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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Inferring Student Comprehension from Highlighting Patterns in Digital Textbooks: An Exploration in an Authentic Learning Platform</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>David Y.J. Kim</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Adam Winchell</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Andrew E. Waters</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Phillip J. Grimaldi</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Richard Baraniuk</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Michael C. Mozer</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Google Research</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Brain Team</addr-line>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Rice University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Houston, TX</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="US">USA</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>University of Colorado at Boulder</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Boulder, CO</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="US">USA</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>We investigate whether student comprehension and knowledge retention can be predicted from textbook annotations, speci cally the material that students choose to highlight. Using a digital open-access textbook platform, Openstax, students enrolled in Biology, Physics, and Sociology courses read sections of their introductory text as part of required coursework, optionally highlighted the text to ag key material, and then took brief quizzes as the end of each section. We nd that when students choose to highlight, the speci c pattern of highlights can explain about 13% of the variance in observed quiz scores. We explore many di erent representations of the pattern of highlights and discover that a low-dimensional logistic principal component based vector is most e ective as input to a ridge regression model. Considering the many sources of uncontrolled variability a ecting student performance, we are encouraged by the strong signal that highlights provide as to a student's knowledge state.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>student modeling</kwd>
        <kwd>textbook annotation</kwd>
        <kwd>knowledge reten- tion</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>
        Digital textbooks have become increasingly available with the popularity of
ereaders and the advent of open-access learning resources such as Openstax. Like
other researchers in AI and education, we see valuable opportunities to
observing students as they interact with their textbooks and become familiar with new
material. For mathematics or physics courses, where students can demonstrate
their understanding by working through exercises, researchers have long had the
opportunity to observe students' problem-solving skills and to suggest hints and
guidance to remediate knowledge gaps [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ]. However, in courses where textbooks
Copyright c 2020 for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative
Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
contain factual material, such as in biology or history, opportunities for inferring
student understanding are more limited. The obvious means is quizzing a
student after they have read a section of text, but quizzes are unpleasant and time
consuming to students, who often fail to appreciate the value of such quizzes
to bolstering long-term knowledge retention. Consequently, we have been
investigating implicit measures we can collect as students interact with a digital
textbook, measures which do not require students to explicitly demonstrate their
understanding, as is required in a quiz. To give a compelling example of implicit
measures, eye gaze has been used to predict predict mind wandering during
reading [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        In this article, we are interested in highlighting|the yellow marks and
underlines that students make in a textbook in order to emphasize material that
they perceive as particularly pertinent. Although there is a well-established
research literature in educational psychology examining whether highlighting
bene ts student learning [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12 ref3">3, 12</xref>
        ], our focus is on the question of whether highlights
can be used as a data source to predict student comprehension and retention.
The advantage of this data source is that it imposes no burden on students.
Highlighting is a popular study strategy [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ] and students voluntarily highlight
because they believe it confers learning bene ts [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]. Given that highlights re ect
material that students believe to be important, one has reason to hypothesize
that highlights could be useful for assessing comprehension.
      </p>
      <p>
        Recently, our team conducted two studies that provide preliminary evidence
in support of the hypothesis that highlights provide insight into comprehension.
In a laboratory experiment, Winchell et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ] asked participants to read and
optionally highlight three sections of an Openstax biology textbook [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ], chosen
with the expectation that the passages could be understood by a college-aged
reader with no background in biology. The three passages concern the topic of
sterilization: one serving as an introduction, one discussing procedures, and the
last summarizing commercial uses. Participants were told that they would be
given a brief opportunity to review each of the passages and the highlights they
had made, and would then be quizzed on all three passages. The quiz consisted
of factual questions concerning the material, both in a multiple choice and
llin-the-blank format. The purpose of the limited-time review was to incentivize
participants to highlight material to restudy during the review phase. Winchell
et al. nd reliable improvements in the accuracy of predicting correctness on
individual quiz questions with the inclusion of highlighting patterns, both for
held-out students and for held-out student-questions (i.e., questions selected
randomly for each student), but not for held-out questions. However, the accuracy
of predicting the correctness of a student's answer increases by only 1-2%.
      </p>
      <p>
        In contrast, Waters et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ] explored the impact of highlighting produced
by real students enrolled in actual college-level courses in Biology, Physics, and
Sociology. Students read textbooks and highlighted as they wished on a digital
learning platform, Openstax Tutor. At the end of a section, they answered three
practice questions before moving on to the next section. The data set included
4,851 students, 1,307 text sections, and a total of 85,505 student highlights.
Waters et al. found an e ect of highlighting on learning outcomes: for questions
tagged as \recall" on Bloom's taxonomy scale, a small but reliable increase in a
student's accuracy on a particular question is observed if the student highlights
the critical sentence in the text needed to answer the question.
      </p>
      <p>Neither of these studies is completely satisfying. The Winchell et al. study
was was conducted via Mechanical Turk with 200 participants with unknown
motivation levels. It involved just three passages and twelve quiz questions
(formulated either as multiple choice or ll-in-the-blank) and took place over 40
minutes. Consequently, its application to authentic digital learning environments
is unclear. The Waters et al. study was on a much larger scale in the context of
actual coursework, but their predictive models were limited in scope: the models
considered only the highlighting of a critical sentence, whereas Winchell et al.
constructed predictive models based on the pattern of highlights in the section.
It's possible that the strongest predictor of subsequent recall by a student may
not be whether the critical sentence was highlighted but by the highlighting of
material the precedes or follows the critical sentence.</p>
      <p>In this article, we aim to integrate the focus of these two previous studies,
in order to determine the e ectiveness of models that leverage the pattern of
highlights a student produces to predict quiz performance in an authentic digital
learning environment. We utilize the Openstax Tutor corpus of Waters et al. and
construct a model for each section of text, predicting mean quiz performance for
that section based on the entire set of highlights in that section.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Data Set and Methodology</title>
      <p>
        Our analyses use data collected from Openstax Tutor [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ], an online textbook
and learning environment used by students enrolled in authentic advanced high
school and college courses. Data were gathered from two semesters during the
year 2018 for three subjects: College Biology, College Physics, and Introduction
to Sociology. Associated with each course was a textbook. Each textbook is
divided into chapters which are further subdivided into sections. At the end of
each section, students were given the opportunity to answer three core questions
relating to the section. Questions, which ranged from factual to conceptual, were
chosen from a pool of candidates by Openstax Tutor based on the student's
ability level. Students could repeat the quiz, each time getting new questions. In
addition, students were occasionally asked spaced-practice questions that could
be associated with any section of any chapter previously studied.
      </p>
      <p>The digital textbook environment provided an annotation facility that allows
students to highlight critical material in the text by click-and-dragging the mouse
over the material they wished to emphasize. Highlights could also be undone.
Highlighting was optional. Some students never used the facility, others used
it for only some sections. Figure 1 shows highlighting patterns of two di erent
students for the same section of material.</p>
      <p>Our analyses were all conducted by section. For each student and each
section, we grouped together all questions answered by the student, both core
questions and space-practice questions. The student's score is the mean proportion
correct of all questions that are associated with the section. For each score, we
recovered the highlighted character positions in the section. These positions
consist of the complete list of indices of characters in the section that the student
highlighted. The rst character in the section is indexed as position 1, and so
forth. From the highlighted character positions, one can recover the exact
pattern of highlights marked by the student. Because of a quirk in the raw data
base, we had to recover the highlighted positions from the unindexed collection
of literal words, phrases, and sentences that the student highlighted. In almost
all cases, the highlighted positions could be recovered unambiguously. In a few
cases, such as when the student highlighted a single word which appeared
multiple times in a section, we assumed that the index was its rst occurrence in
the section. This ambiguity arose very rarely.</p>
      <p>We grouped the data by section. Each section is analyzed independently, and
we report mean results across sections. Because the textbooks were electronic,
they were revised during the time period in which we obtained data. As a result,
some sections have multiple versions. We collapsed these revisions together since
typically only a few words changed from one version to the next, and it was easy
to align the highlighted fragments.</p>
      <p>Table 1 presents an overview of the data set. There are a total of 4,851
students, 1,157 distinct sections, and 479,879 sessions, where a session consists
of a particular student reading a particular section. Students answered one or
more quiz questions in only 328,575 sessions, and students highlighted portions
of the text on only 8,846. One surprising observation is the relative scarcity
of highlights during reading, given that students consider highlighting to be
a fruitful study strategy. However, highlighting in an electronic text may be
awkward or unfamiliar to students.</p>
      <p>Nonetheless, we have adequate data to consider with the 8,000+ sessions
with highlights. We focus on the sections which had a critical mass of students
who highlighted. We identi ed 28 such sections, with the largest section
having 142 highlighters and the smallest section having 31 highlighters. Across the
highlighted sessions, the mean quiz score is 75% with a standard deviation 10%.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Results</title>
      <p>3.1</p>
      <p>
        Is highlighting associated with higher quiz scores?
We rst report on some simple analyses showing that highlighting is associated
with higher quiz scores. Although we cannot ascertain a causal relationship, we
can eliminate some confounders. Waters et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ] conducted a similar
analysis via a latent-variable model that included highlighting as a feature. However,
they focused on predicting correctness of response to a particular question based
on whether or not the corresponding critical sentence in the text had been
highlighted. We broaden this investigation to ask where mean accuracy across all
questions depends on whether or not the student had highlighted any material.
      </p>
      <p>In a rst analysis, we divided sessions by course topic and by whether students
had made highlights during that session. In Figure 2a, we show mean scores with
1 SEM bar by course topic. Across all topics, highlighted sessions are associated
with higher quiz scores than non-highlighted sessions (Table 2).</p>
      <p>This analysis of course does not indicate that highlighting has a causal e ect
on performance. Possible non-causal explanations include:
{ More diligent students may tend to highlight and more diligent students
study hard and therefore perform better on quizzes.
{ Whether or not a student highlights may be correlated with the di culty
of the material. For example, a student who is struggling to understand
material may not feel con dent to highlight, leading to lower scores for
nonhighlighted sections.</p>
      <p>To address these explanations, we conducted further analyses. To rule out
differences in student diligence being responsible for the e ect, we performed a
within-student comparison of highlighted versus non-highlighted sections. We
consider only students who have both highlighted and nonhighlighted sections,
and we compute the mean score by student when they highlight and when they
do not highlight. This within-student comparison is shown in Figure 2b for each
of the three course topics as well as a mean across topics. We nd the same
pattern as before that mean student scores are higher for highlighted than for
non-highlighted sections (Table 3). However, the di erence for Sociology is not
statistically reliable.</p>
      <p>
        To rule out the possibility that the decision to highlight is in some way
contingent on the di culty of the section, we used item-response theory, speci cally
the Rasch model [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ], to infer section di culty from the student-section
observation matrix. We found a miniscule positive correlation of 0.02 between di culty
Topic
Biology
Physics
Sociology
(a) Between student comparison
(b) Within student comparison
and the probability of highlighting a section which was not statistically reliable
(p = :61). We would have expected to observe a negative correlation if the
explanation for higher scores with highlighting was due to students choosing to
highlight easier material.
      </p>
      <p>
        Although we haven't de nitely ruled out non-causal explanations for the
relationship between highlighting and scores, our results are suggestive that in a
digital textbook setting, highlighting may serve to increase engagement which is
re ected in improved scores. This nding goes somewhat counter to the research
with traditional printed textbooks that fails to nd value for highlighting as a
study strategy [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ].
3.2
      </p>
      <p>Can we predict scores from the speci c pattern of highlighting?
The analysis in the previous section simply considered whether or not a student
highlighted a section, but ignored a rich information source|the speci c words,
phrases, and sentences that were highlighted. Our goal is to determine whether
highlighting patterns help explain scores. Here we use only sections of the Biology
text, which had the greatest number of student highlighters. We model each
section independently and we include only students who highlighted one or more
words in the section. Our models predict a speci c student's quiz score from the
speci c pattern of highlighting that student made. The pattern of highlighting
is encoded in a vector representation, and we explore a range of representations
which we explain shortly. We use the simplest possible model|a linear regression
model with the vector representation as the regressor and quiz score as the
regressand. Figure 3 shows an excerpt of text from one section, whose aim is
to summarize the steps of the scienti c method and the nature of scienti c
reasoning. The words in the text are color coded to indicate whether highlighting
that word raises (red) or lowers (blue) the model's prediction of quiz score.
Notice that material pertaining to hypothesis testing is associated with better
performance and the sentence pertaining to E. coli bacteria is associated with
worse performance. Although the E. coli sentence is substantive, it is not the
focus of this section of text. Figure 1 shows the highlighting patterns of two
students for this section. The top and bottom patterns are for students who
score 54% and 100% on the quiz. The model correctly predicts the ranking of
the two students.</p>
      <p>We express accuracy of models in terms of the proportion of variance in quiz
score explained by the highlighting pattern. Any non-zero value indicates some
explanatory power. Figure 4 shows results from a variety of representations,
which we will explain shortly. The bottom-line nding is that speci c
highlighting patterns can explain about 13% of the variance in scores. This is a fairly
impressive e ect considering the very large number of factors and in uences on
a student's performance. For instance, there is some intrinsic variability due to
the fact that questions were sampled randomly, and some of the responses were
collected immediately after reading while others were collected after a retention
period. There is further variability due to the student's momentary state of
engagement, the conditions under which they study, and their prior background
with the material.</p>
      <p>We built models to predict quiz score from a representation of the
highlighting pattern. Separate models were constructed for each section using only the
data from students who highlighted at least some words in the section. For this
research, we decided to stick to a simple linear model|ridge regression|and to
focus on how the highlighting pattern is represented. The results we report are
obtained via 10-fold cross validation. The L2 penalty term was weighted with a
coe cient of 0.01, chosen by brief manual experimentation to produce models
only slightly di erent than straight-up linear regression.</p>
      <p>
        In our earlier modeling work using laboratory data [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ], we explored a vector
representation in which each element of the vector corresponded to one unit of
text|either a word, phrase, or sentence|and the element's value was either
binary or continuous. Binary representations indicate whether any character in
that span of text was highlighted. Continuous representations indicate the
proportion of characters in the span of text that were highlighted. Here, instead
of parsing the text by lexical units, we simply blocked the text by number of
characters, with blocks ranging in size from 100 to 15000 characters. We again
considered binary and continuous vector representations. Figure 4 shows the
variance explained by binary and continuous representations, colored in red and
green, respectively. The points indicate means across the sections with the
standard error bars indicating uncertainty in the estimate of the mean. The results
show a clear trend: as the text-block size increases, models better predict scores.
We suspect the reason for this improvement is due to over tting of the models.
There is a tension between more granularity, which can capture subtle di erences
in highlighting, and fewer parameters, which can prevent over tting. We ought
to have explored the full span of this continuum, but we stopped at blocks of
15000 characters. Nonetheless, for all block sizes, we nd that the highlighting
pattern reliably predicts score.
      </p>
      <p>
        In our laboratory study [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ], we explored a phrase-level representation that
involved manually segmenting the text by phrases, which roughly corresponded
to the text delineated by commas, semicolons, and colons. However, it would have
been too signi cant a manual e ort to do this segmentation on a larger scale.
However, we used the NLTK package [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ] to divide the sections into sentences and
constructed a highlighting representation with one vector element per sentence.
Neither the binary nor continuous sentence-level representation achieved good
performance, as indicated by the black points in Figure 4.
      </p>
      <p>We were concerned about over tting, considering that the smallest data set
had only 31 students and the number of model parameters could be greater
than the number of data points. To address this concern, we performed logistic
principal components analysis (LPCA) to reduce the dimensionality of the
highlighting representation. We formed binary vectors with one element per word in
a section. Element i of the vector for a given student was set to 1 if the
student had highlighted word i in the section. Feeding these word-level vectors into
LPCA, we obtained the LPCA decomposition of the vector space and LPCA
representation of the highlights for each student. We constructed models using
the top k components for various k.</p>
      <p>To address the over tting issue, we varied the number of components to be
proportional to the size of our data set. With S being the number of students, we
expressed k as a proportion of S, k = S= , for 2 f1; 2; 3; : : : ; 20g. In Figure 4,
the blue points labeled pca(S/ ) indicate that increasing leads to better score
predictions.</p>
      <p>In a nal series of simulations, we selected k not based on the size of our
data set but on the word length of the section. With W being the number of
words in a section, we chose a percentage as the dimensionality of the reduced
representation, i.e., k = 100 W . The purple points in Figure 4 labeled pca( ) show
the bene t of decreasing to obtain the surprising nding that with 30%,
we see a signi cant boost in the model's predictive power over previous models.
It is reassuring that the precise choice of does not seem to matter, suggesting
that the result is robust.</p>
      <p>In all of the above approaches, we nd that decreasing the dimensionality
of the highlighting representation is bene cial. This nding could either be due
to over tting issues, as we have speculated, or to the fact that there is
lowdimensional structure in the highlighting patterns. We suspect it is the former,
and plan to conduct further investigations optimizing the number of LPCA
components based both on S and W . Of course, any results we obtain by the present
cross validation methodology will need to be con rmed by tests using another
data set; at this point, we cannot entirely trust that true model performance
will be as good as is suggested by the best of our cross validation scores.
4</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Discussion</title>
      <p>We nd that with a suitable representation of a student's highlighting pattern,
we can explain about 13% of the variance in their test performance. While 13%
is not on an absolute scale a large fraction of the variance, one must consider
the many factors that play into a student's learning and retention, including
their interaction with course materials outside of the textbook (e.g., in class,
homework, etc.), their prior knowledge, conditions in which they are reading the
text, and their degree of engagement with the current material and past sections.
Given these highly in uential factors, it's remarkable that as much as 13% of
variance can be explained by highlighting patterns.</p>
      <p>We found that choice of highlighting representation was critical in
determining how useful highlights are to predict quiz performance. Without theoretical
justi cation for the representation which yielded the best predictions (the top
10% of principal components), we require additional empirical validation to
argue convincingly that this representation will also serve us well for other students
and other texts. Nonetheless, the fact that the PCA(10%) representation was
superior across all three courses provides some reason for optimism. The fact
that it is a fairly compact encoding of the myriad possible highlighting patterns
also o ers promise that we may be able to interpret the relationship between
these components and course content.</p>
      <p>
        In past work using data produced by laboratory participants [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ], we did not
nd as signi cant a signal in the highlighting patterns, but it's a bit di cult
to compare the laboratory study to the present study because the laboratory
study predicted answers to speci c questions, and here we are predicting overall
scores. The laboratory study also used a variant of item-response theory which
incorporated latent student abilities and item di culties; these latent factors
could supplant some of the signal in the highlighting patterns.
      </p>
      <p>
        Our research is important and novel in three particular respects. First, our
results extend across a large sample of students, course topics, and speci c
content. Second, we move outside a laboratory setting (e.g., [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref11 ref7">1, 11, 7</xref>
        ]) and observe
students in an authentic learning environment. Third, we move beyond overall
analyses of whether students who highlight score better on quizzes (e.g., [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ])
to understand how speci c patterns of highlights predict comprehension and
retention.
      </p>
      <p>Our research has several potential limitations of this research. First, due to
the fact that Openstax Tutor selects questions aimed to be at an appropriate
level for students, there is some possibility of a confound that yields an
optimistic estimate of the utility of highlights. For instance, it's possible that more
motivated students tend both to highlight and to attain a certain level of
performance that drives the speci c questions being selected. Second, we have not used
all the potential information in the highlighting patterns: in principle, we could
leverage dynamical information about the order in which highlights are made,
the time lags between highlights (which indicate the pace of reading), and the
deletion of highlights (which presently do not register in our analyses). Third,
we do not consider individual di erences among students except insofar as their
highlighting pattern is concerned. Because students will use Openstax resources
over the duration of a course semester, we have opportunity to make multiple
observations from the same student and to assemble a pro le of that student
which ought to provide additional information for interpreting their textbook
annotations. Future research will address these issues.</p>
      <p>In this article, we've focused on using highlights to model student
comprehension, but highlighting is a rich data source for inferring student interests
and foci. We might leverage this fact by, for example, clustering students into
interest groups based on similarity of patterns of highlighting, or even group
students who show disparate highlighting patterns in order to provoke discussions of
what material is important. There is also potential to leverage population
highlights as a means of feedback to textbook authors and instructors. If students
are highlighting unimportant material or failing to highlight important material
from the author's or instructor's perspective, perhaps the textbooks should be
rewritten or students should be guided to the material that is deemed to be most
important.
5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Acknowledgement</title>
      <p>This research is supported by NSF awards DRL-1631428 and DRL-1631556. We
thank Christian Plagemann and three anonymous reviewers for their helpful
feedback on earlier drafts of this manuscript.</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
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