbalance Modeling Strategies</title>
        <p>
          To address class imbalance, SMOTE (Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
          ] generates
synthetic samples for minority classes, while Cui et al. [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
          ] proposed a Class-Balanced Loss to reweight
training data based on the “efective number” of samples. Kang et al. [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
          ] further refined sample
selection to reduce redundancy and focus on discriminative instances. However, these approaches
often face trade-ofs between maintaining data diversity and avoiding overfitting. Recent studies have
explored implicit balancing strategies that preserve data integrity while improving minority class
learning, motivating our use of intra-class partitioning in model design.
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>2.2. Incorporation of Emotional Priors</title>
        <p>
          Emotion-related cues have been leveraged to support behavior recognition, particularly when primary
features are ambiguous. Zhao et al. [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ] addressed expression ambiguity by introducing RAF-DB
and a deep learning architecture tailored for emotion recognition in the wild. Other works utilized
facial Action Units (AUs) for fine-grained labeling [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
          ], though these methods often depend on clean,
high-resolution inputs. Building on this, some recent eforts have explored deep-learning-based emotion
scoring as a soft auxiliary signal, ofering greater robustness under occlusion and noise. Our work
adopts a similar philosophy by incorporating facial emotion priors into the decision pipeline.
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-3">
        <title>2.3. Structural Ensemble Mechanisms in Image-Based Behavior Modeling</title>
        <p>
          Ensemble learning has proven efective in improving model robustness and generalization in expression
recognition tasks. Hasani and Mahoor [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
          ] proposed a two-stream network combining residual and
attention mechanisms, while Corneanu et al. [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
          ] highlighted the importance of structural diversity
in ensemble systems. These findings inform our design of a structurally redundant yet independently
trained ensemble framework, which integrates classification outputs and auxiliary emotion cues via a
simple yet efective majority voting mechanism.
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Methodology</title>
      <p>The overall architecture is illustrated in Figure 1. Through the coordinated operation of multiple
modules, the framework systematically addresses challenges posed by complex emotional expressions,
weak behavioral cues, and imbalanced class distributions. The key components are described as follows.</p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>3.1. Data Preprocessing</title>
        <p>The preprocessing pipeline consists of three stages: frame sampling, temporal segmentation, and
multi-scale feature construction. To reduce redundancy from the original 25 fps videos, we adopt sparse
sampling at 2.5 fps, preserving temporal context while lowering computational cost. The downsampled
video is split into 128-frame windows—overlapping or not—as training samples, each inheriting the
original label. To enhance temporal representation, each segment is divided into 16 intervals with
one frame randomly selected per interval. Additionally, we extract two crops from each sampled
frame: a global full-body image and a localized face region detected via OpenFace. This dual-view
strategy supports the later dual-channel modeling and boosts sensitivity to both macro behaviors and
ifne-grained emotional cues.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-2">
        <title>3.2. Emotional Prior Module</title>
        <p>In post-match sports interview scenarios, emotional states often correlate with match outcomes: winners
tend to exhibit joy, excitement, or relaxation, while losers may show sadness, tension, or suppression.
This emotional-outcome association serves as a natural prior for classification.</p>
        <p>Let  denote the frequency of the -th emotion in the video, and +, − be its positive and negative
weights. The total positive and negative tendency scores are calculated as:</p>
        <p>Positive Score = ∑︁ + ·</p>
        <p>Negative Score = ∑︁ − ·   (2)

If the Positive Score exceeds the Negative Score, the emotional prior module predicts a win; otherwise,
a loss.</p>
        <p>This emotional prior provides semantically rich external knowledge, ofering supplementary judgment
signals that improve the system’s discrimination capability and generalization performance.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-3">
        <title>3.3. Dual-Channel Image Modeling Module</title>
        <p>While emotional priors often correlate with match outcomes, there are scenarios where this relationship
is disrupted due to emotional masking or individual diferences. For example, some athletes may
maintain a positive appearance after losing due to professionalism, while others may appear emotionally
subdued despite winning. To enhance the model’s capability in recognizing such latent behavioral
signals, we design a dual-channel image modeling module that jointly processes full-body and facial
images using a shared ResNet34 backbone. Each channel extracts temporal features independently,
with shared weights to reduce model complexity and enforce feature consistency.</p>
        <p>The scene channel encodes macro-level visual cues such as posture, movement rhythm, and body
language. The face channel focuses on micro-level expression features and subtle emotional variations.</p>
        <p>Let fscene ∈ R and fface ∈ R denote the feature vectors extracted from the scene and face channels,
respectively. These features are fused via element-wise addition:</p>
        <p>The fused representation is then passed through a linear classifier for binary prediction:
ffused = fscene + fface
ˆ =  · f fused + 
where  ∈ R1× and  ∈ R are the parameters of the output layer, and ˆ ∈ R denotes the predicted
score for the win/loss classification.</p>
        <p>This design efectively integrates both global and local visual cues, enhancing the model’s robustness
and discriminative power under complex emotional masking conditions.
(1)
(3)
(4)</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-4">
        <title>3.4. Intra-Class Partitioning and Dual-Model Training</title>
        <p>In the iMiGUE dataset used for the MiGA challenge, a severe class imbalance exists—“win” samples
far outnumber “loss” samples—leading to training bias and degraded generalization performance. To
address this issue, we propose an intra-class partitioning strategy at the data level, combined with
a dual-model training scheme. Specifically, the majority class (“win”) is randomly divided into two
disjoint subsets of approximately equal size. Each subset is then paired with the complete “loss” class to
form two balanced training datasets. Two independent ResNet34 models are trained on these datasets,
which we refer to as BalanceNet A and BalanceNet B.</p>
        <p>This strategy avoids the distributional distortion introduced by traditional oversampling or
undersampling techniques. Moreover, by training on distinct data partitions, it introduces model diversity, which
enhances the efectiveness of ensemble learning and reduces the risk of overfitting. In summary, the
proposed strategy mitigates class imbalance at both the data and model levels, significantly improving
fairness and generalization across the framework.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-5">
        <title>3.5. Multi-Model Ensemble via Voting Mechanism</title>
        <p>To further enhance robustness, we adopt a majority-voting based multi-model ensemble consisting of
three components: BalanceNet A, trained on “win” subset A and the full “loss” class; BalanceNet B,
trained on “win” subset B and the full “loss” class; and EmotionScoreNet, an emotional prior module
that generates predictions based on DeepFace emotion distribution scores.</p>
        <p>Each model independently predicts the match outcome for a given video. The final decision is
determined through majority voting: if at least two out of the three models agree on a class label, that
label is taken as the final prediction.</p>
        <p>This ensemble approach combines the complementary strengths of behavioral modeling and semantic
emotion priors , significantly enhancing the system’s robustness in noisy or ambiguous conditions.
Experimental results confirm that the ensemble consistently outperforms any individual model,
demonstrating the efectiveness of the proposed architecture in complex emotion-behavior modeling scenarios.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. Experiments and Results Analysis</title>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>4.1. Dataset and Evaluation Protocol</title>
        <p>
          iMiGUE dataset [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
          ]is utilized for the experiments, comprising 359 post-match interview videos collected
from 72 professional tennis players. It adopts a cross-subject split strategy, where videos from 37 subjects
totaling 245 samples are used for training, 10 videos are reserved for validation, and the remaining 104
videos from 35 distinct subjects constitute the test set.
        </p>
        <p>The task is formulated as a binary classification problem. A label of 1 indicates a “win”, and 0 indicates
a “loss”. Classification accuracy is adopted as the primary evaluation metric.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-2">
        <title>4.2. Experimental Setup</title>
        <p>All experiments are conducted using the PyTorch framework. Input images are uniformly resized to
224 × 224 pixels. The classification head comprises two fully connected layers and is optimized with the
Adam optimizer. The learning rate is set to 3 × 10 −4 for the classifier and 3 × 10 −5 for the ResNet-34
backbone.</p>
        <p>The training is conducted in two phases: for the first 100 epochs, all parameters are trainable; in the
ifnal 30 epochs, only the classifier is fine-tuned. During inference, the final prediction is determined by
majority voting across the three models.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-3">
        <title>4.3. Comparison with other entries</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-4">
        <title>4.4. Ablation Study</title>
        <p>Our method ranked third in the IJCAI 2025 MiGA Challenge, demonstrating its strong capacity to tackle
complex, real-world emotion recognition tasks. To analyze the contribution of each module, we conduct
a comprehensive ablation study across three aspects: class balancing strategy, dual-channel feature
modeling, and multi-model ensemble.</p>
        <sec id="sec-4-4-1">
          <title>Comparison of Class Balancing Strategies</title>
          <p>Given an approximate class imbalance between the “win" and “loss" categories, naive
oversampling—which duplicates minority class samples to balance class counts—leads to a decline in accuracy
to 53.85%. This suggests that oversampling may distort the original data distribution and introduce
overfitting.</p>
          <p>Loss reweighting slightly improves upon the baseline, reaching an accuracy of 56.73% by assigning
greater gradient weight to the minority class during training. While this method provides some relief,
its impact remains limited and indirect, particularly for deep models.</p>
          <p>In contrast, the proposed intra-class partitioning strategy divides the majority class into two disjoint
subsets and trains two identical yet independent models on the resulting balanced data. This method
neither alters the data distribution nor relies on synthetic samples. It achieves the highest accuracy of
61.54%, demonstrating superior efectiveness and robustness in behavior-based emotion recognition for
tennis match outcome prediction.</p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-4-4-2">
          <title>Efectiveness of Dual-Channel Image Feature Extraction</title>
          <p>To evaluate the impact of dual-channel image features, we compare three input settings—scene only,
face only, and combined scene+face—under both balanced and imbalanced training. Results are shown</p>
          <p>In the balanced setting, dual-channel input significantly outperforms both single-channel variants,
reaching 61.54%. This validates our feature modeling strategy, where the ResNet34 backbone jointly
encodes scene-level actions and facial micro-expressions. Their fusion efectively captures complementary
behavioral signals.</p>
          <p>Even under class imbalance, the dual-channel input remains more robust than either single modality,
achieving 55.77%. These results highlight the synergy between proper class balancing and dual-view
feature design.</p>
          <p>It is worth noting that the scene-only input yields the lowest performance across both settings,
likely due to sparse behavioral cues and background interference. The face-only model improves
over scene-only, but still struggles when athletes deliberately suppress facial expressions. In contrast,
combining face and scene provides a balanced and expressive representation, demonstrating superior
reliability.</p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-4-4-3">
          <title>Performance of Multi-Model Ensemble Strategy</title>
          <p>We further assess the contribution of ensemble learning by comparing the individual model accuracies
with the ensemble result. Table 4 presents the results.</p>
          <p>Both BalanceNet A and B are trained on diferent partitions of the majority class but share identical
architectures. Their accuracy reflects consistency and diversity. The EmotionScoreNet, based on
DeepFace, provides semantic-level priors and performs comparably.</p>
          <p>When combined via majority voting, the ensemble model achieves 63.46% accuracy, surpassing all
individual models. This demonstrates that ensemble learning successfully leverages structural diversity
and complementary information, especially under ambiguous emotional signals.</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>5. Conclusion</title>
      <p>This paper presents a behavior-based emotion recognition framework for class-imbalanced video data,
proposed for the IJCAI 2025 MiGA Challenge. The goal is to perform emotion recognition and match
outcome prediction in post-match interview scenarios. The method comprehensively addresses
realworld challenges such as imbalanced data distribution, emotional masking, and weak behavioral signals,
by constructing a complete framework that integrates intra-class partitioning, dual-channel image
feature extraction, emotional prior modeling, and multi-model ensemble decision-making.</p>
      <p>Specifically, the proposed intra-class partitioning strategy alleviates class imbalance without altering
the original data distribution, efectively improving the model’s capacity to learn from minority class
samples. Meanwhile, the dual-channel feature extraction mechanism, based on full-body actions
(scene) and facial expressions (face), integrates both global and local temporal cues, enhancing the
model’s sensitivity to complex behaviors and fine-grained emotional signals. In addition, an external
emotional prior module based on DeepFace is incorporated to provide complementary decision cues
to the visual pathway. Finally, a multi-model voting ensemble is used to improve overall robustness
and generalization. Experimental results show that the proposed method achieves strong performance
in the MiGA Challenge and exhibits significant advantages in all ablation studies, demonstrating its
efectiveness and practicality in complex real-world tasks.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Declaration on Generative AI</title>
      <p>During the preparation of this work, the author(s) used ChatGPT-4 and Qwen in order to: grammar and
spelling check. After using these tools, the author(s) reviewed and edited the content as needed and
take full responsibility for the publication’s content.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>Acknowledgement</title>
      <p>The work is jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under grants
No.62472342, and 62272364, the National Science and Technology Major Project under grant
No.2022ZD0117103, the provincial Key Research and Development Program of Shaanxi under grant
No.2024GH-ZDXM-47, the Research Project on HigherA Education Teaching Reform of Shaanxi Province
under grant No.23JG003, the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under grant
No.QTZX25037.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>A. Online Resources</title>
      <p>- Our code is available at the GitHub repository: https://github.com/wudidaluobo/MiGA-IJCAI</p>
    </sec>
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