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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Contributions to an Advisory System for Changes Detection in Depth of Anesthesia Signals</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Raquel Sebastia~o</string-name>
          <email>raquel@liaad.up.pt</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Margarida M. Silva</string-name>
          <email>margarida.silva@fc.up.pt</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Joa~o Gama</string-name>
          <email>jgama@fep.up.pt</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Teresa Mendonca</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Div. Systems and Control, Dep. Information Technology, Uppsala University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Box 337, SE-751 05 Uppsala</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="SE">Sweden;</country>
          <institution>and FCUP; and Center for Research and Development in Mathematics and Applications (CIDMA)</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Dep. Matematica, Campus Universitario de Santiago, 3810-193 Aveiro</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="PT">Portugal</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>FCUP; and CIDMA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>LIAAD-INESC Porto, L.A., Universidade do Porto</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Rua de Ceuta, 118, 6, 4050-190 Porto</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="PT">Portugal;</country>
          <institution>and Departamento de Matematica</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Fac. Ci</addr-line>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3">
          <label>3</label>
          <institution>LIAAD-INESC Porto, L.A.; and Faculdade de Economia da Universidade do Porto</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Rua Dr. Roberto Frias, 4200-464 Porto</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="PT">Portugal</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff4">
          <label>4</label>
          <institution>encias da Universidade do Porto (FCUP)</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Rua do Campo Alegre, 4169-007 Porto</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="PT">Portugal</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>In the clinical practice the concerns about the administration of hypnotics and analgesics for minimally invasive diagnostics and therapeutic procedures have enormously increased in recent years. The automatic detection of changes in the signals used to evaluate the depth of anesthesia is hence of foremost importance in order to decide how to adapt administered doses to patients undergoing surgical procedures. The aim of this work is to online detect changes in depth of anesthesia signals of patients undergoing general anesthesia. The performance of the proposed method is evaluated using bispectral index records. The results show that the changes detected by the proposed method are in accordance with the actions of the clinicians. This fact and the good results that were obtained support the online validation of the proposed advisory system for changes detection in depth of anesthesia signal in a real clinical environment.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Data ow analysis</kwd>
        <kwd>Change detection</kwd>
        <kwd>Online learning algorithms</kwd>
        <kwd>Anesthesia</kwd>
        <kwd>Bispectral Index (BIS)</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>1.1</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Introduction</title>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>Anesthesia Overview</title>
        <p>Aiming to induce general anesthesia on patients undergoing surgery a
combination of di erent anesthetic agents is commonly used. The clinicians manipulate
the amount of drugs to be given to each patient in order to achieve an
adequate overall anesthetic state taking into account the three main components of
anesthesia: muscle relaxation, analgesia and hypnosis.</p>
        <p>
          Muscle relaxation is achieved by the administration of muscle relaxants, e.g.
atracurium, and it is quanti ed by the NeuroMuscular Blockade (NMB). It is
measured from an evoked electromyography (EMG) at the hand of the patient
by electrical stimulation of the adductor pollicis muscle to supramaximal
trainof-four (TOF) stimulation of the ulnar nerve [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
          ].
        </p>
        <p>
          Analgesia and hypnosis are strongly connected in what concerns the Depth
of Anesthesia (DoA). For pain relief (analgesia) the dedicated administration
of opioids is usually performed. Nevertheless due to lack of reliable sensors to
directly and quantitatively measure the level of analgesia, the patient's
analgesic state is usually inferred by the clinician through the observation of some
clinical signals such as the electroencephalogram (EEG) activity, the heart rate,
and the mean blood arterial pressure. Hypnosis is the component related with
unconsciousness, for which there are many available indices, e.g. Index of
Consciousness (IoC) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
          ], Auditory Evoked Potentials (AEP) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
          ], Spectral Entropy
(SE) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
          ], and Bispectral Index (BIS) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5 ref7">5, 7</xref>
          ]. The BIS is the most widely used
index to infer the DoA of a patient, being related with the responsiveness level
and the probability of intraoperative recall [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13 ref7">7, 13</xref>
          ]. It is an index derived from
the EEG [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
          ] through the combination of the time domain, frequency domain
and high order spectral variables [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15 ref7">15, 7</xref>
          ]. The BIS monitor represents the DoA
in a dimensionless continuous scale ranging from 0 (equivalent to the absence
of brain activity) to 97.7 (representing a fully awake and alert state). Values
between 40 to 60 indicate an adequate BIS level for general anesthesia [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15 ref9">15, 9</xref>
          ].
1.2
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>Challenges in DoA monitoring and control</title>
        <p>
          In the clinical practice the concerns about the administration of hypnotics and
analgesics for minimally invasive diagnostic and therapeutic procedures have
enormously increased in the past years. The hypnotics and analgesics usually
interact with each other [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ], consequently, the use of both drugs often enhances
the nal e ect, posing di culties to assess the correct dosage of each drug needed
during the surgery. These drawbacks and the fact that the patient's response
to anesthesia changes over the time-course of the surgery make the ability to
monitor and control the DoA one of the main challenges of modern anesthesia.
        </p>
        <p>
          At present, research groups working in the anesthesia eld are focused on
the development of advisory systems to be incorporated in automatic control
platforms of DoA [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref10 ref8">10, 1, 8</xref>
          ]. The automatic detection of changes in the DoA
signals has paramount importance in the adaptation of the drug doses needed
to achieve an optimum degree of comfort while avoiding undesirable side-e ects
[
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
          ]. Changes in DoA signals may occur due to modi cations in the patient
hypnosis or analgesia levels (internal factors) or due to external factors, such
as intubations, incisions or other painful stimulus. The major di culty of the
success of algorithms detecting changes in BIS signals is the high presence of
noise in measured data, since noise can be easily confused with initial phases of
smooth drifts.
        </p>
        <p>
          The development and analysis of change detection algorithms for the NMB
play an important role in this actual challenge [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
          ]. Owing to the characteristics
of the DoA problem it is however necessary to careful redesigned the overall
strategy. As a matter of fact there are di erent features mainly concerning the
clinical sensors, the acting time and the signals that increase the di culty to
attain a robust and reliable advisory system for change detections in DoA signals.
1.3
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-3">
        <title>Paper Contribution</title>
        <p>The rst contribution of this paper is the development of an algorithm to online
detect changes in the BIS of patients undergoing surgical procedures. The second
contribution is the o ine evaluation of the performance of the proposed method
using BIS records of patients subjected to abdominal surgery. The nal goal of
the online automatic detection of changes in the BIS measurements is to trigger
an alarm in an advisory system to monitor the DoA, to help the clinician's
decisions.</p>
        <p>The paper is organized as follows: the clinical data used in this study is
presented in Section 2. Section 3 describes the methodology to evaluate drifts in
data, while Section 4 shows the results of this study. Finally, concluding remarks
and further research are presented in Section 5.
2</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Clinical Data: BIS Measurements</title>
      <p>The BIS records used in this study were collected over the last year from patients
undergoing surgery in the operating room of the Hospital Geral de Santo Antonio
(HGSA), Centro Hospitalar do Porto, Porto, Portugal.</p>
      <p>Clinical data from 22 patients undergoing abdominal surgery was recorded,
collecting both univariate sensor series (BIS, drug doses, ect) and annotations
related with clinical actions (such as intubation, incision, etc) The patients were
60 15 years old, 76.75 17.74 kg and 13 female. In these cases the hypnotic
propofol and the analgesic remifentanil were intravenously administrated. The
DoA was manually controlled by the clinician who changed the drug doses
according to clinical requirements using as reference the patient's vital signs and
BIS. BIS, hemodynamic parameters and drug rates were recorded, with a
frequency of 1/5s 1. The surgeries had an average duration of 144 74 minutes.
3</p>
      <p>Methodology to Evaluate Changes in the BIS signals
In general terms, while correctly detecting changes in the data, an online drift
detection algorithm must be able to forget outdated data, be robust to outliers
and be single pass and run in e ciency space, allowing constant updates in time
and memory. Therefore, the main challenge is a trade-o between the robustness
in the presence of noise and high sensitivity to concept changes. The presence of
a high level of noise and outliers constitute the main di culties to drift detection
algorithms since they may increase the number of false alarms.</p>
      <p>
        In order to detect changes in the BIS records the Page Hinkley Test (PHT)
was used. This test, which full ls the previously stated requirements, is a
sequential adaptation of the detection of an abrupt change in the average of a Gaussian
signal [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] and is commonly used to online detect a change in signal processing
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12 ref14 ref4">4, 12, 14</xref>
        ]. The algorithm monitors the di erence between two variables: a
cumulative variable and its minimum or maximum value, depending if increases
or decreases in the signal are being detected. The rst variable is de ned as
the cumulated di erence between the observed values and their current mean,
where T is current time and xT is the variable value at time T . This approach
consists of running two tests in parallel, each one to detect increases or decreases
in the signal. Moreover, in swift and evolving environments old data is usually
less important than recent one. To address this issue, this method was enhanced
with a forgetting mechanism (PHT-FM), resulting in the following tests:
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>For increase cases:</title>
        <p>U0 = 0
UT = TT 1 UT 1 + (xT xT
mT = min(Ut; t = 1 : : : T )
P HU = UT mT
)</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-2">
        <title>For decrease cases:</title>
        <p>L0 = 0
LT = TT 1 LT 1 + (xT xT + )</p>
        <p>MT = max(Ut; t = 1 : : : T )</p>
        <p>P HL = MT LT
where the parameter is highly dependent of the characteristics of the signal
under study. The value of this parameter is chosen to minimize false detections
due to noise, taking into account the magnitude of changes that should not raise
an alarm.</p>
        <p>In these equations, the forgetting mechanism is the weight of the variables
UT 1 and LT 1 in the update process. As it can be interpreted, the ratio TT 1
increases with time, which means that the recent examples have more importance
in the update process than the older ones. With this forgetting mechanism, the
algorithm will be able to earlier detect both abrupt (sudden) and gradual (slow)
changes.</p>
        <p>At every instant the two P H statistics (P HU and P HL) are monitored and
a change is reported whenever one of them is above a given threshold . This
threshold parameter is chosen considering a tradeo between admissible false
alarm rates and delay time detections. Therefore, increasing the algorithm
will entail fewer false alarms but might miss some true changes.
4
4.1</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Results and Discussion</title>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>O ine Analysis</title>
        <p>The PHT-FM input parameters, and the , were set to 20 and 10, respectively,
taking into account the signals properties. A comparative analysis was performed
to evaluate the advantage of using the forgetting mechanism. It can be noticed
that with this mechanism the algorithm is able to detect the same changes as
the original PHT, but earlier. This is the main advantage of the PHT-FM since
reducing the delay time in detections gives more room for a clinician's decision
based on that information. These comparative results are not,however, presented
in this paper.</p>
        <p>The performance of the proposed advisory system for changes detection was
evaluated o ine using the referred database of cases collected in HGSA, using
the BIS signals as inputs for the PHT-FM. Due to di culty of ascertain the
exact time where the changes in the BIS signal occurred a delay time evaluation
could not be performed. Therefore, a preliminary evaluation has been performed
scoring:
{ o ine detections associated with a clinician's action (#DCA)
{ o ine detections not associated with a clinician's action (#DWCA)
{ clinician's actions followed by a change that was detected by the PHT-FM
(#CAD)
{ clinician's actions that were not associated with a change detection (#CAWD)</p>
        <p>These scores were obtained considering the adjustments on the drugs doses
as well as some annotations related with clinical procedures (such as intubation,
incision, etc). The results of this evaluation are shown in Table 1. Note that, the
detections in the BIS due to the initial bolus of propofol and due to the end of
drugs administration were not taken into account.</p>
        <p>In spite of the high number of detection that were not associated with a
clinician's action (#DWCA), this fact did not represent a major concern
because clinicians might be advised and then decide an action based upon their
experience. Another important result of this classi cation is the lower number of
clinician's actions not combined with a change detection (#CAWD). This might
be an evidence that the PHT-FM misses few changes (although a clinical
procedure not always cause a change in the BIS signal). It should be pointed out that
most the detections were classi ed as #DCA, which supports the online use of
this algorithm as a decision support system for drug administration.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-2">
        <title>Case studies</title>
        <p>Figs. 1 and 2 illustrate two records of a patient undergoing a laparoscopic
cholecystectomy. For each case, the top plot shows the BIS signal and the detected
changes indicated by a vertical line and arrows according to increases and
decreases. The changes are also marked as TP (True Positive) or FP (False
Positive). A TP represents a correctly detected change while a FP (also known as
type I error) indicates the error detecting a change when the signal is stable.
The same representation was used in all cases in the aforementioned database.
4.2
100
80
IS60
B40
2000
)1000
h
/
g
.(m500
p
o
rP 0</p>
        <p>0
) 1
h
/
g
m
i.(0.5
m
e
R 0</p>
        <p>0</p>
        <p>Case # 16</p>
        <p>As it can be observed in Fig. 1, the change around minute 6, consequence of
the administration of the initial bolus of propofol is detected by the algorithm,
as expected. Since with this initial bolus the BIS did not decrease as much
as desirable, an additional bolus of propofol was given around minute 12. The
algorithm consistently detects the decreases of the BIS signal as a result of this
propofol bolus, as it can also be observed later at minute 40.</p>
        <p>In Fig. 1 it is also possible to see that the PHT-FM detects an increase and
a decrease (around minute 30) that were neither consequences nor followed by
any clinical action. This situation intends to illustrate the di culties that the
problem under study poses to the development of change detection algorithms,
namely the false positive detections due to noise present in the BIS signals.
Around minute 40 a detection of an increase in the BIS followed by the
administration of a propofol bolus by the clinicians is noticeable. As expected, after this
bolus the BIS decreases which is detected by the algorithm. This is one example
T¯P¯TP ¯TP</p>
        <p>TP
­
where the online use of this algorithm may be advantageous: advised by the
algorithm of this increase the clinician could act more promptly.</p>
        <p>Case # 22</p>
        <p>Fig. 2 presents a di erent situation. After the initial bolus of propofol the
algorithm detected three decreases and later (around minute 15) one increase
as the result of the accommodation of the BIS to this dose. In fact, between
minute 15 and 30 the BIS signal remains stable around a mean value of 45.
Around minute 35 the algorithm detects another increase, classi ed as TP due
to subsequent increase in the remifentanil dose (bottom plot) in order to avoid
that the BIS increases and reaches the upper level (60) of the prede ned target
window. One may observe that this small increase in the dosage took almost 10
minutes for the BIS to decrease as desirable (the BIS decreases around minute
45). Ten minutes later, the algorithm detects another increase in the BIS. The
administration of a propofol bolus follows this increase in order to lower the
BIS, which occurred few minutes later and was detected by the PHT-FM. A
signi cant rise in the BIS around minute 70 is also detected by the algorithm and
signaled as three increases. After this, the middle plot shows the administration
of two propofol bolus doses in order to lower the BIS. This case exempli es a
situation where the online use of this algorithm when embedded in an advisory
system could be helpful, allowing to anticipate the decision of administrating
a propofol dose and avoiding the raise of BIS above the desirable threshold of
60. After these administrations the BIS recovered to the clinical reference range
which was also detected by the algorithm (around minute 83). At the end of the
surgery, the gure shows the BIS reaching the fully awake state induced by the
end of the administration of drugs (the recovery to this state is also detected by
the algorithm).</p>
        <p>Case # 13</p>
        <p>Fig. 3 shows a clinical case where the algorithm missed a change (indicated
by a circle). The rst two detected decreases are the result of the initial bolus
of propofol. Around minute 50 it is possible to observe a false positive detection
(the algorithm alarmed a change without evident existence of one). It should be
noted that the noisy level of these signals poses di culties to the drift detection
algorithm and often noise can be confused with smooth drifts, alarming a drift
when the signal remains stable and raising the rate of false positives. This clinical
case also shows a false negative. Around minute 65, a change in the BIS can be
observed, which was missed by the algorithm.</p>
        <p>100
80
IS60
B40
2000
)h2000
/
g
.(m1000
p
o
rP 0</p>
        <p>0
)1.5
h
/
(gm 1
.
im0.5
eR 00
To evaluate the performance of the PHT-FM, the quality metrics Precision
and Recall commonly used in data mining were computed for all cases in the
database:</p>
        <p>T P
P recision = T P +F P = 87%</p>
        <p>T P
Recall = T P +F N = 98%</p>
        <p>For both quality metrics, the closer to one the better the results are. The
type I and type II errors were also computed with the algorithm detections for all
clinical cases in the database. As mentioned before, a type I error is also known
as a False Positive (FP). A type II error, also known as a False Negative (FN),
indicates the error of not detecting a drift when in fact there exists one. Table 2
shows the above described measures. The True Negatives (TN) representing the
stable points where the algorithm did not detect a drift were not assessed.</p>
        <p>The above gures and Table 2 show that the PHT-FM identi es increasing
and decreasing behaviors of the BIS, revealing the most signi cant changes in
the signal and missing few ones, even in the presence of noise. It should be noted
that, in most of the cases, the detected changes by the PHT-FM are related with
an action of the clinicians. Some false positives were noticed, however those are
not a major concern since clinicians might be advised and then decide based
upon their experience taking into account patients' vital signals.</p>
        <p>The performance of the algorithm has been evaluated o ine on recorded BIS
signals of 22 clinical cases with manual control of the propofol and remifentanil
administration. This situation represents a constraint to the full evaluation of
the detection algorithm. Indeed some observed clinical actions may not be
associated with changes in the BIS (e.g. in Fig. 1 around minute 11, regardless
the fact that the BIS is between the reference values of 40 and 60, the clinician
administered a bolus of propofol with the a priori knowledge that at around
minute 13 the patient will be intubated). These clinical decisions may be
supported by the a priori knowledge of some future surgery procedures (e.g. painful
stimulus). Nevertheless, the changes detected by the PHT-FM are in accordance
with clinicians' assessments, in most of the cases under a great variety of
sensor characteristics, supporting the feasibility of the method to be implemented
online.</p>
        <p>Those results sustain the feasibility of the proposed method as an auxiliary
advisory system in surgeries to monitor the DoA.
5</p>
        <p>Concluding Remarks and Further Research
The Page-Hinkley Test with a forgetting mechanism (PHT-FM) was
implemented to o ine detect changes in the behavior of BIS signals from patients
undergoing general anesthesia. The developed PHT-FM algorithm consistently
reveals the increasing and decreasing behaviors of the BIS signals under study.</p>
        <p>The good performance of the algorithm when applied to real records , namely
the detection of changes when the BIS signals present di erent behaviors and
the earlier detections that allow clinicians to act more promptly, encourage an
extended online clinical validation. The analysis of the obtained results supports
the incorporation of this changes detection algorithm in a robust and reliable
online advisory system, either for sedation or general anesthesia procedures.</p>
        <p>As a matter of fact, the proposed approach is being used in the surgery
room. With this the clinicians are able to online validate the detected changes
by the PHT-FM. This consists of a strong help for the algorithm development
and improvements.</p>
        <p>It should be noted that the environment of the application and the speci c
features of the BIS signal, namely the high level noise present in the
measurements point to further improvements of the detection algorithm.</p>
        <p>The noise di culty also points out to an analysis of the sensitivity of the
proposed approach to the selection of the input parameters, evaluating the
dependance of the number of FP and TP from both parameters' values. It must
be stressed that the missing of a change point by the PHT-FM is a major
concern: not being advised that a change occurred, the clinician may act later than
needed. However, a misdetection is a less important occurrence: the clinician
might be wrongly advised but has always the possibility to decide correctly
based on patients' vital signals.</p>
        <p>The development of a dedicate online lter to smooth the BIS signals is a
future task to be addressed in order to enrich the detection algorithm's results.
Acknowledgments. The work of Raquel Sebastia~o and Margarida M. Silva is
supported by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT)
under the PhD Grants SFRH/BD/41569/2007 and SFRH/BD/60973/2009,
respectively. This work has been developed in the context of the Projects GALENO
- Modeling and Control for Personalized Drug Administration
(PTDC/SAUBEB/103667/2008) and KDUDS - Knowledge Discovery from Ubiquitous Data
Streams (PTDC/EIA-EIA/098355/2008).</p>
        <p>The authors gratefully acknowledge Dr. Sima~o Esteves, from Hospital Geral
de Santo Antonio (HGSA), Centro Hospitalar do Porto, Portugal, for his
participation in the collection of the clinical cases under study.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
  </body>
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