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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>September</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Intrapersonal Retrospective Recommendation: Lifestyle Change Recommendations Using Stable Patterns of Personal Behavior</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Robert G. Farrell</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Catalina M. Danis</string-name>
          <email>danis@us.ibm.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Sreeram Ramakrishnan</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Wendy A. Kellogg</string-name>
          <email>wkellogg@us.ibm.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Design</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Experimentation, Human Factors</addr-line>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>IBM, T J Watson Research Center 19</institution>
          <addr-line>Skyline Drive Hawthorne, NY 10532</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="US">USA</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2012</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>13</volume>
      <issue>2012</issue>
      <abstract>
        <p>Leading a healthy lifestyle can prevent or delay medical conditions, elevate mood, improve energy, stabilize sleep, and have other positive effects. Recommender systems are one possible technology to support making lifestyle changes. Recommender systems often use ratings of other users to make recommendations, but this approach may be problematic for making lifestyle change recommendations because of the large variations in human behavior . This paper proposes Intrapersonal Retrospective Recommendation as a new method for generating lifestyle change recommendations that uses only personal history. We explain the benefits and drawbacks of this approach and suggest some future directions.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>habit</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>Categories and Subject Descriptors</title>
      <p>H5.m. Information interfaces and presentation (e.g., HCI):
Miscellaneous.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>General Terms</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>1. INTRODUCTION</title>
      <p>
        Changing long-term behavior can be a challenging task for
anyone. Bad habits can be entrenched and good habits difficult to
establish, transition and sustain. In this work, we focus on lifestyle
changes motivated by maintaining or improving personal health.
For example, changing a diet in order to achieve weight loss, or
supporting the individual in evolving a sustainable exercise
Paper presented at the Workshop on Recommendation Technologies for
Lifestyle Change 2012, in conjunction with the 6th ACM conference on
Recommender Systems. Copyright © 2012 for the individual papers is
held by the papers' authors. This volume is published and copyrighted by
its editors.
regimen comprised of flexibility, strengthening, and difficult to
maintain over time as motivation and commitment wax and wane.
Thus, there is an opportunity for recommender systems
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">(Ricci,
Rokach, and Shapira, 2010.)</xref>
        to suggesting incremental changes to
one’s routines that collectively can bring about a lifestyle change.
This paper introduces Intrapersonal Retrospective
Recommendation (IRR) as a promising method of generating
lifestyle change recommendations. The key idea behind this
approach is that recommendations can be based on what behaviors
worked and did not work for the individual in the past. Stable
patterns of behavior within a prior time period may be more
predictive of an individuals’ future behavior than the common
behavior patterns of other users. Hence, behavioral patterns in
periods of success at lifestyle change or maintenance that are not
being followed can be recommended when the user is facing a
similar goal but not succeeding. Similarly, the system can
recommend cessation of behavior patterns that are found in prior
periods of failure at lifestyle change or maintenance as long as a
similar goal is being pursued.
      </p>
      <p>The remainder of the paper is structured as follows: the next
section introduces the problem of lifestyle change
recommendation; section three explains some of the problems
with using collaborative filtering in this domain; section four
introduces the IRR method; section five reviews some related
work; section six provides a real-world example; and section
seven provides a generalized algorithm. We wrap up with a
discussion and some conclusions.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>2. THE PROBLEM</title>
      <p>We define lifestyle as the pattern of behavior choices an individual
makes during a period of time. Mobile phones, sensors, and other
devices are making it increasingly possible to collect fine-grained
behavioral data about individuals, often with little work on the
part of the user. In addition, tools1 such as Lose It!, DailyBurn™
FitDay™, and MyNetDairy™ allow their users to track their food
1</p>
      <p>LoseIt! is an unregistered trademark of FitNow, Inc.,
DailyBurn™ is a registered trademark of Daily Burn, FitDay is
a registered service mark of Internet Brands, Inc., MyNetDiary
is a registered trademark of 4Technologies Corporation.
and/or exercise manually on a web site or smart phone. This
tracking makes it possible for users to maintain a long-term
finegrained history of their lifestyle-related choices. In addition,
meters, scales, and so on allow individuals to track measurements
such as weight, waist size, and number of calories above or below
some target budget or level to determine progress against their
goals over time.</p>
      <p>We have been developing a system to analyze a person’s tracking
data and display information useful for making and maintaining a
healthy lifestyle. Alone, these data may be too detailed for people
to distinguish meaningful patterns. Recommendations have a
significant role to play in helping users dynamically make
intelligent choices that help achieve their goals. In our system,
each individual has a set of lifestyle goals in the form of
constraints to satisfy over an interval of time. For example, Bob
wants to do aerobic exercise three times per week. Aerobic
exercise is an activity, each time that Bob performs that activity is
a behavior and repeated behaviors are a behavioral pattern (i.e.,
Bob aerobic exercise three times per week). Given this
formulation, the recommendation problem is to suggest one or
more activities, either individually or in a sequence, for a user,
given their history of behaviors by finding stable behavioral
patterns.</p>
      <p>In the examples in this paper, we use the term item to refer to a
food (an eating activity) or exercise (a physical activity). This
could be at various level of specificity. For example, the item
could be “coffee” or “coffee with crème and sugar” or the item
could be “running” or “running two miles in 10 minutes”. While it
is possible for users to explicitly rate items, tracking data
indicating that a user consumed a food or performed an exercise is
itself an implicit rating. We consider the count of the number of
times the user performed the behavior, total amount of the food or
time exercising, and total calories burned or consumed to be part
of the implicit rating of an item.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>3. CHALLENGES WITH USER-USER</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>SIMILARITY APPROACHES</title>
      <p>
        Collaborative filtering
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">(Resnick et. al., 1994)</xref>
        is one of the most
successful approaches to generating recommendations. It uses the
known ratings of a group of users to make predictions about the
unknown ratings of other users. The prediction accuracy of
collaborative filtering depends on the similarity of the ratings
from the group of users. There are several reasons to believe that
LCRSes based on collaborative filtering may have relatively low
prediction accuracy:
      </p>
      <p>Sparse Item Space: The items in LCRSes may be selected
by users from a very large item space or even constructed by
users, thus reducing the probability of two individuals rating
the same item. For example, one user may like Vietnamese
frog’s legs but it might not ever appear on the menus of other
users. While comparing items at a higher level of abstraction
may increase the item overlap, recommendations of highly
abstract items may be less useful. Even if two users rate
single items, impact on measurements may vary. For
example, how foods are prepared makes a large difference in
their calorie count.</p>
      <p>Diverse User Characteristics and Goals: There may be
large individual differences in lifestyles due to differences in
individual characteristics (age, height, gender, weight, etc.)
and goals (lose 100 pounds vs. lose 5 pounds.) For example,
males and females at different weights typically have quite
3.
4.</p>
      <p>different calorie targets and this impacts food choices and
exercise regimens.</p>
      <p>Varied Contexts: Ratings across individuals in real-world
situations, whether explicit or implicit, may diverge because
of the varied contexts in which ratings were collected. For
example, one user may rate pizza high and another low
because of the quality of the different pizza parlors they
frequent.</p>
      <p>Distinctiveness: The diversity of ratings may be exacerbated
by the fact that, for many people, lifestyle is, by definition,
aimed at being distinctive. People may seek out items that
are unique or significantly different than others. For example,
one person might search out exotic foods and another
unusual places to exercise, thus reducing their similarity.
While many of these issues can be addressed by having a larger
data set, a technique is needed that is not sensitive to the sparse
item space, diverse user characteristics and goals, varied contexts,
and distinctiveness.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>4. INTRAPERSONAL RETROSPECTIVE</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>RECOMMENDATIONS</title>
      <p>An alternate technique for generating recommendations is to use
the user’s own history of choices. We call this Intrapersonal
Retrospective Recommendation (IRR). IRR is based on the
observation that most people are highly stable (i.e., change slowly
over time) and highly distinctive (i.e., different that others) in their
lifestyle-related choices. When a set of outcome measures are
tracked (e.g., weight), IRR can return users to stable patterns that
worked in the past (i.e., where measures were consistent with their
goals) or avoid stable patterns that did not work in the past (i.e.,
where measures were short of goals). We call a stable pattern of
lifestyle-related choices over a time period a prior self. In the
lifestyle change domain, for example, an individual may have the
prior self who ran at least twice a week and who consistently ate
high calorie desserts and the prior self who did not exercise. A
key insight is that prior selves can serve the role of “similar users”
for the purposes of recommendation.</p>
      <p>To illustrate this idea, suppose Rachel has toast and coffee every
morning and is maintaining her weight. One day she starts
buttering her toast every day. If Rachel’s peers have coffee and
orange juice for breakfast, then collaborative filtering would
recommend orange juice to Rachel. IRR would instead
recommend she use less butter or butter her toast less often, since
during her stable period she did not butter her toast.</p>
      <p>The time dimension plays an important role in retrospective
recommendations. For example, the “stage” of the individual with
respect to his or her goal can influence what is recommended.
Early on, simply limiting quantity might lead to successful
adherence and weight loss. Later, once the individual has lost
significant weight but not yet achieved his goal, it might be
necessary to also change the types of foods that are recommended.
We anticipate that IRR will not be as sensitive to some of the
problems we outlined with user-user similarity approaches. First,
the item space may be smaller because individuals may explore
only a small number of items; trying a new item is often risky or
breaks an established habit. Second, given that individuals are
relatively stable in their preferences over time, user diversity may
be lower with prior selves because individual characteristics and
goals will have not changed significantly. The context of item
ratings within individuals will tend to be consistent over time,
improving the stability of IRR. Finally, distinctiveness is not an
issue since all comparisons are intrapersonal.</p>
      <p>
        Retrospective recommendation has a number of other advantages.
First, the lifestyle change data needed can be made private, thus
circumventing the need for data from other users that would be
required for other approaches, such as social recommending.
Second, IRR may be more transparent
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">(Herlocker, 2004)</xref>
        since the
behaviors being recommended will be familiar. Finally,
recommendations from one’s own history are easier to trust than
recommendations from others.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>5. RELATED WORK</title>
      <p>Other researchers have investigated how to make lifestyle change
recommendations. Van Pinxteren, Geleijnse, and Kamsteeg
(2011) created a recipe recommender system that suggested
healthy alternatives to commonly selected recipes by using a
recipe similarity measure. Luo, Tang, and Thomas (2010) created
a system to recommend home nursing activities and home medical
products. Hammer, Kim, and André (2010) describe a rule-based
recommender system for diabetes patients that balance short-term
user preferences with long-term medical prescriptions. Sami,
Nagatomi, Terabe, and Hashimoto (2008) designed a system to
recommend leisure-time physical activities and identified the
problem of varied contexts across individuals, primarily the issue
that people prefer different places to exercise. Wiesner and Pfeifer
(2010) developed a semantic distance metric for health concepts
and used it to make personalized health recommendations from an
electronic health record. None of these systems make use of the
user’s history.</p>
      <p>
        There has been recent interest in temporal variation, such as
adjusting recommendations to situations where the end users
interests “drift” over time
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">(Cao, Chen, Xiong, 2009)</xref>
        . Koren and
Bell (2011) show how the predictive accuracy of matrix
factorization models can be improved using temporal information.
Tanaka, Hori, and Yamamoto (2010) developed LifeLog, a
recommender system that captures a history of offline and on-line
Web activities and recommends information on Web sites to help
users “enjoy waves of information again”. This system uses prior
stable patterns from personal history, but does not make
recommendations based on success or failure relative to personal
goals and it does not make lifestyle change recommendations.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-10">
      <title>6. AN EXAMPLE</title>
      <p>We have collected log data from several individuals who are
trying to lose weight. Here is a typical log for food and exercise:</p>
      <sec id="sec-10-1">
        <title>Date</title>
        <p>On June 1st, we collected log data from three users (A, B, and C)
who logged their food and exercise daily. User A lost 20 pounds
and logged for 6 months, User B lost 9 pounds over 7 months, and
User C lost 55 pounds over 36 months. While all three users were
undergoing significant weight loss, their trajectories included
plateaus and periods of weight gain. While we do not have enough
data to compare with other approaches, we have used IRR to
generate recommendations at various points in time for each of
these users. User A provided feedback on the suitability of the
recommendations.</p>
        <p>After three months of steadily losing weight at a rate of 3.3
pounds per month, User A hit a plateau i.e., his weight leveled off.
During the 4th month, User A’s net calories reached 13,500
calories, whereas during the previous 3 months, User A’s average
net calories had leveled off at 10,000 calories per month. Thus, we
can differentiate the three months of making steady progress
toward the weight loss goal and the month of making little
progress toward the goal.</p>
        <p>We analyzed User A’s logs over the 4 month period to find each
food and exercise frequency and cumulative calories. During the
fourth month, (period two) User A had many of the same patterns
of behavior as in the first three months (period one). He ate
Coffee, Juice and Milk at breakfast, chocolate squares and nuts as
a snack, and field greens and salad dressing at lunch. However, in
period two User A started drinking beer and had increased his
consumption of chocolate, wine, kung pao chicken, quiche, pizza,
bananas, brown rice, and jelly. Together, these differences
accounted for the majority of the calorie change. User A also at
tortilla chips in month 3 but then stopped in month 4, probably a
positive development. However, if tortilla chips were substituting
for French fries, for example, then it might be better to go back to
tortilla chips. While we cannot be sure that these patterns had
become new habits, it might still be useful to recommend changes
early.</p>
        <p>Given the patterns, we generated recommendations by suggesting
decreasing frequency or portion size for food and increasing
frequency, intensity, or time for exercise. User A then sorted the
recommendations into three categories of suitability: “follow”
(likely to take the suggestion), “consider” (like the suggestion but
unlikely to follow it), and ignore (don’t like the suggestion and
won’t follow it). Here is how he sorted the recommendations:</p>
        <sec id="sec-10-1-1">
          <title>Follow – reduce quiche and chocolate;</title>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-10-1-2">
          <title>Consider – stop beer, reduce wine and pizza;</title>
          <p>Ignore – reduce kung pao chicken, bananas, and brown rice.
User A reported that eating chocolate squares was a behavior
acquired during the weight loss, so it was relatively easy to
moderate. The wine and pizza were more entrenched habits. In
future work we would like to address the problem of entrenched
habits and strong preferences against recommended items.</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-11">
      <title>7. AN ALGORITHM FOR GENERATING</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-12">
      <title>RETROSPECTIVE RECOMMENDATIONS</title>
      <p>Given our analysis of log data, we designed the following general
algorithm for IRR:</p>
      <p>Find Periods of Success and Failure: Establish the
individual’s goals as a Boolean combination of measures to
maintain, increase, or decrease (e.g., maintain weight while
reducing fat intake by 10%)Calculate periods of consistent
goal achievement (e.g., maintaining weight) or failure over
time using historical data (e.g., weight 190 and fat intake of
only 25mg/day average). A period of 1 week is used as a
minimum length period since physical changes are difficult
to measure in smaller periods.</p>
      <p>Find Stable Patterns: Identify stable patterns as repeated
items within each period contributing most and least to the
goal (i.e., net calories). For example, eating a diet snack an
•
•
•</p>
      <p>average of 4 times per month while reducing fat intake or
running on the treadmill 12 times a month while losing
weight. Any item in the log more than once is used, but the
top N=20 items are selected according to their contribution
toward the goal (i.e., highest net calories.)</p>
      <sec id="sec-12-1">
        <title>Find Potential Changes in Stable Patterns: Compute 3</title>
        <p>categories of changes across the “current period” and prior
periods:</p>
        <sec id="sec-12-1-1">
          <title>Cessation – Patterns that existed but no longer appear in the current period (e.g., no more toast and skim milk at breakfast). For this we use the immediately prior period.</title>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-12-1-2">
          <title>Formation – Patterns that emerged in the current period (e.g., chocolate croissant and bacon start appearing at breakfast)</title>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-12-1-3">
          <title>Substitution – Patterns that existed but have been modified (e.g., toast has butter, a cup of skim milk instead of 4 oz)</title>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-12-2">
        <title>Determine If Potential Changes in Stable Patterns Will</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-12-3">
        <title>Contribute or Detract from Goals: Label stable patterns of</title>
        <p>change as contributing to or detracting from the user’s goals.
For example, toast and skim milk at breakfast add 180
calories but with only 5mg of fat. On average, other breakfast
choices of 180 calories had 10 mg of fat. Therefore, toast and
skim milk would be labeled as contributing to the goal. For
formation, the proportion of contribution to goals is used
(e.g., chocolate croissant had a disproportionate contribution
to both fat and calories.) For substitution, the difference can
be evaluated as a formation (e.g., adding butter had a
disproportionate contribution to fat). The results are ordered
by net calories added or subtracted.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-12-4">
        <title>Recommend Changes With The Largest Impact:</title>
        <p>Recommendations are generated to a) decrease the frequency
and/or portion size of high calorie foods; b) increase the
frequency of low calorie foods; or c) increase the frequency,
intensity, or time for exercise. These changes are based on
the net calories saved. For example, if the pattern of eating
hamburgers started in period 4 and it contributes significantly
to the net calories then recommend reducing the number
and/or size of hamburgers and offer.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-12-5">
        <title>Tie Changes to Particular Times and Places</title>
        <p>Recommendations can be associated with the appropriate
time of day (i.e., meal.) or place (i.e., a restaurant).
Recommendations can be offered repeatedly to establish new
habits.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-13">
      <title>8. DISCUSSION</title>
      <p>
        IRR appears to generate useful recommendations in some cases,
but we have not done a formal evaluation. There are significant
challenges with using IRR, many of which were identified in
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">(Herlocker, 2004)</xref>
        . First, it can suffer from the cold start problem.
There may be no tracking data at the start, particularly since users
may start using the service to make a lifestyle change without
having already performed tracking. The system can wait for
enough tracking data to be available before making a
recommendation, but presumably users may simply be tracking an
initial state that is far from their goals. Second, in its most basic
form IRR guarantees that items will never be novel, since they are
selected from the user’s own history. Users may be dissatisfied
with a system that repeatedly recommends known items. Third,
the coverage of an intrapersonal retrospective recommender
system will be low, since it only covers the part of the item space
that the user has already explored.
      </p>
      <p>Some of these problems may be solved with a hybrid solution.
Ideal profiles of foods and exercise could be stored for various
weight ranges and weight loss targets and used in lieu of historical
data. In this case, retrospective recommendation could
recommend the foods and exercises from the ideal profile needed
to establish new patterns, transition from old patterns to new
patterns, or .maintain existing patterns.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-14">
      <title>9. CONCLUSION</title>
      <p>Lifestyle change is a challenging domain for recommender
systems. People are often purposefully distinctive in their
lifestyles. The complexity of the real-world activities of eating
and exercising makes it difficult to find similarities between users.
We introduced Intrapersonal Retrospective Recommendation as
an alternative recommendation method that uses an individual’s
own history of goal achievement to identify behavior patterns to
re-establish, transition, or sustain. Next, we hope to evaluate this
approach on a larger data set and integrate the system into an
overall personal health solution.
10. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Thanks to Jim Christensen for his early involvement in the
medical adherence project and Sen Hirano for his feedback on this
paper.</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
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