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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Identification of association rules between characteristics of female students enrolled in computer science programs at the Facultad Politécnica of the Universidad Nacional de Asunción: A first approach</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Ellen L. Méndez Xavier</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Christian von Lücken</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Rita Cantero</string-name>
          <email>rcantero@pol.una.py</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>San Lorenzo</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Paraguay</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>No education, Primary Education, Secondary Education, Technical Secondary Education, University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Postgraduate, I do not have a father /guardian. --</addr-line>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>No education, Primary Education, Secondary Education, Technical Secondary Education, University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Postgraduate, I do not have a mother/guardian. --</addr-line>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2025</year>
      </pub-date>
      <abstract>
        <p>The participation of women in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) programmes, especially in computer science, remains a challenge and a relevant area of study. Understanding the characteristics, motivations, and backgrounds of female students admitted to these disciplines is important for designing support strategies and encouraging them to remain in these programmes. Therefore, this exploratory study aims to identify association rules among various characteristics of female students admitted (N=30) into informatics programs at the Facultad Politécnica of the Universidad Nacional de Asunción (FP-UNA) in the 2024 cohort. Data were collected using a 33-question survey instrument across six dimensions. Subsequently, the FP-Growth algorithm was applied for association rule mining. The findings reveal consistent patterns and direct associations. These preliminary results offer points for discussion on the diversity of incoming students' profiles and demonstrate the usefulness of association rules as a tool for better understanding this student group in the context of the FP-UNA.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>higher education, women, gender, computing, educational datamining, fpgrowth 1</p>
      <p>
        At the Facultad Politécnica of the Universidad Nacional de Asunción (FP-UNA), available
data [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] indicate that between 2010 and 2021, the percentage of women who were admitted to
informatics programs through entrance examinations reached a maximum of 31% in 2021,
with an average of 24% over those eleven years. No clear trends of sustained increase in these
indicators are observed.
      </p>
      <p>Given the relevance of gender equality in technology education, this work aims to better
understand the profiles of newly admitted students through a detailed analysis. Specifically,
the objective is to identify patterns of association between various characteristics of female
students admitted to informatics studies at FP-UNA in 2024, using data mining techniques.</p>
      <p>Section II presents the theoretical framework of the study, focusing on educational data
mining (EDM) and association rule techniques, as well as the most relevant algorithms.
Section III describes the methodology used, including the design of the instrument and aspects
of its application. Section IV analyses the results and discusses the main findings. Finally,
section V summarizes the conclusions and suggests future research directions.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Theoretical framework</title>
      <p>It is important to mention three specific points in the theoretical framework of this work.
Below is an introduction to the concepts of educational data mining, association rules, and a
discussion of their use in STEM work.
2.1.</p>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>Educational data mining</title>
        <p>
          According to [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
          ], educational data mining (EDM) focuses on developing methods for
analyzing data from educational environments. The information obtained through these
methods is used to inform decisions aimed at improving these environments.
        </p>
        <p>
          The choice of methodological approach depends on the type of problem to be solved,
allowing multiple algorithms to be applied based on specific objectives. Various systematic
reviews, such as those presented in [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
          ] and [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
          ], summarise the main lines of application of
EDM. Among these, the models for predicting academic performance [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
          ] and the techniques
for grouping students according to their performance [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
          ] stand out.
        </p>
        <p>
          In the field of STEM and gender, studies such as [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
          ] use text mining and syntactic and
semantic analysis methods to highlight differences in motivation, interests, and training
applications among students by gender within an engineering faculty in North America.
        </p>
        <p>This paper focuses on identifying relationships among different student characteristics
using association rule algorithms.
2.2.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>Association rules</title>
        <p>Association rule methods enable the discovery of frequent patterns between attributes in
transactional datasets. These techniques facilitate the identification of relationships relevant to
decision-making across various fields, including education.</p>
        <p>
          In [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
          ], an association rule is formally expressed as:  →  , where X (antecedent) and Y
(consequent) are disjoint sets of items. The rule suggests that the presence of items in X
implies a higher probability of finding items in Y, quantified by the confidence of the rule.
        </p>
        <sec id="sec-2-2-1">
          <title>This allows relationships between variables to be established.</title>
          <p>
            The strength of an association rule can be measured in terms of its support and
confidence. Support determines how often a rule applies to a given dataset, while confidence
determines how often the elements of Y appear in transactions containing X. The formal
definitions of these metrics are [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
            ]:
          </p>
          <p>,  ( →  ) =
          ,  ( →  ) =
σ( ∪ )

σ( ∪ )
σ ( )
    ( → ) =
 ( → )
 ( )</p>
          <p>In addition to support and confidence, another important metric is Lift, which is
calculated as:
of Y occurring.</p>
          <p>&gt;</p>
          <p>1indicates a positive association, i.e., the occurrence of X increases the probability</p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-2-2-2">
          <title>The process of searching for association rules consists of two main steps:</title>
          <p>1. Detecting frequent item sets, whose occurrence exceeds a minimum number of
transactions (minimum support).</p>
          <p>confidence level above the required threshold.
2. Obtaining the association rules associated with these frequent item sets, which have a
The Apriori algorithm identifies frequent item sets in transaction databases and
generates association rules. Its primary disadvantage is its high computational cost, as it
requires multiple database scans. The FP-Growth algorithm is an efficient alternative to
traditional association rule mining algorithms by compressing the dataset into a structure
known as a Frequent Pattern Tree (FP), which allows the mining of frequent item sets without
generating candidate sets</p>
          <p>
            In education, various studies use rule mining to analyze student satisfaction, make
predictions in combination with other techniques, or identify common characteristics among
students [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11 ref12 ref13">11, 12, 13</xref>
            ]. Due to its greater efficiency, the FP-Growth algorithm has been selected
for this work.
3.
          </p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Methodology</title>
      <p>For data collection, a structured survey instrument was designed, consisting of 33
questions distributed across six thematic dimensions. Table I presents each dimension along
with the corresponding questions, their numbering within the instrument, and the type of
response associated with each item.</p>
      <p>
        To validate the instrument, the expert judgement technique was used [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14 ref15">14, 15</xref>
        ], with a
panel composed of three professionals: two specialists in statistics and one in computer
education, who evaluated the items in terms of clarity, relevance, consistency, and
significance.
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>Dimensions, questions, and possible responses of the instrument.</title>
        <p>Questions
Can you tell us your age range?
What is your gender?
What degree are you studying?
Do you consider that you have any specific learning
needs or conditions that may influence your
educational process?
Select your year of admission
Sociodemog</p>
        <p>ráficos
Employmen</p>
        <p>t status
Motivation</p>
        <p>and
expectation
s
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31</p>
        <p>What type of secondary education did you receive?</p>
        <p>Social Sciences, Technical
Can you indicate your type of admission?
If you entered the program through transfer, can you
indicate your original program?
What type of school did you come from?
If you studied a technical secondary education
program, was it in Informatics?
How much time passed between finishing secondary
school and starting this degree program?
Did you take any programming courses before
entering university?
Have you participated in events and/or competitions
related to technology, mathematics, or science?
Can you tell us your area of origin?
Can you tell us your city and department of origin?
Can you tell us the city and county where you
currently live?
Can you tell us the educational level of the
father/guardian
Can you tell us the profession or postgraduate studies
of your father/guardian?
Can you tell us the educational level of your
mother/guardian?
Can you tell us your mother/guardian's profession or
postgraduate studies?
Do you have siblings who are professionals or
students in the same field as you or in similar fields?
Do you have significant family responsibilities that
may require some of your time?
Are you currently employed?
Admission test, Direct admission, Transfer from
another degree program, Transfer from another
campus, Admission by Agreement.
-Public, private, subsidised
Yes, Other
Less than 1 year, 1-2 years, 3-4 years, 5 or more
years.</p>
        <p>Yes, at the educational institution; Yes, self-taught;
No
Yes. Specify___ No.</p>
        <p>Urban, Rural
--Yes, No
Yes, No, I prefer not to answer</p>
        <p>Full-time, Part-time, No
If you are working, is your job related to your career?</p>
        <p>Yes, No
What was the main reason you chose to study
Computer Science?
How long have you been interested in computer
science or technology?
What are your expectations regarding your career
choice?
Please indicate your level of interest in these areas.</p>
        <p>Is there another area not mentioned that interests you
and that you would like to indicate due to its
relevance?
Did anyone influence your decision to study this
degree?
Did you have any previous experience in
programming or technology before entering
university?
Do you have access to a personal computer?
Do you have access to the internet at home?
-Yes, No
Yes, No
I am passionate about technology and computing,
Good job and salary opportunities,
Recommendation from family or friends, It is a
career with a future, Other:___
Since childhood, Since secondary school, Recently,
I'm not really interested
To acquire advanced technical knowledge, To find
a well-paid job, To start my own business or
venture, To continue with postgraduate studies.</p>
        <p>Very high, high, I don't know, low, not interested.</p>
        <p>Yes, family members; Yes, friends; Yes, teachers;
No, it was my own decision
Yes, at school or college; Yes, self-taught (courses,
tutorials, etc.); No, this is my first time
Access to
resources
32
33</p>
        <p>The instrument was administered to new students in the 2024 cohort of the Informatics
Engineering (IIN) and Bachelor of Science in Informatics (LCIk) programs, regardless of the
admission method (test, transfer, agreement, or direct admission). Only data from female
students was used for the analysis in this study.</p>
        <p>Data collection was carried out using an electronic form sent by institutional email,
accompanied by clear instructions. The form included information about the study's
objectives, voluntary and anonymous participation, and the confidential use of data.
Submission of the completed form was considered informed consent. In addition, first-year
teachers collaborated in disseminating the instrument in their classrooms. The data were
anonymized before analysis to protect the participants' identities.</p>
        <p>Figure 1 shows the total female population of 54 students, 19 of whom are enrolled in the
IIN program, while 35 are enrolled in the LCIk program. A total of 30 surveys were completed,
16 from the IIN program and 14 from the LCIk program. This represents an overall response
rate of 55.56% of the total female intake population.</p>
        <p>For processing the FP-Growth algorithm, we used the implementation of Python's
mlxtend module2, which provides the function for calculating frequent item sets and the
function for association rule mining. The survey data was pre-processed to generate a matrix
format using One-Hot encoding, a technique that transforms categorical variables into binary
format. In this matrix, each row represents a respondent, and each column corresponds to a
specific combination of question and answer option; the value is True if that combination is
present in the response.</p>
        <p>In converting the instrument, each response option to categorical questions was
transformed into an individual item following the format 'QuestionID_ResponseOption'.
Open-ended questions were manually categorized, generating new categories for the most
frequent or significant responses, and question 28, which corresponded to a Likert scale, was
converted into a separate item. In the cases of questions 4 and 22, the option 'I prefer not to
answer' was considered a valid category.</p>
        <p>Given the sample size (N=30), the following parameters and criteria were established for
the extraction and selection of rules:
2 MLXtend: https://rasbt.github.io/mlxtend/
●
●
●
●</p>
        <p>Minimum Support (min_support): This was set at 0.2, which means that a set of items
must appear in at least six responses to be considered frequent. This value was defined
empirically after preliminary tests, seeking to balance the number of patterns obtained
with the manageability of the results in this exploratory study with a small sample.
Minimum Confidence (min_confidence): This was set at 1.0, to identify only perfect
implication relationships. This decision, appropriate to the exploratory approach and the
small sample size (N=30), was made after iterative parameter adjustment to obtain a
manageable and meaningful set of rules.</p>
        <p>Lift metric: The lift metric was calculated for all generated rules. Rules with a lift greater
than 1.2 are considered, as this indicates a positive association and that the items co-occur
more than would be expected by chance.</p>
        <p>Maximum item length: The length of the item sets was limited to two elements
(max_len = 2) to facilitate the interpretation of the rules and ensure the manageability of
the results. This decision responds to the exploratory approach of the study and seeks to
ensure greater clarity in the analysis.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. Results and Discussion</title>
      <p>This section presents a general descriptive analysis of the responses obtained.
4.1.</p>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>General descriptive analysis</title>
        <p>17 You can tell us the educational level of the
father/guardian
Response
18 to 20</p>
        <p>No</p>
        <p>Public</p>
        <p>Technical
Less than 1 year
1 to 2 years</p>
        <p>No
Yes</p>
        <p>No</p>
        <p>Urban
Primary Education
Secondary Education</p>
        <p>General
(n=30)
24
22</p>
        <p>IIN
(n=16)
14
10</p>
        <p>LCIk
(n=14)
10
12
16
22
13
13
15
15
23
27
1
19 Can you tell us the educational level of your
mother/guardian?
22 Do you have significant family responsibilities
that may require some of your time?
23 Are you currently employed?
25 What was the main reason you chose to study
Computer Science?
26 How long have you been interested in
computing or technology?
27 What are your future expectations regarding
your career choice?
28 Did anyone influence your decision to study this
degree?
29 Did you have any previous experience in
programming or technology before entering
university?
2
4
2
3
5
3
1
16
18
12
26
10
10
19
14
9
13
11
16
7
1
3
0
3
4
8
1
0
10
6
14
8
5
11
5
7
6
6
7
6
1
1
2
0
1
8
2
1
8
6
5
8
9
2
7
5
9
12
4</p>
        <p>There is a very similar proportion between those who have taken a programming course
and those who have not. Most do not participate in STEM events and/or competitions and are
not working when they start their careers.</p>
        <p>Interest in computer science usually arises during secondary school or shortly before
entering university. The main motivations for choosing this career are associated with the job
opportunities and salaries offered by the sector.</p>
        <p>All female students were admitted to their degree programs through an admission test. In
general, their parents have a university education, and no influence from siblings was
identified in their choice of degree program. All female students reported having access to a
computer and the internet.</p>
        <p>Figure 2 shows the main areas of interest. Among the most popular are Software
Development, Video Games, Cybersecurity, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning. The
least interesting areas are Infrastructure and Networks, and IT Management. In the
management area, there is a higher level of unfamiliarity than in other areas.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-2">
        <title>Association rules</title>
        <p>For the application of the FP-Growth algorithm, tests were carried out based on the
combination of algorithm parameters indicated in the previous section. Twenty significant
rules were identified. Table 3 shows the combination of questions and answers resulting in the
rules found by the algorithm. For a better layout of the results, this data has been coded.</p>
        <p>Have you taken any programming courses before entering university?_answer_YES, SELF-TAUGHT
I13
I14
I15
I16
I17
I18
I19
I20
I21
I22
I23
I24
●
●
●</p>
        <p>Question and answer option
Have you taken any programming courses before entering university?_answer_YES, AT AN EDUCATIONAL
INSTITUTION
Did anyone influence your decision to study this degree?_answer_NO, IT WAS MY OWN DECISION
Can you tell us the educational level of your parent/guardian?_answer_UNIVERSITY
Can you tell us your level of interest in these areas [IT Project Management]_answer_VERY HIGH
Can you tell us your level of interest in these areas [Artificial Intelligence and
Learning]_response_LOW
Can you tell us how interested you are in these areas [Video Games]_response_NOT VERY INTERESTED
Machine
Can you tell us your age range?_response_18 TO 20 YEARS OLD
What type of secondary education did you complete?_response_SOCIAL SCIENCES
What type of secondary education did you complete?_response_TECHNICAL
Do you have significant family responsibilities (caring for children, adults, etc.) that may require some of your
time?_answer_NO
Did you have any previous experience in programming or technology before entering university?_answer_NO,
THIS IS MY FIRST TIME
Did you have any previous experience in programming or technology before entering university?_response_YES,
AT SCHOOL OR COLLEGE</p>
        <p>I1 (event specification = nan): Given rule I1 → I9 (Rule No. 1 with conf=1.0), I1 is
equivalent to I9 (Did not participate in events).</p>
        <p>I2 (if Technical Secondary School was in Computer Science = YES): Given rule I2 →
I21 (Rule No. 6 with conf=1.0), I2 is equivalent to I21 (Technical Secondary School).
I3 (if Technical Secondary School was in Computer Science = nan): Given rule I20
↔ I3 (Rule No. 3 and No. 4 with conf=1.0), I3 is equivalent to I20 (Secondary School in
Social Sciences), or more precisely. The question about the specialization of the technical
secondary school did not apply because the secondary school was in Social Sciences.</p>
        <p>I1
I23
I20
I3
I7
I2
I24
I15
I10
I12
I17
I13</p>
        <p>I9
I11
I3
I20
I14
I21
I21
I19
I19
I6
I4
I2
0,666667
0,333333
0,266667
0,266667</p>
        <p>0,2
0,566667
0,533333
0,433333
0,233333
0,233333
0,266667
0,3
0,3
0,3
0,2
0,2
0,2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1,666667
1,578947
1,5
1,25
1,5
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●</p>
        <sec id="sec-4-2-1">
          <title>A general analysis of the rules reveals the following pattern:</title>
          <p>Rule No. 2: Students who indicated that this is their first exposure to programming or
technology (I23) always come from Asunción, the capital (I11). This pattern requires
validation with future cohorts, as it could reflect a contextual relationship or sample bias.
Rule No. 5: Students who expressed an interest in computer science or technology since
childhood (I7) always indicated that they decided to study the degree on their own
initiative, without external influences (I14). The high Lift suggests that a very early
interest in the area encourages greater autonomy in choosing a degree.</p>
          <p>Rule No 7, 12, 14: Those who had previous experience in programming or technology at
their school (I24) took a technical secondary school (I21), and students who took a
programming course at an educational institution before university (I13) also indicated
that their technical secondary school was in informatics (I2). This indicates that
programming experience acquired formally within secondary educational institutions is
linked to technical secondary schools, mainly in informatics.</p>
          <p>Rule No. 8: Students whose father/guardian has a university education (I15) are, in all
cases, in the 18-20 age range (I19). In other words, the youngest group of entrants tends to
have parents with a university education. This could be related to a family culture that
promotes early access to higher education, although further exploration is needed to
confirm this relationship.</p>
          <p>Rule No. 10: Students who taught themselves programming before university (I12) always
come from public schools (I6). This pattern could be related to the search for ways to
supplement limited formal resources.</p>
          <p>Rule No 15 and 16: Students whose main expectation is to acquire advanced technical
knowledge (I5) always indicated that they had not participated in technological/scientific
events before university (I9, and consequently I1). Those with a strong orientation
towards advanced technical learning did not necessarily have a history of participation in
events.</p>
          <p>Rule No 18: This rule outlines a subgroup of students whose interest in technology was
consolidated during their secondary school years (I8), but which does not extend strongly
to the field of video games (I18). This suggests that interest in computer science is not
necessarily linked to recreational use of technology, and that it can develop from more
academic, professional or practical motivations.</p>
          <p>Rule No 19 and 20: Students who expressed a 'Very High' interest in IT Project
Management (I16) always indicated that they did NOT participate in events and/or
competitions related to technology, mathematics or science (I9) before entering university.
This association could serve to identify a student profile with a penchant for organization,
strategic planning and leadership in technological contexts, rather than competitive or
technical-practical activities.
4.3.</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-3">
        <title>Limitations of the results</title>
        <p>The main limitation is the small sample size (N=30). Although this sample allowed for a
detailed exploratory analysis and the identification of 'perfect' associations within this specific
group, the results are not statistically generalizable to the total universe of female entrants to
the FP-UNA or other institutions.</p>
        <p>The associations found, although they meet the strict metric criteria established
(confidence=1.0, lift&gt;1.2), should be considered as initial hypotheses that reflect strong
patterns within the 2024 cohort.</p>
        <p>Likewise, the sample size directly influenced the choice of algorithm parameters, requiring
a restrictive approach (e.g., max_len=2, min_confidence=1.0) to obtain a manageable set of
results, which may have left valid rules out of the analysis.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>5. Conclusions and future work</title>
      <p>This paper constitutes a first exploratory approach to identifying association rules between
various characteristics of female students who enrolled in 2024 in informatics programs at the
FP-UNA. Based on the analysis carried out, the following findings stand out:
●
●
●</p>
      <p>Regarding academic background: patterns linked to academic background were identified;
for example, a perfect association between having completed a technical secondary school
and previous experience in programming or technology, and a relationship between a
secondary school in social sciences and non-participation in STEM events before
university.</p>
      <p>Regarding previous experiences and motivations: it was observed that certain previous
experiences, such as self-taught programming, are associated in the sample with coming
from public schools. Likewise, an early interest in technology (from childhood) was
consistently linked to an autonomous decision to choose a career.</p>
      <p>Regarding specific profiles: profiles were identified, such as female students who were
interacting with technology for the first time but had developed an interest in secondary
school, or those with a very high interest in IT Project Management who had not
participated in previous STEM events.</p>
      <p>As an initial exploratory study, these findings constitute a first approximation of the
interrelationships between characteristics within this specific group of students. They provide
guidance for future; more in-depth and far-reaching research focused on the characteristics
and needs of female students in computer science programs at FP-UNA. It is hoped that the
instrument will be applied to new cohorts of admissions, to increase the number of surveys.
This would allow the rules found in this initial approach to be validated and, possibly, less
restrictive support and confidence thresholds to be applied. Similarly, it would be important to
include male students in the analysis to conduct comparative studies of profiles and
gender-specific patterns of association.
During the preparation of this work, the authors used Gemini and Grammarly in order to:
Grammar and spelling check. After using these tools/services, the authors reviewed and edited
the content as needed and takes full responsibility for the publication’s content.</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
  <back>
    <ref-list>
      <ref id="ref1">
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